A 'dog Who's Bite is Worse Than It's Bark

[Valiant23]

Whenever I bet on NFL I generally use the handicap. If I bet on the underdog I will take the points except when the spread is 3 points or less, in which case I feel its better to take the money line odds on the underdog. Now I have started to paper trail an NFL system to see if it works with NBA too, and have them all mixed up together under the Contrary System thread. If you look in this post here; http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showpost.php?p=649546&postcount=1 You will see Philadelphia were on a losing streak of 2 games ATS, and were underdogs for their game on Monday by 3pts. If I took the handicap (and the 3 points) then I would have had odds of 1.91, but I took the money line odds of 2.35. On more than one occasion in the contrary system the underdog has not only covered the spread, but won the game outright at considerably better odds. Starting with tonights NBA games I will paper trail this theory to see if it is one worth pursuing. Starting bank:100 :hope

[Valiant23]

Re: A 'dog Who's Bite is Worse Than It's Bark Just to add the qualifying criteria is the same that I use in the contrary system. :ok