NHL Week 7 thread...

[brewers7]

Been betting & capping the NHL all season and this is my second best sport to cap, I just haven't posted until this past weekend... ################################################################# Record 2-1, +$26 Bets: Pittsburgh Penguins -0.5, in regulation, $116 to win $100 The Penguins have destroyed my hapless Flyers 4-0 and 8-2 this season and the Pens, after starting out so well on that 4-game Road trip (that started in Philly and then went out West for 3 games), have now lost a season-high 5 straight...Forsberg will not play tonight for Philly, so I just don't see any upside to picking this team any time soon...Normally, I'd jump all over the Over here, but with Forsberg Out, I will passon the total... Colorado Avalanche, $142 to win $100 Tough call for me whether to lay $142 juice (which I absolutely, positively HATE) or take them -0.5 in regulation with plus juice...REAL tough call, considering EDM has just 1 OT game all year and COLOhas not had an OT since having OT games their first 2 games of the season...But I'll lay the juice because EDM is in a rare 5 games in 7 spot in the NHL, the second one for any team this season...Florida played at NJ on 10/26, their 5th game in 7 days and lost 2-0...EDM also beat COLO at COLO this season already, so since I don't see this happening again with a tough 5-of-7 situational spots AND with COLO in bounce-back mode after being shutout by Nashville, I would say that everything points to the Avalanche here... Grand Salami over 38, $53 to win $50 I have tracked the Salami for years, and as soon as a streak hits 4, either way, it is time to start looking for the reversal...The Under has gone Under 4 straight days and since I see potential for almost all of these games hitting the Over, I'll take a shot with the Over here, and if it stays Under again, I'll probably double-up until it hits, because streaks higher than 7 are incredibly, incredibly rare... Brief looks at other games... Buffalo at Carolina: Buffalo beat the Hurricanes twice already this season, but that was early in the season, when the Champs were having a Finals let-down and the Sabres were scorching hot, in the midst of tying an NHL record for most wins to start a season...The Champs aren't going to want to lose 3 straight to Buffalo and will have the motivational factor to send a message to Buffalo at Home...Buffalo also a chart-play for me to fade because they had a C9 (Covered 9 straight) and that immediately reversed into a NC6 (Haven't covered 6 straight in regulation), so I will ride that streak another day... Montreal at Ottawa: Le Canadiens have won 5 of the last 7 heads up in this series, but Montreal suddenlt doesn't look very sharp at all their last 3 games...Of course, Ottawa hasn't looked any better, winning once in their last 7 games...Ottawa Overs come in spurts and they have gone Over 4 straight (1 was OT-aided), but I have noticed that since last year, these Over spurts generally end after 4 games and Montreal has not gone Over in 5 straight (2 pushes)... Washington at Florida: The Panthers had won 8 straight in this head-2-head matchup before Washington won the last 2...Kolzig is hot and this h2h series has produced 7 Unders in the last 10 meetings...Florida has lost 3 straight so they may have a slight motivational edge here with revenge on their minds, too... San Jose at Los Angeles: A quick revenge spot here for a struggling LA team as SJ just beat LA 7-3 on 11/9 at LA...SJ has won 6 of the last 7 h2h...SJ has been an Under team most of the year because of their 2 outstanding goalies and LA had been an Under machine, too, until their last 5 games, with nary an Under in any of those games altough there was an OT-aided Over and an OT-aided push... ################################################################# Monday's picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) Colo, 2) Pitt, 3) Caro, 4) Ott -0.5, 5) Fla, 6) LA -- Salami - Home Teams Totals: 1) Pitt ov, 2) Colo ov, 3) LA ov, 4) Ott un, 5) Caro un, 6) Fla un -- Salami ov Good Luck...brewers7 #################################################################

[davidmphill]

Re: NHL Week 7 thread... Nice work buddy, good luck.