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brewers7

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About brewers7

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  • Birthday 01/16/1966
  1. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... Thank you... The moderators here have put my Week 4 thread up top in the sticky section in case you didn't see it...I didn't even see it at first, but I guess you'll have to start looking up top for it for now (until I get cold, then they'll ship my thread to the garbage dump)... Best of luck to you, sir... :ok
  2. Re: NHL Week 7 thread... Record 9-6-1, +$163 Sunday, November 19 Bet: Anaheim Ducks -1.5, $110 to win $100 The Ducks have lost 2 straight Home games to inferior teams, but in those games, they out-shot their opponents 86-40...So they are not playing as badly as it seems, but their goaltending has been bad or their defense has allowed some bad goals (I didn't see the games)...Regardless, they are not being outplayed since they outshot their opponents by a 2-to-1 margin...PHOE is going back-to-back tonight so I'll take the Ducks on the puck-line... ======================================================================== Sunday's picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) Ana -1.5, 2) Van -0.5, 3) TB -- Salami - Home Teams Totals: 1) Van un, 2) TB un, 3) Ana ov -- Salami un Good Luck...brewers7 ========================================================================
  3. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... ======================================================================== Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ======================================================================== Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection... ======================================================================== Preseason posted plays: 9-3-1 ======================================================================== Season To Date: 27-15, +$1466 Sides: 11-4, +$743, Totals: 9-8, +$305, 1H bets: 1-1, -$4, 2H bets: 3-1, +$193, ML: 1-1, +$29, Quarters: 2-0, +$200 ======================================================================== Sunday, November 19 San Antonio Spurs -2.5 -- $105 to win $100 Feels like a square play here, but I feel the injury of Brad Miller is going to catch up with this Kings' team...Sure, they are unbeaten at Home, but the Spurs are unbeaten on the Road...Sure, the Spurs eliminated the Kings from the playoffs last season so the Kings should be up for this one, looking for some revenge...SA won by 3 in their only regular season trip to ARCO last season, and I will take a shot with a minimum play on the better team...I will pass on the Under here although SA has played 5 straight Unders in regulation and although SAC has 3 straight Overs, they were against TOR, GS and a MEMP team trying out a new offense...This total is a bit high for these 2 teams... Good Luck...brewers7 ======================================================================== Sunday's Picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) SA, 2) Chi Totals: 1) SA un, 2) Chi un Chicago at LA Lakers: Ben Gordon is probable...The Bulls have lost 3 straight and I just don't see them losing 4 in a row here...The Bulls won here last year...These two teams have gone Under 5 straight h2h...The Lakers have 5 straight Unders after starting the year with 4 straight Overs...Lean to the Under here... ======================================================================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ======================================================================== Recent Results: Yesterday: 1-2 (+$86) Last 3 days: 3-2 (+$386) Last 7 days: 8-4 (+$487) ======================================================================== Database sample links: http://www.tricountyleague.com/TeamSample.xls http://www.tricountyleague.com/SeasonBySeasonSample.xls ======================================================================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Bet with your head, not over it...Stay humble…Act professional… ========================================================================
  4. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... ======================================================================== 2nd half bet: Saturday, November 18 New Jersey Nets, 2H, -9.5 -- $107 to win $100 NJ shooting about 25% and PORT shooting over 50% and NJ down 17 and can still cover this 2H spread even if they lose by 7 for the game...NJ ccannot play any worse here...Any kind of effort at all will get this under a 7-point deficit for the game...FG percentages should even out here... Good Luck...brewers7 ========================================================================
  5. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... Ok, cannot help myself here...I have to add another $150 bet on this total...I was seriously considering this as a maximum play bet ($1000), but it is too early in the season to be betting that big on a total...I just don't see any way this game doesn't hit 220, but maybe I am wrong here... ======================================================================== (Additional bet on this total): Saturday, November 18 Toronto/Denver over 215 -- $150 to win $153 Total coming down slightly...That is fine with me...Toronto hasn't hit 215 yet and just missed going Over again last night, which is perfect for me, because tonight should be the explosion game against a Denver team who doesn't play defense...TOR won't be shooting 40% from the floor forever, and I expect close to 180 shots going up tonight...Raptors still reaching totals of 207, 209, 210 & 213...I had this game circled 3 days ago...Denver is about as wide-open as it gets, save Phoenix, and Toronto is run-and-gun, with a very fast pace to their games and a lot of shots going up...Previous trends are out the window here, in my estimation, as I simply see these teams running-and-gunning all game long and unless Denver gets up by 30 or we have bricks going up all night, this should hit 220... Good Luck...brewers7 ======================================================================== Saturday's Picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) Was, 2) Tor, 3) Char, 4) Phoe, 5) Port, 6) Mia, 7) Memp, 8) NO, 9) Bos, 10) GS, 11) Phi, 12) Ind, 13) Det Totals: 1) Tor ov, 2) Memp ov, 3) Char un, 4) Bos ov, 5) Phi un, 6) Port ov, 7) Mia un, 8) NO un, 9) GS ov, 10) Det un, 11) Was un, 12) Ind un, 13) Phoe un Note on the PHOE total: if Nash doesn't play, the Under is a MUCH stronger play... ========================================================================
  6. Re: NHL Week 7 thread... ======================================================================== A freaky thing happened today after I picked my games and ranked them...An NHL capper who I respect posted 3 totals on another forum and his 3 totals mtach up EXACTLY with my top 3 totals...Unreal...Something in the stars there...I HAVE TO BET ALL 3...Have to...Period... ======================================================================== Record 7-4, +$163 Bets: Buffalo/Ottawa over 7, $100 to win $110 Two fast-skating teams here, so some open-ice opportunities may be created and the Penguins are starting their backup goalie, Jocelyn Thibault tonight...All the potential for a shootout here...More of a gut-shot play than a trend play...I feel there are just too many scorers on the ice tonight not to have at least a 3-3 game going into OT which gets us a push... Philadelphia/San Jose over 6, $108 to win $100 Philly starting to score a little bit, but I am worried slightly about them getting much against SJ here, but, SJ can certainly get 6 themselves against a Philly team that is bad defensively...Philly 2 straight Overs out West and SJ Over 3 of their last 4... Columbus/Nashville over 6, $104 to win $100 Nashville seems to be playing wide-open again, so I will take a shot here and hope they have another Over in them tonight against CLM, who is flaky but these two just had a 9 on 11/15...90 shots on goal he last NASH game against Minny 2 nights ago...Hope for more of the same here... Edmonton Oliers, $125 to win $100 Detroit is going on the back-end of a back-to-back and Joey MacDonald is in Net since Chris Osgood is hurt...DET has been terrible out West this season with their only win at VAN (with losses to SJ, ANA and EDM already -- do we need to count a win vs. LA?)...EDM 2-1 in this situational spot when they have rest and their opponents do not...Also a strong chart-play for me to fade DET after winning and covering 9 straight and now losing last night... Dallas Stars, $100 to win $110 The Stars have been one of the best teams in the NHL on the back-end of back-to-back games the last 2 seasons, and are already 3-1 this season...And in this case, BOTH teams are going 2 in a row and Marty Turco is in Net so I will take Dallas as plus-juice any day of the week... ======================================================================== Saturday's picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) Edm, 2) Dal, 3) Nash -1.5, 4) NYR, 5) Fla -0.5, 6) Buf, 7) Mon -0.5, 8) Phi +1.5, 9) Min -0.5, 10) Tor, 11) Bos -0.5, 12) LA -0.5 -- Salami - Home Teams Totals: 1) Buf ov, 2) Phi ov, 3) Nash ov, 4) Dal un, 5) Min un, 6) Tor ov, 7) Mon ov, 8) LA ov, 9) Bos un, 10) Fla ov, 11) NYR un, 12) Edm un -- Salami ov Good Luck...brewers7 ========================================================================
  7. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... I agree with ALL of those TazaD...GL to ya sir...:ok ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Made 2 bets already for SAT... ======================================================================= Early looks at Saturday's games (remember these are looks and info I am passing along and is by no means a "play" on anything yet): Cleveland at Washington: Cleveland will undoubtedly be the square play of the day (61% of the early bets already on CLE), because how could the team with the best record in the league be getting points against Washington, who has been playing terrible...Larry Hughes will be missing his second game with a sprained ankle...His teammates rose up to win and cover last night...WASH will be the team with the motivation here as they were eliminated by the Cavs in the playoffs last year and beaten on National television the 2nd night of this season at CLE...It is the Wiz or no-play for me...WAS has 3 straight Unders after 4 straight Overs...This Vegas total looks high to me for this series... Charlotte at Orlando: These teams hav gone Over 6 of 8 in this h2h series, but that Vegas total just looks too high to me...CHAR has only gone Over twice in 8 games this season in regulation and one was against Denver, so does that even count?...CHAR is 1st in FG% allowed and ORL is 3rd...If you don't count back-end of bk-2-bk games, ORL hasn't gone Over since the first 2 games of the season...And 8.5 also looks like too many points despite CHAR off a huge upset win at SA...This h2h series is tied at 4-4... Miami at Atlanta: Not sure why we are waiting for a line here when we know Shaq is out for 4 to 6 weeks...Miami will be a Dog here, a rare spot for them as they have dominated this h2h series recently...The Heat have won 13 of the last 15 straight up, covering 11...Atlanta did win the last meeting, but this was a meaningless game on the second-to-last day of the season last year and Miami sat Wade, SHAQ, Mourning & Peyton in that contest...So can we even count that one?...13 wins in the last 14 h2h for Miami before that meaningless game...But how flat are the Champs right now?...Miami was 6-10 ATS last season on the back-end of bk-2-bks...This has been an Over series recently h2h with 8 of the last 10 going Over... Portland at New Jersey: The Blazers are finally falling back to reality on this disastrous Road trip...This will be their 4th game in 5 nights, and for people in the know, when we have a game like thisthe general rule of thumb is to take the Away Team every time...This situational spot is 5-2 ATS for the Away Team thus far this season...PORT had one 4-of-5 game last year on the Road at MILW and covered that spot...NJ heads West after this game...I cannot go against the trend here, but won't bet PORT because I suddenly do not trust them after they have lost and not covered 4 straight...This series has gone Under 5 straight and 8 of 10, but PORT is still a chart-play for me because after 5 straight Unders, they now have 4 straight Overs and NJ had their 232 total on their only back-ender this season... Houston at Detroit: This h2h series had gone Under 5 straight until an Over on 1/22/06 last season at Detroit...Houston playing a surprising number of Overs to this point of the season...Pistons not getting any respect here as they are a Pick in their own building...But it is understandable as HOU looks solid and the Pistons no longer have that dominating presence, so even though DET has covered 8 of the last 10 in this series, the Rockets covered here last season losing by 2 as 11.5 Dogs...I have no opinion either way... Boston at New York: Coach Isiah Thomas said in the preseason that until the Knicks are mathematically eliminated, their goal is to win the championship this year...That may be optimism on creatine, but the Knicks have won 2 straight and are 4-6 with a win-able game at MSG tonight...However, Boston has won 7-of-9 in this h2h series...3 of the last 4 and 5 of 7 have gone Under h2h...NY suddenly has 4 straight Unders after 4 straight Overs, but I don't foresee NY ever having an extended Under streak thiss eason...BOS has 2 straight Overs and this game just smells like an Over to me...Both teams shot over 50% last night, so can they keep that up tonight?... New Orleans at Minnesota: No line yet and I am not sure why here...Looked around for an injury (maybe Blount is questionable after Friday night's game?)...The hornets have covered 7 of 8 h2h in this series...They are 1-0 ATS so far when they have rest and their opponent does not, but that was a Home game (vs. HOU)...Minny is 1-1 on the back-end of bk-2-bks, covering the 4-of-5 spot and both were on the Road while this one is at Home...6 of the last 8 have gone Over in this h2h series...NO 8th and Minny 9th in FG% allowed thus far, though, and Minny Under in BOTH of their back-enders this season, so the Under is a natural look... Indiana at Milwaukee: The Home Team has won 8 of the last 10 and the Under has gone 7 of 10 in this h2h series...This Vegas total looks low at first blush to me, but this is a chart-play for the MILW Under as they have 2 straight Unders after 5 straight Overs...Indy is 1-2 SU and ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks on the Road so far this season... Memphis at Dallas: Dallas has won and covered 13 of their last 14 vs. Memphis, including last year's first-round sweep over the Grizzlies...However, this is the back-end of a Home-and-Home, so since Dallas covered the front-end at Memphis, my kneejerk handicapping reaction to the back-end is to take Memphis and the points as they don't even need to win to cover the spread here...However, Dallas is certainly the chart-play, now on a C4 after a NC4 to the start the season and it's 4 wins after 4 losses, too...For tonight, Dallas has 4 straight Overs and MEMP, after 6 straight Unders in regulation, has 2 straight BIG-TIME Overs, so this is a strong chart-play to the Over for them...And I id point out already the new offensive scheme now implemented by the Grizz... Toronto at Denver: I marked this game on my calendar 3 days ago...Over-Over-Over...Denver has installed a new Phoenix-like offense for this season, and although they don't have the right personnel in place to run this system, the Nuggets have still gone Over 5 of 7 games this season (pushing their last total at ORL)...These teams basically run and gun and look to get as many shots off in as short an amount of time as possible...DEN is 25th and TOR is 27th in FG% allowed, so defense will be an after-thought here and unless Denver kills this team by 25 or 30, this game should hit 225 or 230 or above unless they are clanking bricks all night...Toronto might be a charrt-play here on the Side as they covered last night (barely) after Not covering 5 straight... Phoenix at Utah: No line as Steve Nash is questionable with back spasms...Everything hinges on Nash playing here...PHOE is an Under team without him, and I don't know if they Cover here 2 nights in a row without him...This is a quick-revenge spot for PHOE who lost to Utah at Home on 11/3...Utah is already 2-0 SU & ATS this season when they AND their opponent are on the back-end of bk-2-bks, while PHOE is 0-1 SU & ATS in the same spot...Coach Dunleavy of the Clippers said the Jazz are the best team in the Western Conference after the Clips got throttled by Utah on 11/14...But I would have to take PHOE whether Nash plays or not and the total should go Over if Nash plays and Under if he doesn't...Utah is Over 4 straight... Philadelphia at LA Clippers: The Clips got mangled by the Jazz at Utah and have had 3 days rest to lick their wounds from that 22-point loss...We have a chart-play against the Clips because they didn't cover last time out after 4 straight Covers...Clips are 0-2 on the Road, but 5-0 at Home (4-1 ATS)...Philly has covered 4 of the last 5 times at LAC...Clips Under 4 of their 5 Home games with PHOE being the obly Over, so I lean to the Under here... Seattle at Golden State: At first blush, how does this game NOT go Over?...GS shot 57.7% two nights ago and SEA shot 53.6% last night, so my kneejerk handicapping reaction would be to think Under here with these teams coming off solid shooting nights...GS is 12th in FG% allowed (a bit surprising), while SEA is 28th (no surprise)...GS has gone Under 4 straight games at Home vs. SEA, with 202 being the highest scoring game...GS has covered 6 straight in this h2h series...GS has also covered 6 straight overall THIS season coming into this contest...GS 2-1 SU & ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not this season...Seattle is 2-0 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks so far this season... =======================================================================
  8. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... This is my 2nd play for Saturday...Big board, lots of trends in play, there may be more... ======================================================================== Saturday, November 18 Memphis/Dallas over 189 -- $110 to win $100 People are pounding the daylights out of this Over at Pinnacle as it is 188 with -135 juice there, so ran over to 5dimes and took the 189 at normal juice...This is the second-half of a Home-and-Home series and yes, I know all about these teams playing games in the 170s and 180s the past several seasons, but Memphis has apparantly changed their offensive philosophy and are playing small-ball and using their speed and quickness to produce some more offense...I generally don't like taking an Over on the back-end of a Home-and-Home after an extreme Over in the first game, but I don't think Vegas is moving the line enough to catch up with the new Memphis offensive style...But you need to bet it now before all value is lost, but heck, the way Memphis is playing now, 200 may not be a problem...This is obviously still a strong chart-play for me for the Over, and if you need more details on the new Memphis offensive style, then see my post for Friday's Over with these same two teams... Good Luck...brewers7 ========================================================================
  9. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... If I see a 2H play tonight, I'll play it, but had to grab this before it goes up any more... ======================================================================== Saturday, November 18 Toronto/Denver over 216 -- $164 to win $150 It opened at 213, but I was handicapping the NHL and figured it wouldn't move too much in an hour...Yeah, right...Up to 215 in no time flat and I actually bought up a point to get 216 at lower juice...Toronto hasn't hit 216 yet and have a game pending yet tonight against the Lakers, but the Raptors are shooting around 40% in a lot of these games and still reaching totals of 209, 210 & 213...I had this game circled 3 days ago...No way the total should be less than 220...Denver is about as wide-open as it gets, save Phoenix, and Toronto is run-and-gun, with a very fast pace to their games and a lot of shots going up...Previous trends are out the window here, in my estimation, as I simply see these teams running-and-gunning all game long and unless Denver gets up by 30 or we have bricks going up all night, this should hit 220... Good Luck...brewers7 ========================================================================
  10. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... That's probably it for tonight...I'll look for 2H lines, but I kind of just wanted to play ONE tonight and that will be it... Although I will probably bet the Denver/Toronto Over soon for Saturday because the line is moving up out of control... GL...
  11. Re: NHL Week 7 thread... ======================================================================== Record 7-3, +$263 Bets: Pittsburgh/Buffalo over 7, $100 to win $101 Two fast-skating teams here, so some open-ice opportunities may be created and the Pebguins are starting their backup goalie, Jocelyn Thibault tonight...All the potential for a shootout here...More of a gut-shot play than a trend play...I feel there are just too many scorers on the ice tonight not to have at least a 3-3 game going into OT which gets us a push... ======================================================================== Friday's picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) Ana -1.5, 2) Cal, 3) Van -0.5, 4) NYI, 5) Buf -0.5, 6) NJ, 7) Was, 8) Clm, 9) Atl -- Salami - Home Teams Totals: 1) Buf ov, 2) Cal un, 3) Van ov, 4) Ana un, 5) NYI un, 6) NJ un, 7) Atl un, 8) Was un, 9) Clm un -- Salami un Good Luck...brewers7 ========================================================================
  12. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... ======================================================================== Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ======================================================================== Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection... ======================================================================== Preseason posted plays: 9-3-1 ======================================================================== Season To Date: 25-13, +$1230 Sides: 11-4, +$743, Totals: 7-7, -$38, 1H bets: 1-1, -$4, 2H bets: 3-0, +$300, ML: 1-1, +$29, Quarters: 2-0, +$200 System Plays: 0-0 ======================================================================== Friday, November 17 Dallas/Memphis over 186 -- $165 to win $150 Like I said in my overview of today's games, this is a strong chart-play for me because Dallas has hit their offensive stride with 3 straight Overs and MEMP just had their first Over in regulation time, but it wasn't just an Over, it was a game that went Over by almost 50 points...Why did that happen?...Maybe this excerpt from the Memphis newspaper, the Commercial Appeal will give us some insight: INSIDE THE GRIZZLIES For the first time this season, the Griz can be encouraged by how well they played offensively. Committing to essentially a four-guard lineup created better ball movement, a faster pace and easier shots in their past two games. Said coach Mike Fratello: "What we've seen is that our most productive minutes have been when we go with speed and quickness. (The Sacramento game) was a step forward in the right direction." Eddie Jones is suffering from a sore Achilles so his status remains up in the air. It'll be a daily call as to whether he'll play. After sitting out Wednesday's loss at Sacramento, Jones will have had four days rest and could be available. The Griz spent Thursday traveling so there was no word yet concerning rookie Rudy Gay's availability. Gay, who started Wednesday in place of Jones, suffered a mild sprained ankle against the Kings. This would seem to tell me that the Griz are going to play small-ball and use their quickness to run up and down the floor...I also read another article in that paper where it seemed as though management was pressuring Coach Fratello to speed up the pace and go with the younger, quicker players...For me, it is generally a red-flag when a team suddenly goes Over a total by 50 points in regulation time after being a stone Under team all season...This is a strong chart-play for me, so there is no other way to go but Over... Good Luck...brewers7 ======================================================================== Friday's Picks for tracking purposes: Sides: 1) Port, 2) Phoe, 3) Sea, 4) SA, 5) Was, 6) NY, 7) Tor, 8) Dal, 9) Ind, 10) Min Totals: 1) Dal ov, 2) Tor ov, 3) Was ov, 4) Port ov, 5) NY ov, 6) SA un, 7) Ind ov, 8) Sea ov, 9) Min ov, 10) Phoe un ======================================================================== Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above... ======================================================================== Recent Results: Yesterday: 1-0 (+$150) Last 3 days: 4-3 (+$1) Last 7 days: 8-6 (+$132) ======================================================================== Database sample links: http://www.tricountyleague.com/TeamSample.xls http://www.tricountyleague.com/SeasonBySeasonSample.xls ======================================================================== Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Bet with your head, not over it...Stay humble…Act professional… ========================================================================
  13. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... Feel free to post whatever you like in this thread TazaD... The more information that is in here, the better... GL yo ya...
  14. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... Yes...I don't like these game too much tonight, but will look for one solid play... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ======================================================================= Early looks at Friday's games, although not a lot of significant trends jumping out here as I don't like this board much...Should be a lot of trends kicking in for Saturday's big board: New Jersey at Indiana: Have no choice but to look at Indy here as they shot 38% from the field last game while getting buried at Boston and NJ shot 55% while beating Milwaukee...Indy also was eliminated by the Nets in the playoffs last year and this is the first meeting since then...Indy had covered 4 straight h2h vs. NJ in the regular season...Nothing significant standing out on the total except both teams are playing more Unders than Overs in games that are NOT back-ends of bk-2-bk nights... New York at Miami: No line listed due to SHAQ being questionable...This had been an Under series in the past, but some Overs are sneaking in, including 2 out of 3 Overs last season...Miami has won and covered 4 straight h2h...Knicks won't go Under forever, so this could be the game where there 3-game undeer steak ends as Miami may decide to run with them... Portland at Boston: I don't see any valid reason why PORT is getting 7.5 points here...The Celtics have covered 3 straight in this h2h series...I suppose since the Blazers have lost 4 straight on the Road, not covering any of them is the reason, but PORT was within 4 points of covering in ALL 4 of those games...They are a great teaser team right now as they are just missing getting under these numbers...Possible let-down spot here for the Celts here after the dominating win over Indy last time out...PORT is a chart-play to the Over because after 5 straight Unders, they have gone Over 3 straight... Minnesota at Cleveland: The Cavs have quietly put together the best record in the East at this early stage of the season...Minny is 9th and Cleve is 11th in FG% allowed...Minny has covered 6 of the last 8 in this h2h series...No strong opinion here, but when in doubt, I take the points...These teams have been playing Unders this season as CLE is Under 6 of their 8 games in regulation...Minny has 2 straight Overs after being Under 4 of 5... Washington at Detroit: What is wrong with the Pistons?...DET is 19th in FG% allowed...The Pistons had owned WASH until last season, when the Wiz swept them in the regular season, winning all 3 games (although the final one was a game where Detroit sat most of their starters on the last day of the season)...WASH has had back-to-back games where they have shot terrible, 35% vs. NJ and 31.5% vs. NY, so how long will this go on?...DET has also lost 2 straight, but shooting poorly hasn't been the issue...I would expect DET to rise up here, but wouldn't bet on it...If you don't count that final regular season game last season between these two where many DET starters didn't even play, this series has had 7 straight Overs and a push... Dallas at Memphis: Dallas has won and covered 12 of their last 13 vs. Memphis, including last year's first-round sweep over the Grizzlies...However, this is the first of a Home-and-Home, so I could wait until this game tonight is in the books and go the other way tomorrow...Dallas is still a bit of a chart-play after a NC4 (all losses), they have covered 3 straight (all wins)...I don't see Dallas slowing down and see them covering tonight and then not covering tomorrow at Home when they are favored by 9 or 10...For tonight, Dallas has 3 straight Overs and MEMP, after 6 straight Unders in regulation, had their first Over (in a big way) at SAC, so this may be a strong chart-play to the Over for them... Chicago at San Antonio: The Bulls have covered 5 straight games at SA and won there last season...However, I kind of pity CHI here facing SA off a big upset loss to Charlotte last time out at Home...Ben Wallace did hurt his bicep last night and I am not 100% certain he'll play after reading the Chicago newspapers online...For me, this is a Spurs or no-play situation...Major bounce-back spot here...CHI has gone Over 4 of 5, and the Spurs have gone Under 4 straight in regulation...No opinion on that total although these 2 teams have gone Over 3 straight h2h... Utah at Seattle: Seattle has won 3 straight in this h2h series...Utah is off to an awesome start, sporting the league's best record...So is this trap-city here?...Seems to be, but this is the second game with AK47 out for Utah...Does this matter?...Not according to 82games.com: http://www.82games.com/0607/0607UTA.HTM These numbers can be deceiving sometimes, but whenever a team has an injured players this website is good to find out whether a tam really misses that player or not...Just click on all of the teams and check it out...Big surprise how important Wade is to Miami, huh?...Anyway, this game has trap written all over it...Is Utah peeking ahead to PHOE tomorrow night at Home?...Utah 3 straight Overs...No opinion on this total right now... Philadelphia at Phoenix: The Suns have won and covered 4 straight in this h2h series fairly easily...The Suns have 5 days rest to prepare for this one...After a 2-5 start, I would imagine PHOE will be dying to get back on the court and take out their frustrations on someone...Sixers off a nice win, but they used defense to notch that "W"...Both of Philly's last 2 trips to PHOE stayed Under because the Suns were killing them, a 20-point win and a 29-point win...Pointspread seems a bit low, so I am going to want to watch the line-move here...My gut says PHOE blows them out, which may keep it Under, although it's hard for me to EVER bet a PHOE game under... Toronto at LA Lakers: Toronto seems to be a slow-starting team under Coach Sam Mitchell as the Raptors were 0-8 ATS last season and are 1-6 this season ATS, thus far, with a current NC5 going...Lake-show with 4 days rest to prepare for this one, but the Lakers have a tendency to play to the level of their competition...Kobe went off on this Raptors' team for 81 points last year at Staples...LAL has covered 4 straight at Staples vs. TOR...Again, for me, when in doubt, take the points, but man the Raptors aren't playing wel right now...I think this total can fly Over 207 as TOR shot 40% their last outing vs. GS and still fell a bucket or 2 away from going Over...Lakers 4 straight Unders after 4 Overs to start the season and the Raptors had an Under last time out after 4 straight Overs... =======================================================================
  15. Re: NBA Week 3 thread (20-10, +$1079 on the year)... Sorry to hear that about the 1Q bet...Pinny and 5dimes had 51.5... That was a moneyline bet with Philly... Another words, with zero points (or Pk, short for Pick) the 76ers were +158 for that game, so since I thought the 76ers would win the game, I took the 76ers +4 for 100$ and the 76ers moneyline at +158, betting 50$ to win 79$... If you have any questions at all when I post feel free to ask right away... GL...