DanDan Hand Analysis

[GaF]

As I have mentioned - I recorded my entire game at Mansion from last night. It comes in at 2 hrs 35 mins and 72 mb - I intend to upload it for completeness (and anyone mad enough to want to watch it all!!!), however my main intention is to upload an edited version with a few key/interesting hands. By special request from DanDan, here you can see the first one - interested in thoughts on my play good or (especially) bad:-) http://www.screencast.com/users/GaF/media/6a64a670-2729-4ed9-98ee-73580f2ef069 This hand largely demonstrates my strategy that I discussed in DaftPegasus' vid thread. I am on the button with 86s. The blinds are 25/50 and the average stack at the table is about 2000 chips. This gives me large implied odds if I play a drawing hand. My connectors have a gap in them and are quite low, so I'm not overjoyed by them, however when it comes round to me with two limpers and knowing I'm on the button, I decide to try and see a cheap flop. SB folds and BB checks - I get to see my cheap flop which comes down AT4 giving me the 4 flush :-). I'm not too happy, because it isn't a high flush draw, however the A spades on the board decreases the chance someone else has the flush draw (AsXs isn't in someones hand!!). Three players before me all check - I take the free card ...... Looking at it now I would have preferred a pot sized bet - I wouldn't have been disappointed to take it down there and then, however a caller wouldn't have been bad news as I would have started building the pot...... The turn comes a 7 (not spade). This is a nice card for me (other than a spade) and adds an up and down straight draw for me. I now consider myself to have 9 spades, 3 fives and 3 nines as outs - that's 15 outs - about 30% to hit with the river to come......Again everyone checks to me - with the stronger draw I'm happy to put a bet sized bet in - if I take it down, all well and good, if I get callers, no problem, I'm building the pot in case I hit..... Rippy and Hodgey fold on cue, but DanDan check raises me!!! Alarm bells are ringing!!!! But it's quite a small raise and I easily have the odds to call (I don't believe DanDan has anything that could be beating me if I hit one of my outs......the 4s and 7s pairing the board and giving me my flush would be the big danger cards). I get a dream card - the 9c. J8 is the only hand that can beat me now and I can be absolutely certain that DanDan does not have that - I KNOW I have won the hand and it is just a question of seeing how much I can win...... I'm pleased to see DanDan open the betting - but 200 into a pot of 1225 seems a weak bet - or a "call me" bet. What do I think DanDan can have here? I think a PP is a possibility - maybe 44, TT or 77 making trips. I also think a paired Ace is a possibility for 2 pair - A4, AT or A7. These are I feel the most likely hands. Now, this is where my experience of playing muppets too much comes in and not enough consideration that I'm up against a PL'r!! I raise all in expecting a call from a worse hand!! Will cost DanDan 1035 into a pot of 1425, but perhaps more importantly will leave DD with 300 chips and pretty much end her tourney. She makes a good lay down!! Note to self: When I am winning and against stronger players, make a bet on the river that they can call!!! I win the hand and have a healthy stack - but could I have won more? Could I have got DanDans stack? Should I have been in the hand at all? Should I have respected DD reraise more and got out of the hand? What did DD have? (I'm sure she'll tell us later) What would YOU have done different? (and why?)

[GaF]

Re: DanDan Hand Analysis Just to add - that link plays in the browser and is quite small (about 1mb) so don't be afraid of large downloads if you click on the link.......