Always betting on home favourites

[happygooner]

Just an idea but after trying a steady 3% drip, using many various sports, and really not enough discipline I need a rethink. By only placing bets (singles or doubles max) on the home favourite, surely the amount of bets lost would be proportionate (if not under) to those won. Therefore with a strict and rigid attempt at 3% increase for every bet, and for every bet lost the next target is still attempted but at slightly higher stake, in the long run you would surely attain target most days and even surpass it. I'm just interested to know you experienced heads views on this? For example a double bet placed today on Roma & Fiorentina to win at home. If this comes in the next target could be attempted with Tottenham at home. If Roma or Fiorentina (maybe both) fail then the attempt at next target is still made with Tottenham but at slightly higher stake and so on. Does that make sense??

[happygooner]

Re: Always betting on home favourites Betting on home favourites alone with either singles or doubles max is something I've been thinking about recently since things started going a little up and down with just general various picks. I decided that although not every favourite by a long shot will come in, the majority at anything under evens will still tend to end up that way. Therefore if after every loss where you attempted to reach a given target, you kept that target for the next bet, and staked slightly higher the profit would still end up the same as if all or most were wins. The potential is there to lose on what you had but if you think about 1/3 or even a 1/1 odds game, logic suggests that if your next bet doesn't come in then the one after will and if not certainly the next should. I gave it a go last night firstly betting on a Serie A double which lost out narrowly due to Roma drawing with Chievo. I then placed a higher stake on Spurs beating West Ham to attain the target I was trying to reach with prev bet. I did a double on FC Copenhagen & Stromsgodset for the next which both came in. I then placed on River Plate (Uruguay) to win at home while also placing on AC Milan & Slavia Prague. River Plate won so next target achieved. Both Milan and Slavia failed so next target not reached yet. In attempting to attain that next target with new bet a stake to cover both previous losing bets was placed on Sporting Cristal in Peruvian league. This came in so money from 2 lost bets was made back and then some. Final bet for the night was on Corinthians who went on to win. So with all of the above in mind regardless of the fact there were losses these were easily made up with interest on next bet. Going at 3% target for each bet you probably have only 4 chances at a loss before bank is severely hurt. Taking that down to maybe 1 or 2% for each bet would mean between 8 & 12 losers on the trot. Surely a good home favourite is going to provide you with a win long before you get to that stage. With several bets placed per day you could even attempt a 3% increment on bank each day while only playing safe with 1% bets for the majority. Does anyone have any comments on this idea????