raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Share Posted October 14, 2006 Lets see how far a 1000 pounds of imaginary money goes The idea of this system is to bet on under 2.5 goals before the game and lay off at half time or at my discretion. All bets will be 100 pound and lay off will hopefully be more This system took me years and years , sorry minutes and minutes ;) to research and revolves around the fact that most goals are scored in the second half of the games selected arsenal v watford 2.32 aston villa v Spurs 1.67 liverpool v blackburn 1.8 Man city v sheff utd 1.74 Middlesborough v everton 1.73 Portsmouth v West ham 1.74 Reading V Chelsea 1.86 Wigan v man u 1.86 All bets are taken with Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time half time at wigan price at 1.8 wait until price reaches 1.7 and will lay off 110 hopefully profit of 10 over 2.5 or profit of 9 under 2.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time 5 min into 2nd half 1.7 reached profit 9 under 10 over;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time arsenal watford no layaston villa spurs lay off under 2,5 at 1,19 100 man city sheff utd off under 2.5 at 1,24 at 100 no action on other games will lay off later into 2nd half Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time lay portmouth game at 1.5 100 lay liverpool game at 1.5 100 lay middlesborough at 1.5 100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time only 1 loss arsenal -100 Aston villa v spurs +48 Liverpool v blackburn +27 man city v sheff +50 portsmouth v west ham +24 wigan V man utd +10 middlesborough v Everton 0 break even profit 59 - commisiion 57.82 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time laying off reading chelsea at 1.35 110 profit 10 if over under 47.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huckleberry Posted October 14, 2006 Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time I like the system. Keep it up :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 14, 2006 Author Share Posted October 14, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Information required by moderator Over the last couple of years I have realised that a high percentage of Premiership games and certain champions league games end up at 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1 at half time .Using this statistics I aim to lay off these If 2 goals are scored before h/t then I will use my discretion to retrieve my losses Games at 0-0 at h/t will be layed off at 120 pound from now on as at 1.2 the extra 20 pounds will only creep 4 pound into profit Games at 1-0 or 0-1 at h/t will be layed of when 10 pounds profit can be obtained ie like the utd match today If 2 goals are scored before h/t I will use my discretion to minimise losses Due to time restriction not all weekend games will be covered but selected games during week will be profit today 106.50 -5% comm =101.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
O1F Posted October 15, 2006 Share Posted October 15, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Very interesting strategy. Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 15, 2006 Author Share Posted October 15, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Unfortunately did not arrive home until 1/2 time for newcastle game So this game as not recorded in stats For those who follow system I think the odds at the start of the game was 1.75 and odds at half time was 1,57 and therefore would have layed off 113 pounds for a profit of 13 pounds over and 12 pounds under Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time fulham v charlton under 2,5 100 at 1,81 lay off around h/t Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 16, 2006 Author Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time half time score at fulham 0-0 lay 2.5 goals at 1.25 140 pounds profit of 40 pounds over 2.5 profit of 46 pounds under 2.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted October 16, 2006 Share Posted October 16, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Nicely done - match finished 2-1 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 17, 2006 Author Share Posted October 17, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Thanks kanga 40-comm =38 pounds new bank=1139.12 yield 13.9% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 21, 2006 Author Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time bet for this lunch time wigan V man city back under 2.5 at 1.67 100 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 21, 2006 Author Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time with betfair not looking good 2-0 at h/t Will wait for odds of under 2.5 come down to 2.0 and will lay off 100 if this lay is taken then will lose 33 pound under 2.5 or break even if over 2.5 :hope will take full loss if this bet is not taken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 21, 2006 Author Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time 100 down already chelsea v pompey odds 2.0 aston villa v fulham odds 1.85 charlton v watford odds 1.76 everton v sheff utd odds 1.81 100 on each Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 21, 2006 Author Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time lay off chelsea vpompey at 1.28 150 pounds lay off charlton watford 1.25 140 pounds leave everton game until later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 21, 2006 Author Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time lay off everton at 1.5 120 pound Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 21, 2006 Author Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time lay off aston villa v fulham 100 pounds at 2.0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie4 Posted October 21, 2006 Share Posted October 21, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Good thread, did you back test this over past seasons? I just wondered also if you have looked other leagues (e.g Italian)? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 22, 2006 Author Share Posted October 22, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time Thanks for the comments eddie I have only used this system with the premiership as the liquidity is quite high I need information on the results at half time over the past couple of seasons Ie games ended at 0 goals scored 1,2,and more than 3 goals scored Games for yesterday ended up at Wigan v man city loss 100 Aston villa v fulham loss 15 Charlton v Watford profit 41 Everton v sheff utd profit 21 Chelsea v Portsmouth profit 50 Loss 115- profit (112-5.6 comm)=-8.60 Overall profit =1139.12- 8.60= 1130.52 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raylin Posted October 22, 2006 Author Share Posted October 22, 2006 Re: under 2.5 system and lay off half time unable to post todays games but with 2 0-0 draws at half time would have possible canceled the arsenal result with the other 3 games would have showed a profit being only 1 goal scored by half time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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