davidmphill Posted September 19, 2006 Share Posted September 19, 2006 This is based on a system that Randall ran a while ago. It involves going with winning streaks and against losing streaks. 10 pts on each so if say A are at B and A have lost 1 and B win 4 in a row then the pick is B If both have a winning / losing streak then its no bet. All streaks have to be 3 or more to be included. If theres a streak of 3 wins against a 2 win streak then no bet. If theres a 3 losing streak against a 2 losing streak then no bet. Fairly straight forward. For my ease I shall be using Sporting Odds' odds for this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 19, 2006 Author Share Posted September 19, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Tuesday 19th Sept 1. BRAVES 3 wins @ Nationals 1.74 2. CUBS 3 wins @ Phillies 3.05 3. ORIOLES @ Devil Rays 8 losses 1.81 4. Reds 3 losses @ ASTROS 1.76 5. TIGERS @ White Sox 4 losses 2.05 6. Mariners @ RANGERS 3 wins 1.81 7. Giants 3 losses @ ROCKIES 2.21 8. PIRATES 3 wins @ Dodgers 2.60 Another selection is Marlins 3 losses @ METS. Just waiting to get the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 19, 2006 Author Share Posted September 19, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Got a price on the Mets. 9. Marlins 3 losses @ METS 2.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 20, 2006 Author Share Posted September 20, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Tuesday 19th Sept 1. BRAVES 3 wins @ Nationals 1.74 Lost 2-9 (-10) 2. CUBS 3 wins @ Phillies 3.05 Lost 1-4 (-10) 3. ORIOLES @ Devil Rays 8 losses 1.81 Won 5-4 (+8.1) 4. Reds 3 losses @ ASTROS 1.76 Lost 5-4 (-10) 5. TIGERS @ White Sox 4 losses 2.05 Lost 0-7 (-10) 6. Mariners @ RANGERS 3 wins 1.81 Lost 7-9 (-10) 7. Giants 3 losses @ ROCKIES 2.21 Won 4-12 (+12.1) 8. PIRATES 3 wins @ Dodgers 2.60 Won 10-6 (+16) 9. Marlins 3 losses @ METS 2.1 Won 2-3 (+11) Not the best start!! Staked: 90 Return: 87.2 Profit: -2.8 Yield: -0.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 20, 2006 Author Share Posted September 20, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Wednesday 20th Sept 1. ORIOLES 3 wins @ Devil Rays 9 losses 2.16 2. TWINS 3 wins @ Red Sox 2.22 3. Marlins 4 losses @ METS 2.14 4. PIRATES 4 wins @ Dodgers 3.05 5. Giants 4 losses @ ROCKIES 3 wins 2.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 21, 2006 Author Share Posted September 21, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Wednesday 20th Sept 1. ORIOLES 3 wins @ Devil Rays 9 losses 2.16 Lost 2-4 (-10) 2. TWINS 3 wins @ Red Sox 2.22 Won 8-2 (+12.2) 3. Marlins 4 losses @ METS 2.14 Lost 6-3 (-10) 4. PIRATES 4 wins @ Dodgers 3.05 Won 6-4 (+20.5) 5. Giants 4 losses @ ROCKIES 3 wins 2.02 Lost 7-4 (-10) Staked: 140 Returns: 139.9 Profit: -0.1 Yield: -0.07% Nearly back in the black! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 21, 2006 Author Share Posted September 21, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Just 2 players today Thursday 21st Sept 1. TWINS 4 wins @ Red Sox 2. PIRATES 5 wins @ Dodgers Prices to be added Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 21, 2006 Author Share Posted September 21, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Thursday 21st Sept 1. TWINS 4 wins @ Red Sox 1.62 2. PIRATES 5 wins @ Dodgers 2.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 22, 2006 Author Share Posted September 22, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Thursday 21st Sept 1. TWINS 4 wins @ Red Sox 1.62 lost 0-6 (-10) 2. PIRATES 5 wins @ Dodgers 2.95 lost 2-5 (-10) Dissapointing last night. Staked: 160 Returns: 139.9 Profit: -20.1 Yield: -12.56% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MetallicIan Posted September 22, 2006 Share Posted September 22, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball David, great to see you trialling another new system! I saw something last year (although I can't remember where!) where the oppsite strategy was being used i.e going against the trend and backing any teams with a 4 game or greater losing streak, and laying any teams with a 4 game or greater win streak. Just thinking, would be much extra work to run the two strategies side by side for comparison, maybe for evaluation after 200 bets or so?? All the best with this one.:ok Ian Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 22, 2006 Author Share Posted September 22, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Cheers Ian, I intend to run it until the end of the regular season before deciding what to do with it next year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted September 22, 2006 Share Posted September 22, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Unlucky with your start david. Hopefully a turn around in fortunes just round the corner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 22, 2006 Author Share Posted September 22, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Cheers Staffy, hope so. This I'm suer will be profitable from the very beginning of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 22, 2006 Author Share Posted September 22, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Friday 22nd Sept 1. Indians 3 losses @ RANGERS 1.77 2. TIGERS @ Royals 3 losses 1.68 3. Angels @ ATHLETICS 3 wins 1.91 4. MARINERS 3 wins @ White Sox 2.48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dr.karl Posted September 23, 2006 Share Posted September 23, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball I did an analysis on the strikerate of these types of bet in baseball. I've deleted the spreadsheet but I remember it being just over 50% in certain season and in others nearly 60%. I don't have the odds but a strikerate of around 50% in baseball isn't surely be going to make a profit? I don't think it'll be profitable in the long run, if you want I can run the analysis again but it'll take a couple hours to work out how I originally did it and then write the spreadsheet! Alternatively I can give you the baseball data to test. I'd advise you to use small stakes, or paper trade the system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 23, 2006 Author Share Posted September 23, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Cheers karl. Any stats you can give i'd be more than happy to recieve. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 23, 2006 Author Share Posted September 23, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Friday 22nd Sept 1. Indians 3 losses @ RANGERS 1.77 won 4-12 (+£7.70) 2. TIGERS @ Royals 3 losses 1.68 won 7-3 (+£6.80) 3. Angels @ ATHLETICS 3 wins 1.91 won 4-5 (+£9.10) 4. MARINERS 3 wins @ White Sox 2.48 won 11-6 (+14.80) After 0/2 on Thursday we get 4/4 on Friday! Staked: 200 Returns: 218.3 Profit: 18.3 Yield: 9.15% Back in the black!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 23, 2006 Author Share Posted September 23, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Saturday 23rd Sept 1. MARINERS 4 wins @ White Sox 3 losses 2.18 2. Indians 4 losses @ RANGERS 1.57 3. TIGERS @ Royals 4 losses 1.57 4. Angels @ ATHLETICS 4 wins 1.88 5. Marlins @ PHILLIES 3 wins 1.47 6. Cardinals 3 losses @ ASTROS 3 wins 1.57 7. Giants @ BREWERS 3 wins 1.71 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 24, 2006 Author Share Posted September 24, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Saturday 23rd Sept 1. MARINERS 4 wins @ White Sox 3 losses 2.18 lost 7-11 (-10) 2. Indians 4 losses @ RANGERS 1.57 lost 6-3 (-10) 3. TIGERS @ Royals 4 losses 1.57 won 15-4 (+5.7) 4. Angels @ ATHLETICS 4 wins 1.88 lost 6-2 (-10) 5. Marlins @ PHILLIES 3 wins 1.47 won 6-8 (+4.7) 6. Cardinals 3 losses @ ASTROS 3 wins 1.57 won 4-7 (+5.7) 7. Giants @ BREWERS 3 wins 1.71 won 8-10 (+7.1) Staked: 270 Returns: 281.5 Profit: 11.5 Yield: 4.26% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 24, 2006 Author Share Posted September 24, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Sunday 24th Sept: 1. TIGERS @ Royals 5 losses 1.62 2. Marlins @ PHILLIES 4 wins 1.63 3. St Louis 4 losses @ HOUSTON 4 wins 1.50 4. Giants 3 losses @ BREWERS 4 wins 1.83 5. Pirates 3 losses @ PADRES 3 wins 1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 25, 2006 Author Share Posted September 25, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Sunday 24th Sept: 1. TIGERS @ Royals 5 losses 1.62 won 11-4 (+6.20) 2. Marlins @ PHILLIES 4 wins 1.63 won 7-10 (+6.30) 3. St Louis 4 losses @ HOUSTON 4 wins 1.50 won 3-7 (+5.0) 4. Giants 3 losses @ BREWERS 4 wins 1.83 won 3-5 (+8.30) 5. Pirates 3 losses @ PADRES 3 wins 1.50 won 1-2 (+5.0) Staked: 320 Returns: 362.3 Profit: 42.3 Yield: 13.22% Excellent night last night. 5/5. Had to wait untill the morning to find out the Astros had beaten the Cardinals to ensure my best returns ever in a single bet. Had the picks in trebles and a 5fold! Fcuk me am I gonna have a good day today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted September 25, 2006 Share Posted September 25, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball :clap David. I must say that this won't be profitable in a long term I think.There are great periods when you are winning a lot and then there are really poor periods when there are a lot of loses and the whole profit is going down.It will be around 0 in a long term.Maybe a bit above or under 0.But I must say that a solution may be playing doubles, trebles and accumulators.Because when there is a really good night then you have a strike rate 100%:nana and profit is really awesome.You had already two 100% nights if I'm correct and I had something about 3 or 4 with 100% strike rate.Anyway good luck.Pity that regular season is ending soon but I'm going to do something with MLB next season.I'm still thinking :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 25, 2006 Author Share Posted September 25, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Cheers Randall. Yeah happy with 2 100% nights. Not too sure it won't be profitable this way come the end of the season but we can only wait and find out I suppose. The trebles and accy's is a way ahead that I'm thinking of and its proved to be mighty successful thus far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 25, 2006 Author Share Posted September 25, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Monday 25th Sept: 1. Royals 6 losses @ TWINS 1.46 2. PADRES 4 wins @ Cardinals 5 losses 2.17 3. DIAMONDBACKS @ Giants 4 losses 2.56 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 26, 2006 Author Share Posted September 26, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball Monday 25th Sept: 1. Royals 6 losses @ TWINS 1.46 won 1-8 (+4.6) 2. PADRES 4 wins @ Cardinals 5 losses 2.17 won 6-5 (+11.7) 3. DIAMONDBACKS @ Giants 4 losses 2.56 won 7-1 (+15.6) Staked: 350 Returns: 424.2 Profit: 74.2 Yield: 21.20% Another 100% night and yet more healthy profit for the system helped by some nice prices on the Diamondbacks and the Padres. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rustyg Posted September 26, 2006 Share Posted September 26, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball (21.2% Yield) Doing great so far David!! Keep it up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 26, 2006 Author Share Posted September 26, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball (21.2% Yield) Cheers Rusty. Due a fall soon though! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 26, 2006 Author Share Posted September 26, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball (21.2% Yield) Tuesday 26th Sept: 1. DEVIL RAYS @ Red Sox 3 losses 2.8 2. Royals 7 losses @ TWINS 3 wins 1.28 3. White Sox @ INDIANS 3 wins 1.71 4. Athletics 3 losses @ MARINERS 2.25 5. Rangers 3 losses @ ANGELS 3 wins 1.68 6. REDS @ Marlins 3 losses 2.65 7. PADRES 5 wins @ Cardinals 6 losses 2.58 8. ASTROS 6 wins @ Pirates 4 losses 1.74 9. BREWERS 5 wins @ Cubs 1.88 10. DIAMONDBACKS @ Giants 5 wins 1.79 11. Dodgers @ ROCKIES 3 wins 2.06 Worrying amount of picks for tonights games! Interesting to see the outcome, obviouslly I'm not expecting 100% here but 65-75% would be nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 27, 2006 Author Share Posted September 27, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball (21.2% Yield) Tuesday 26th Sept: 1. DEVIL RAYS @ Red Sox 3 losses 2.8 lost 1-5 (-10) 2. Royals 7 losses @ TWINS 3 wins 1.28 won 2-3 (+2.8) 3. White Sox @ INDIANS 3 wins 1.71 won 0-6 (+7.1) 4. Athletics 3 losses @ MARINERS 2.25 lost 12-3 (-10) 5. Rangers 3 losses @ ANGELS 3 wins 1.68 lost 5-2 (-10) 6. REDS @ Marlins 3 losses 2.65 won 5-3 (+16.5) 7. PADRES 5 wins @ Cardinals 6 losses 2.58 won 7-5 (+15.8) 8. ASTROS 6 wins @ Pirates 4 losses 1.74 won 7-4 (+7.4) 9. BREWERS 5 wins @ Cubs 1.88 lost 6-14 (-10) 10. DIAMONDBACKS @ Giants 5 wins 1.79 lost 2-4 (-10) 11. Dodgers @ ROCKIES 3 wins 2.06 lost 11-4 (-10) As expected not as good as before! Staked: 460 Returns: 513.8 Profit: 53.8 Yield: 11.70% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted September 27, 2006 Author Share Posted September 27, 2006 Re: Streaky Baseball (11.70% Yield) Wednesday 27th Sept: 1. Orioles 3 losses @ YANKEES 1.44 2. Blue Jays @ TIGERS 4 wins 1.61 3. Royals 8 losses @ TWINS 4 wins 1.44 4. White Sox @ INDIANS 4 wins 1.83 5. Mets 3 losses @ BRAVES 1.98 6. REDS 3 wins @ Marlins 4 losses 2.55 7. ASTROS 7 wins @ Pirates 5 losses 1.74 8. Phillies @ NATIONALS 3 wins 2.63 9. PADRES 6 wins @ Cardinals 7 losses 1.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.