Advice on my "Guaranteed" System Please....

[DAC]

Basically, I'm trying to create my own arb. I have a considerable knowledge of rugby, especially Celtic League and whilst I know this system isn't guaranteed I really couldn't see my selections being beaten the the winning margins I've listed. If anyone can see a problem with my maths or even the basic structure of the system then It'd bee great to hear from you. I think I can make between 8% and 20% on any fixture that meets my critera. Cheers. Ospreys –6 @ 10/11 £50.00= £95.45 – Profit £45.45 £45.45 Capital to Use: Cap Draw: 20-1 @ Paddy Power – x £2.75 = £57.75 RC £42.70 Draw: 29-1@ Extrabet – x 2.00 = £60.00 Remaining Capital £40.70 Winning Margins Ospreys 1-5 – 6-1 @ Ladbrokes – x £8.25= £57.75 RC £32.45 Handicap Bet on Ospreys Covered Winning Margins Conn 1-5 – 7-1 @ Ladbrokes – x £8.00 = £64.00 RC £24.45 Conn 6-10 – 9-1 @ Ladbrokes – x £6.50 = £58.50 RC £17.95 Conn 11-15 - 12-1 @ Ladbrokes – x £4.75 = £61.75 RC £13.2 Conn 16-20 - 20-1 @ Bet365 – x £3.00 = £63.00 RC £10.20 Conn 21-25 - 28-1 @ Bet365 x £2.00 = £58.50 RC £8.20 Conn 26-30 – 40-1 @ Bet365 x £1.5 = £61.50 RC £6.70 Conn 31-35 – 50-1 @ Bet365 x £1.25 = £63.75 RC £5.45 RC - Remaining Capital So: The only way i can lose is if Connacht beat the Ospreys by more than 36 points. Just for the record. If Ospreys win 1-5 = £5.45 Profit Draw = £10.00 profit Cap Draw = £7.75 Profit Conn Win: Min Profit: £8.50 Max Profit £14.00 Plus Unused Remaing Capital of £5.45 Min Profit: £13.95 Max Profit £19.45 Can anyone see any holes in this? Feed back greatfully received.

[slapdash]

Re: Advice on my "Guaranteed" System Please.... Maybe I'm misunderstanding what you're doing, but according to my calculations you're staking £90 in total, but if (for example) it's a draw, you only get a return of £60, so you'll make a $30 loss. Similarly. all the other bets apart from Ospreys -6 return around £60, so will involve around a £30 loss. Or am I completely misunderstanding?