clarky101 Posted December 3, 2008 Share Posted December 3, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Which is .........Wrexham.... & is postponed..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 3, 2008 Share Posted December 3, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And so to the weekend picks +2's Chelsea @ 1.6 Liverpool @ 1.75 Inter @ 2.1 Juventus @ 1.75 Norms Athletico Madrid @ 2.3 :ok:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 7, 2008 Share Posted December 7, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 7, 2008 Author Share Posted December 7, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ...... good to see some progress being made there young fella, keep up the good work.:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 7, 2008 Author Share Posted December 7, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... another decent week for the 3-0 system landing three correct from four selections. The Magpies let us down and could only muster a draw after being two up. So this leads us to the latest position:- Total Staked 690.00 Avg Odds Avg Stake Total Returned 710.35 1.72 10.00 Yield 1.029 2.95% Winners 43 Losers 26 Strike Rate 62.32% Current Bank 120.35 Profit / Loss 20.35 Back later with this weekend's selections. Meanwhile there are none highlighted for the midweek games.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 9, 2008 Share Posted December 9, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Just the one Norm tonight which is Torquay @ 1.8...:ok:ok lets hope the turnaroud continues :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 9, 2008 Author Share Posted December 9, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... one selection for 10th December for the 3-0 system :- Ipswich Town (h) 1.94 Onwards and upwards.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 9, 2008 Author Share Posted December 9, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... after another fairly successful weekend last week, we have another big batch of selections thrown out as prospective winners for the 3-0 system:- Reading (h) 1.54 Wycombe W (h) 1.68 Hamburg SV (h) 1.48 Hertha Berlin (h) 1.67 Barcelona (h) 1.63 Fiorentina (h) 1.52 Hope this lot will fly the flag again.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 10, 2008 Share Posted December 10, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Just the one Norm tonight which is Torquay @ 1.8...:ok:ok lets hope the turnaroud continues :hope:hope :eyes.....which it did'nt....:eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 10, 2008 Share Posted December 10, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 10, 2008 Author Share Posted December 10, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ...... Ipswich Town duly obliged on Wednesday night at handsome odds of 1.94 to leave the latest position as:- Total Staked 700.00 Avg Odds Avg Stake Total Returned 729.28 1.72 10.00 Yield 1.042 4.18% Winners 44 Losers 26 Strike Rate 62.86% Current Bank 129.28 Profit / Loss 29.28 Will be back later with this weekend's odds.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 12, 2008 Share Posted December 12, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Sorry that I've missed a couple of updates, the system is still running and breaking even at the moment, I have given up using real cash for the moment cos I lost my nerve a bit with a bad run and realising that I wasn't fully up to speed with risk factors etc. after reading Joseph Buchdahl's book "Fixed Odds Sports Betting", I'm about halfway through it and although hard going at times it has certainly been worth the effort. I think what the current system requires is a little more refining to produce fewer selections with a higher strike rate. The difficulty is in backtesting as you can't easily extract the predictions form the MW sheets which would mean entering all the results for the whole season and copying predictions as you go along which is a right old business. I've emailed MW about this but no reply as of yet, any bright ideas from anyone would be a help. Under 2.5 System (from predictions with one goal or less)Starting Bank100.00Current Stake10.00Bets so far133Winners72Losers61Strike Rate54.1%Average price 1.89 Total Stakes1269.00Total Returns 1,270.91 Yield %0.15%Profit/-Loss1.91 ROCE %1.9% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 13, 2008 Share Posted December 13, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 13, 2008 Share Posted December 13, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. One Norm for friday night MK Dons @ 2.54 :clap And a +2 for Saturday Darlington @ 2.48 :eyes Oh well, tables tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 14, 2008 Share Posted December 14, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. 14-Dec-08ChelseaWest Ham United 10 52.28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 14, 2008 Author Share Posted December 14, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... another case of hard luck for the Merlin Full House again for the 3-0 system! Five correct from six selections so we have got to be happy with that.What I do find quite astonishing is that all of the opposition failed to score a single goal!Latest position now :- Total Staked 760.00 Avg Odds Avg Stake Total Returned 806.26 1.71 10.00 Yield 1.061 6.09% Winners 49 Losers 27 Strike Rate 64.47% Current Bank 146.26 Profit / Loss 46.26 So hopefully we can continue with this good run by bringing you more selections for this coming weekend.:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 14, 2008 Share Posted December 14, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Under 2.5 System (from predictions with one goal or less)Starting Bank100.00Current Stake10.00Bets so far141Winners77Losers64Strike Rate54.6%Average price 1.89 Total Stakes1349.00Total Returns 1,364.09 Yield %1.12%Profit/-Loss15.09 ROCE %15.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cogge Posted December 14, 2008 Share Posted December 14, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Sorry that I've missed a couple of updates, the system is still running and breaking even at the moment, I have given up using real cash for the moment cos I lost my nerve a bit with a bad run and realising that I wasn't fully up to speed with risk factors etc. after reading Joseph Buchdahl's book "Fixed Odds Sports Betting", I'm about halfway through it and although hard going at times it has certainly been worth the effort. I think what the current system requires is a little more refining to produce fewer selections with a higher strike rate. The difficulty is in backtesting as you can't easily extract the predictions form the MW sheets which would mean entering all the results for the whole season and copying predictions as you go along which is a right old business. I've emailed MW about this but no reply as of yet, any bright ideas from anyone would be a help. Under 2.5 System (from predictions with one goal or less)Starting Bank100.00Current Stake10.00Bets so far133Winners72Losers61Strike Rate54.1%Average price1.89 Total Stakes1269.00Total Returns1,270.91 Yield %0.15%Profit/-Loss1.91 ROCE %1.9% That book is awesome :P Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 15, 2008 Share Posted December 15, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted December 15, 2008 Share Posted December 15, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. As there's no midweek games i've sorted next weekends picks out Norms Aston Villa @ 2.4 Rochdale @ 2.9 +2's Chelsea (Mon) @ 1.9 Inter @ 1.8 Lets hope these do the trick... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 15, 2008 Author Share Posted December 15, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... and no selections highlighted midweek for the 3-0 system. Also on a starvation diet with the same system for the weekend's matches also. Only one selection out of all the leagues, and this will be a skinny price I dare to wager! A C Milan (h) 1.74 Would be good to see this keep the strike rate high..:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 15, 2008 Share Posted December 15, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Merlin, Man Utd aren't playing this weekend, they're off at the world club cup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 15, 2008 Author Share Posted December 15, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... thanks fella, now corrected as above.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted December 16, 2008 Share Posted December 16, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. No problem Merlin. Good to see your system turning round after a slow start. Due to me being busy trying to adapt a new system on here I havent been posting my EPL Unders selections that i used to post in here. After a bad start they have turned round as well with the yield now 14.3%. I'm now too scared to start posting them on here again in case of a downturn! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 16, 2008 Author Share Posted December 16, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ...... nothing ventured, nothing gained is what they say. If they are gonna win, they gonna win wherever and whatever! get them pasted up on here for all to see, and keep the faith. Cheers.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 19, 2008 Share Posted December 19, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 19, 2008 Author Share Posted December 19, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... another nicely created table there Ed and makes interesting reading.Like the colour layout.Will be interesting to see how the sixteen fare this weekend.Good luck!:ok ps Seems to be a column missing for each of the League analysis.The overall situation looks to be OK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 20, 2008 Share Posted December 20, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. No columns missing mate, hust my dodgy design, but I think all the relevant info is there. If anyone has any ideas for analysis to be added then I'd like to hear your ideas. League 1 seems to mess up the unders figures with all the goals that that league has produced but that's life I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted December 20, 2008 Author Share Posted December 20, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ..... thanks Ed. But I still think there is a column missing in the table above.If you look closer, take the Premier league as an example, and MW Prediction Accuracy overall 1X2 Prediction %. It says 40% from 162, where think it should state 40%,65 from 162. Clearly a column missing in my version.Anyway we still know what the figures mean.Cheers.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted December 20, 2008 Share Posted December 20, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. That's how I made it Merlin, a slight botch because I'd done the top half of the sheet and then when I came to doing the MW Prediction stats I didn't have enough space for the number of correct games so I went with the % stat as it's what needs to be known more than the nummber of games which can always be got from working out the numbers as you did. I'm just in the process of adding the Bundesliga stats which seem at first glance a bit mad with a lot of high scoring but I'm thinking if an Englishman designs a spreadsheet to predict results you can trust the hun to come along and lob a spanner into the works! ("just kidding" for any of our Bosch friends;) ) Has anyone go a blank MW Budisliga sheet from the beginning of the season cos the one I got from the website last week was pre filled up to October and I need to get the predictions for the first 30 or so games of the season, just email me at ed@"NOSPAMPLEASE"Sharpin.co.uk removing the "NOSPAMPLEASE" from the address, cheers OOooo, and maybe the Italiano and Espanioli sheets too if you'd be so kind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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