goodfren Posted May 16, 2006 Author Share Posted May 16, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 10 New System Result 2 Win 0 Loss - Total Day Profits 2.622pts after commission. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 109 Matches Total Won: 50 Striking Rate: 45.87% Current Bank Balance: 103.673pts Yield in % : +3.673 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 16, 2006 Author Share Posted May 16, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 11 Over Bet Ireland Bray Wanderers - Longford Town Over 2.5 @ 2.58 Under Bet Austria 2 LASK Linz - Kärnten FC Under 2.5 @ 2.2 (Gamebookers) FC Gratkorn - Kufstein FC Under 2.5 @ 2.3 (Gamebookers) Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV Under 2.5 @ 2.3 (Gamebookers) Leoben DSV - Rheindorf Altach SC Under 2.5 @ 2 (Gamebookers) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 11 New System Result 2 Win 3 Loss - Total Day Loss 0.80pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 114 Matches Total Won: 52 Striking Rate: 45.61% Current Bank Balance: 102.873pts Yield in % : +2.873 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System No odd obtain for today pick from Betfair and Gamebookers, so no pick for today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I have just finalized the best staking plan which I will use for the pick I post here. As from 18/5/2006. I will bet each of my pick using 5% of my starting bank. Each new day I will use 5% of the new bank balance. But if there is a loss day, my bet will go back to minimum 5% based on my starting balance or based on new lower bank balance if the bank standing balance is below my starting bank balance. This staking plan is trying to maximized profits during good form period. Example 1: Current bank balance stand at 120 points. Yesterday bet is a win day, Today bet per match will be 5% of the 120 points. That is 6 point bet per match for today. Example 2: Current bank balance stand at 120 points. Yesterday bet is a loss day, Today bet per match will be 5% of the Starting Bank balance (100 points). That is 5 point bet per match for today. Example 3: Current bank balance stand at 90 points. Yesterday bet is a loss or win day, Today bet per match will be 5% of the 90 points. That is 4.5 point bet per match for today. Let us see what this new staking plan can help improved my profits or worst. Wish me luck on this idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Betfairbetting Posted May 17, 2006 Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Having in mind what I saw for now in your thread I can suggest you flat staking plan only. And no more thinking about the money management. Your main goal should be to reach about 10 % ROI /yield/. This can be done in one way only: by many observations over your bets. Hit rate /probably you should take into acount the different divisions, if your strategy works fine in every of them and to exclude the "bad" divisions/, odds /maybe your strategy works fine with some kind of odds, over 2.00, or over 2.10, or over 2.20.../ Many observations and calculations. Now you are at ROI 2-3% after more than 100 bets which is not bad. Try to reach 10 % after 300-500 bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Thks BFB I will try to improved it, I have learned a lot this few day over few forum which you are into also. Great Advice, Thank and I will stick back to original flat stakes and add more rules I learn so far later few day of analysis. I really appreciate to have you observed my progress and my chance to improved. Cheers! You are trully a great person to be admired. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Not in my system pick Champions League Final My pick is Under 2.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Oh i forget BFB Actually i do make it above 10% in ROI if you see my blog. Here is because i have mixup my system with old and new. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 17, 2006 Author Share Posted May 17, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Oh, very bad personal pick for CL final, lukily no bet. Very good point indeed you give to me BFB, I have notice one serious odd, that is 2.30 above and below 2.40, failure rate is about 68%, I could have reduce it to improved my profits. I will go through more details about it of all my bet tomorow. Very nice breakdown strategy to improved one system. In the mean time, i will follow your advice to maintain flat stakes in my blog and over here, i will try the mentioned staking to see if it is good or not. It is also because, i saw my pick does not have very high risk of over 70% loss in a day when there are multiple pick avaliable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Betfairbetting Posted May 18, 2006 Share Posted May 18, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I just took a look at your blog and you have 16 % ROI after approximately 50 bets,which is good. I think you should increase much your stake. If you bet flat, bet at least 7/10, because people are not very smart and most of them don't know what is ROI and that ROI is the most important criteria for your system and they look at the profit only. Your profit is small just because of the stake, so: increase the stake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 18, 2006 Author Share Posted May 18, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Ok BFB; I will do that, thanks for taking time to monitor my progress. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 18, 2006 Author Share Posted May 18, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 12 Over Bet Finland Inter Turku FC - HJK Helsinki 5 pts @ 2.26 :wall Under Bet Mexico Real San Luis - Pachuca 5 pts @ 2.14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 19, 2006 Author Share Posted May 19, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 12 New System Result 1 Win 1 Loss - Total Day Profits 0.415pts after commission. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 116 Matches Total Won: 53 Striking Rate: 45.69% Current Bank Balance: 103.288pts Yield in % : +3.288 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 19, 2006 Author Share Posted May 19, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 13 5.16 pts per each bet. Under Bet Austria 2 Kapfenberger SV - FC Gratkorn @ 2.10 (Gamebookers) Kufstein FC - Kärnten FC @ 2.15 (Gamebookers) Over Bet Ireland Shelbourne United - Bohemians Dublin @ 2.22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 20, 2006 Author Share Posted May 20, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 13 New System Result 0 Win 3 Loss - Total Day Loss 15.48pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 119 Matches Total Won: 53 Striking Rate: 44.54% Current Bank Balance: 87.808pts Yield in % : -12.192 Everage bet for Day 14: 4.39pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 20, 2006 Author Share Posted May 20, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 14 4.39 pts per each bet. Over Bet Spain 2 Eibar - Lleida @ 2.58 Ciudad de Murcia - Ferrol @ 2.18 Hercules - Elche FC @ 2.62 Numancia - Albacete @ 2.30 Tenerife CD - Ejido @ 2.32 Ireland Longford Town - St. Patrick's Athletic @ 2.56 -> postp Derry City - Cork City @ 2.58 International Friendly Slovakia - Belgium @ 2.06 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 21, 2006 Author Share Posted May 21, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 14 New System Result 2 Win 5 Loss - Total Day Loss 10.50pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 126 Matches Total Won: 55 Striking Rate: 43.65% Current Bank Balance: 77.308pts Yield in % : -22.692 Everage per each bet for Day 15: 3.86pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 21, 2006 Author Share Posted May 21, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 15 3.86 pts per each bet. Over Bet Ireland Bray Wanderers - Sligo Rovers @ 2.50 postp Spain 2 Almeria - Huelva @ 2.46 :hope Castellon CD - Gimnástico de Tarragona @ 2.68 :@ Valladolid - Lorca @ 2.36 :@ Xerez - Murcia Real @ 2.70 :@ Gijon Sporting - Levante @ 2.58 :@ This spanish league 2 want to fail me, but it will never fail my systems. Italy B Verona - Bari @ 2.40 :hope Avellino - Vicenza @2.20 :hope Under Bet Italy B Modena - Piacenza @ 2.34 :hope Catanzaro US - Catania Calcio @ 2.30 :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 22, 2006 Author Share Posted May 22, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 15 Result 4 Win 5 Loss - Total Day Profit 0.502pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 135 Matches Total Won: 59 Striking Rate: 43.70% Current Bank Balance: 77.810pts Yield in % : -22.190 Everage per each bet for Day 16: 3.89pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 22, 2006 Author Share Posted May 22, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 16 3.89 pts per each bet. Over Bet Ireland Dublin City - UCD Dublin @ 2.30 (Gamebookers) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psilocybin Posted May 22, 2006 Share Posted May 22, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I think there is value in the over here also. However, your odds are way too low. Betdaq offer 2.65 on the over (Batfair may be be even higher), and this was matched at a high of 2.9. Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I think there is value in the over here also. However' date=' your odds are way too low. Betdaq offer 2.65 on the over (Batfair may be be even higher), and this was matched at a high of 2.9. Good luck![/quote'] Yes, i know, cos i just post the odd when I finish my pick. So when I cannot find good odd in betfair, i will then take the odd from gamebookers, where the are offered. Anyways, if this system can proved to increase the striking rate, then there will be more profits to be made, at present, i just want to see how i can improved my pick with long odds that have possible win. I will keep improving this system from time to time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 16 Result 1 Win 0 Loss - Total Day Profit 5.057pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 136 Matches Total Won: 60 Striking Rate: 44.12% Current Bank Balance: 82.867pts Yield in % : -17.133 Everage per each bet for Day 17: 4.14pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 17 4.14pts per each bet. Over Bet International Friendly South Korea - Senegal @ 2.30 :@ If the above win, I will not bet the rest below Austria - Croatia @ 2.34 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I am going to change my staking strategy from Day 18 bet onwards, as i feel the current staking plan do not suit my betting pick system. The following staking plan will be base on chances in my pick. My staking plan will have four level of bet point. 1 pts, 2 pts, 4 pts and 6 point system. The point is base on starting bank point (100 point) A note for the reader: About the chances I mention, it does not represent good pick or confident pick. It just derived from my pick strategy. I was more interested to see my system to produce long term profits instead of speculating in confident pick as a good bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 23, 2006 Author Share Posted May 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 18 New Staking Plan Under Bet International Friendly / 2pts each Romania - Uruguay @ 1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 24, 2006 Author Share Posted May 24, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 17 Result 1 Win 1 Loss - Total Day Profit 1.130pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 138 Matches Total Won: 61 Striking Rate: 44.20% Current Bank Balance: 83.997pts Yield in % : -16.003 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 24, 2006 Author Share Posted May 24, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 18 New Staking Plan Over Bet International Friendly / 1pts bet each Norway - Paraguay @ 2.32 Belgium - Turkey @ 2.32 Under Bet Brazil / 1pts bet each Parana Clube - Figueirense @ 2.22 Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta @ 2.40 Sao Paulo - Palmeiras @ 2.30 Juventude - Santa Cruz @ 2.28 Sao Caetano - Atlético Paranaense @ 2.16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodfren Posted May 25, 2006 Author Share Posted May 25, 2006 Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 18 Result 4 Win 4 Loss - Total Day Profit 1.092pts. Starting Bank: 100pts Total Bets: 146 Matches Total Won: 65 Striking Rate: 44.52% Current Bank Balance: 85.089pts Yield in % : -14.911 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.