Mowgli77 Flat Horses 2006

[mowgli77]

I will start this thread and anyone who wants to follow it is welcome. Firstly I'll explain the methods behind my madness. I use the analysis from the racing post and from what i've seen either from being at the races or on tv and try to follow progressive improving horses. I get to a fair few Yorkshire meetings on the flat, usually Ponty, Ripon, York etc and try to find the strong races where future winners are going to come from. I will post up a chart of the horses I am following when there are more selections. At the moment there are only 4 horses I am following which are London Express, Hero Worship, Hernando Royal and Ask, all of which I have posted on flat horses to follow thread. I am not using any kind of computerised betting system, I don't have any inside information and I wont just post a horse without any explanation. The chart I have made covers the horse, course, distance, type of race, class of race, trainer and jockey, weight and age of horse, SP last time out, winning margin/margin beaten by, ground and comments. I tried this at the end of last years flat season and started by putting £100 in my betting account. Within three months this was up to £1100. I did not use level stakes but for this thread I will. I usually bet in levels of confidence but will keep it level for the sake of the thread. I have also followed a set number of horses this year over the jumps which I spotted early on as horses to follow and these have included My Way De Solzen, Star de Mohaison, Voy Por Ustedes which explains why I had such a good Cheltenham. I did not keep my horse bets separate from my football bets but from 3rd Jan to 31 March I am up £750, taking into account my football betting is poor and accounts for around £200 losses. ( I have learnt from this and now avoid football betting) I understand many people on here prefer to use points instead of pounds so any horse I back will be based on 10pts win or 5pts ew level stakes (£1 per point). I will not be backing anything that is odds on despite its chances of winning. Any horse at odds over 6-1 will be backed each way. I will start with a bank of 100 points and include the only 2 horses that have run so far. I am looking for value, not easy odds on winners and by using a level stakes system can keep a good track of profit/loss. If a horse is entered and I haven't noticed feel free to put it on this thread. I usually check every few days. I won't just back every horse regardless, i will take all factors into account. So far London Express ran at 4/6 and would have been left due to it being odds on. Hero Worship ran yesterday and won at 5-1. Starting Bank - 100 points Bets 1 Wins 1 (5-1) New Bank - 150 points Hernando Royal is entered in the 5.00 Folkestone on 4th May, reasoning has already been given but again was 2nd behind Hero Worship on heavy. That won yesterday to boost form. It was doing its best work at the end once the penny had dropped. Wish me luck.:hope

[mowgli77]

Re: Mowgli77 Flat Horses 2006 One to add from today. Shortest Day from the Stoute yard. Was given a hands and heel ride, travelled prominently, always looked comfortable and won well. Apparently has good form from last season. Watched the race on RP site and was impresses. One to follow with interest. I'll be on Angel Voices tonight at Kempton 9.20. Not one that i'm following but one that has a chance. Hernando Royal for tomorrow if it runs. Chart is below.

Horse	Course	Distance	Class	Race Type	Trainer	Jockey	SP and winning margin	Age and Weight	Comments and Ground
Hernando Royal	Pontefract	1m 2f	5	Maiden Auction	H Morrison	S Drowne	14-1 2 nd by 2 lengths	3yr old 9-3	Worked well late on and will benefit from experience. (Heavy)
Hero Worship	Pontefract	1m 2f	5	Maiden Auction	M Jarvis	P Robinson	17-2 1 st by 2 lengths	3yr old 9-3	Won well and open to further improvement and workmanlike (Heavy)
London Express	Pontefract	1m 2f	3	Handicap	M Johnston	R Ffrench	13-2 1 st by 8 lengths	3 yr old 8-4	Quickened in a few strides, looks classy, comfortable winner. (Heavy)
Ask	Newmarket	8f	4	Maiden Wood Ditton Stakes	Sir M Stoute	M Kinane	10-1 3 rd by 1 ½ lengths	3 yr old 9-3	Travelled well, staying on at end, needs further, quickened well (Gd-Fm)
Shortest Day	Pontefract	1m 2f	3	Fillies Handicap	Sir M Stoute	R Winston	11-10f 1 st by 1 ½ lengths	3yr old 9-4	Raced prominently, hands and heels, won well (Gd-Fm)