Mlb 21/4

[Juuso]

Took a couple of early ones few hours ago as odds will probably drop. Pirates has dropped a little already. Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox Twins 2.08 (Pinnacle) 6 units KC: LHP Johan Santana (0-2, 5.71 ERA) CWS: LHP Mark Buehrle (2-0, 2.25 ERA) How long will it take before Johan Santana will get his first win of the season? Altough, he has looked rusty in his first 3 starts, he is known for slow starts of the seasons. He is arguably the best pitcher in the majors, sporting a 48-16, 2.85 ERA in last 3 season when being the ace of the Twins rotation. That is really impressive when playing in a team like Twins, you could add a couple of wins in his win column if he was with a top team. Santana was simply phenomenal against White Sox last season; 4-0 with two shutouts and a 0.92 ERA in five starts. The White Sox hit just .175 against Santana with 44 strikeouts. Sox starter Buehrle is also an excellent pitcher. He is 15-9 and a 3.82 ERA lifetime against the Twins. A low scoring game is very probable. Altough Santana has not looked like his old self, i'm confident he is too consistent multi-year achiever not to pick up his game. Because of the fluke start for him the odds are this way. Normally Twins would be a slight favorite against almost any team on road when Santana is pitching. I'm Playing Twins with medium stakes Some interesting stats: Twins 7-0 in Santana's last 7 starts vs. Chicago (Chisox only scored 9 total runs in those games). Chisox 2-5 in Buerhle's last 7 starts vs. Twins (Twins scored 35 runs in those games). Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros Pirates 2.13 (Pinnacle) 6 unit PIT: LHP Zach Duke (1-1, 4.50 ERA) HOU: LHP Wandy Rodriguez (2-0, 2.84 ERA) Ok, pretty good situation to take Pirates. Zach Duke has had one fluke bad outing this season against the Dodgers at home, but rebounded back with style limiting Cubs to 1 run in 7 innings of work in his last game. A good thing also when Duke is in top of his game, he has the ability to go deep into games, limiting bullpen exposure. Wandy has started the season pretty good, but he certainly is no match to Duke. Wandy was 10-10, 5.53 ERA last season in his first year in MLB and was pretty erratic at times, as his high ERA suggests. Altough, he possibly has improved his pitching, he has been overperforming in his first 19 innings of the season and can not maintain such a ERA. Battingwise both teams are quite equal so i'll go with the much better pitcher. Odds are very good because of Wandys good start of the season also. Pirates chance of winning this matchup is clearly over 50% making it a good value bet. Anything over 2 is good value for Pirates imho.

[WorkingForTheEnemy]

Re: Mlb 21/4 First game I look at and Im torn. ATL @ WAS Smoltz has been fantastic this year bar 2 innings. In both his first two starts he gave up 4 runs in a inning, reulting in single run losses for the Braves. In his last game he threw a complete game shutout. Ignoring his two bad innings this means he's given up one run over 19 innings. Nw I was quite confident about backing ATL at what I thought was a good price of 1.95 but now I see that Pinnacle are overing 3.19 for WAS on a -1.5 handicap. This also looks a great price to me. At these prices I may have to crunch the numbers and back both for a profit as long as WAS dont manage a solo run victory. EDIT: Well thats that option out ofthe window as it only leaves me with a 1/5 shot.