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Dallas -6.5 League: (Av. loss 10.1) away 5+ dog, 1+ days rest off a 10- ats win as home 5+ fav, if opp is off a 10+ ats loss. [Denv] (0-3 season) 1-5 (0-6 this no...av. loss 16.0) if total is 200+ I said before the trip to Phoenix how soft Denver's schedule had been, and a home loss to Utah (34-38) and a win v. Minni (30-42) certainly haven't changed that!!...In fact, the win v. Minni has over-valued Denver even more. Dallas have been struggling, losing 5 of their last 7, but 3 were on the road...and facing the Nuggets who allow 100 ppg @ 46% on the road is just what they need to get them back on track. Cleveland @ Charlotte over 204 (2 units) Just read the last few days NBA threads to see how bad Charlotte are going defensively!! They've allowed 100+ in 12 of their last 13...and allowed 113.2 in their last 5. It's simply becoming a scrimmage type game whenever the 'Cats are involved now. Cleveland haven't exactly been lighting it up lately, but they played Charlotte at home a little over a week ago and the score was 118-120 in OT...104-104 in reg...except Charlotte's leading scorer Wallace was out for that game!! Very confident this game will shoot over this number with plenty of time to spare. Golden State +8 League: 11-3-1 (Av. loss 0.2) away 5+ dog, off a 4- SU los as home 4- dog, if opp was last a 5+ dog. [GS] Basically, Minni don't deserve to be favoured by this much over anyone! They have won just 1 of their last 5 at home by more than 6, and despite the Warriors' poor stading at the moment, they have actually won 3 of their last 5 road games SU...at Miami, Dallas and Sac, who are all significantly better than Minni. Minni won the last home meeting on March 6 103-90, but GS were up by 2 in that game with 7 minutes left before tiring late. This game looks as if it will go down to the wire either way. Lakers -6.5 League: 21-11 (Av. win 12.3) home 5+ fav, 1 day off a 10+ ats win as away 4- fav. [LAL] 9-2 (Av. win 13.6) if opp is off any home SU win. Houston are being over-rated after scoring big in the last 3 games...but one (v. Cleveland) was in OT, and the other 2 were at home v. 2 very poor defensive teams (Seattle and Washington). I think the Laker defense is being under-rated, as they haven't allowed 100 in 9 games now, at just 92.5 ppg. Houston won by 1 @ NO in their last game away, but NO shot just 36.1%. In fact, NO had 21 offensive rebounds to just 3!! NO and LAL are have very similar defensive stats, but LA av. over 6 more ppg and even rebound better! Houston shot 55.7% last game v. Washington, and appologies to any Luther Had fans here, but there's no way he goes 8/11 again here!! LAL are in a huge fight for the play-offs and I expect them to be too good at home for an under-manned Houston. Atlanta +10 League: 10-2 (Av. loss 7.4) away 10+ dog, 1 day off an ats win but SU loss as home 5+ fav, if opp last lost SU. [Atl] Just too many points on offer here. Memphis are 0-4 this season as favs of 10 or more, and they simply don't bury teams often enough to warrant such a big spread. Despite their record, Atlanta haven't lost a road game by more than 10 in their last 11 away! In the first meeting this season, Memphis won 85-84 @ Atlanta, with the Hawks shooting just 39.8%. (Johnson 7-21, Harrington 3-11, Pachulia 2-11!) Atlanta lost by just 1 @ Memphis last season as +13 'dogs, and I think they can keep it close again in this game.

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