NBA 21st

[TazaD]

Orlando @ Charlotte over 194 League: 9-1-1 over (Av. total 189.0...av. score 204.9) away 4- dog, 1 day off any OT as away 4- dog. [Orl] & 9-1 over (av. total 190.0...av. score 208.4) on any rest if opp is off any ats win. I'm not too sure how many people have noticed, but Charlotte have hit 99+ in 9 of their last 12 games!...bad news for them (but good news for us 'over' backers!) is that they've allowed 95+ in 31 of their last 37 games!! They allow 100.5 in all games, and are even worse on 2 days rest, when they allow 105.3 (game av. 200.8) Charlotte are 7-2 over as any fav this season and Orlando are 8-3 over when the total is 190-195. The first meeting in Charlotte this season was 93-104, but the 'Cats shot only 39.5%! Phoenix -5.5 League: 38-56-3 (Av. loss 8.2) home 5+ dog, 1 day off a 10- ats win as away 5+ dog. [utah] 4-10-1 (Av. loss 10.4) if opp last lost ats as a dog. League: 17-9-2 (Av. win 9.5) away -> away 5+ fav, on 3+ days rest! 10-3-2 (Av. win 10.6) if opp last won ats! Just seems that the lines-makers under-estimate teams on long rest if they are away, but they should know by now not to judge Phoenix like any other team!! The Suns are an amazing 15-2 as favs of 5.5 or less, and I simply can't see Utah sticking with them in this game. Reasonable opinions on... NJ +3.5 League: 2-9 (Av. LOSS 1.4) home 4- fav, 1 day off a 10- ats win as home 5+ fav, if opp is off a 10+ ats win. [Wash] 0-4 SU (Av. LOSS 5.7) if they won 10+ ats as a dog. Washington are just 3-9 at home v. winning teams this season, but I'm just not 100% sure that NJ are playing as well as the last game might have suggested. Memphis -5 League: 9-3 (11-1 this no...av. win 13.9) home 5+ fav, 1 day off a 10- ats loss as home fav, if opp is off a 20+ ats loss. [Mem] Just shows that Indi are playing as badly as it looks!...but it's a strange line imo...should be higher. Will wait to watch any movement. Oh, and will also take SA/GS under 189 if it gets there. :ok

[TazaD]

Re: NBA 21st LAC -2.5 League: 1-10-1 (Av. loss 5.7) home 4- dog, 2+ days off a 15+ ats loss as home fav. [NO] (inc. LAC 106-94 Orl in Feb) NO are on an 8 game losing streak (0-5 last 5 @ home) and that doesn't figure to change against the red-hot Clippers. The Clips held NO to an amazing 16 second half points in LA last month when winning 89-67!...Not expecting that kind of domination again, but they should be much too good for the slumpipng Hornets, even with no rest.