NBA 14th

[TazaD]

Memphis -6 League: 3-10 (1-12 this no...av. loss 14.5) away 5+ dog, 1+ days off a 10- ats win as home 4- fav, if opp lost SU as a 5+ fav. [bost] So, history suggests that Memhis will bounce back strongly in this game...and so do the numbers. In the last 10 games that Memphis have been home 5+ favs after losing ats as a home 5+ fav (going back to 2004), they have held teams to 84.9 ppg, so they really step up their D. Boston have a reasonable record, but they have had a very soft schedule imo. They have won 9 of their last 14, but just 2 of those wins were against >.500 teams...Denver (they shot 51.2%) and @ LAL (shot 52.6%). Memphis allow just 42% shooting at home, and a NBA best 32% 3's. A quick look at how Boston travel against top line defensive teams... They've played away to 7 of the top 8 defensive teams...They have won 1 (win @ Clippers...shot 56.6%!)...and lost 6, by an average margin of 18.6 points!! Everything points to Boston being held to a low score, and since they allow 104.8 ppg on the road, they really should lose this game by a fair margin.

[wayniac]

Re: NBA 14th I'm taking the U226.5 in the Phoenix/Seattle game, and doing it fast before the line comes down. No time for a detailed writeup on this one! Quick point is that Allen went off his nuts the last time they player - I don't see that happening again in this one. GL everyone