NBA 24th

[TazaD]

Minni v. <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />Denver under 194<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Last meeting in January was 103-89, and in that game Minni shot 56.4% with Szcerbiak hitting 28. They have topped 194 just 3 times in 26 home games this season. I think the total is inflated because Denver have scored 100+ in 7 straight games, but 5 have been at home, and the road games were at Seattle and GS! Hardly defensive minded teams…In fact Minni allow over 7.5 ppg less than either…they also av. nearly 6 less shots per game than either. Before those last two game on the road, the Nuggets’ last 9 away games were lower scoring than this. Scoring 100 at home v. the pathetic Bobcats in one thing…repeating it at Minni is entirely another.

[TazaD]

Re: NBA 24th Chicago +5

League: 56-33 (Av. loss 0.3) any home dog, 1 day off a 10- ats win as home 5+ fav. [Chic] 12-3 (Av. WIN 4.7) if opp is off a home ats loss. (1-0 SU this season)

League: 2-9 (Av. LOSS 0.7) away fav, no rest off any ats loss as home 5+ fav, if opp last won ats as a fav. [Det]

In their last 14 home games, the Bulls have NOT lost a non-OT game by more than 4 points!! (The one loss by more than 4 was 98-107 v. Phoenix, but in OT, so unlucky to lose at all!) Detroit have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road, and are really struggling to score, having not scored 100 in their last 11 games….The Pistons are also just 3-13 ats when playing a team who have had more rest than them this season.

GS +8 (hopefully we can get 8)

League: 15-7 (Av. loss 4.3) away 5+ dog, 2+ days rest off a 15+ ats loss as away 5+ dog. [GS] (2-0 season) 10-0 (Av. WIN 3.1) if opp is off any ats loss. (one of the ‘wins’ was a loss by 8)

GS are coming off an embarrassing 25 point loss, where they shot just 31.9%, and history suggests that they will bounce back. Houston don’t score enough to win by big margins (Although last time I said that they creamed Utah!)..they are just 7-17 as favs, 2-18 when they don’t score 100 at home!!, and GS are 7-1 away when the opp doesn’t score 100.