Saturday Races

[dontbegreat]

Win: 12:40 | Hayd | Neptune Collonges (1.00 pts stkd) 12:55 | Ling | The Listener (1.00 pts stkd) 1:35 | WinC | Hoo La Baloo (1.00 pts stkd) 2:15 | Hayd | Bold Fire (1.00 pts stkd) 3:05 | Ling | Armaturk (1.00 pts stkd) 3:45 | Wolv | Fryodor (1.00 pts stkd) 4:45 | Wolv | Nayyir (1.00 pts stkd) - Neptune Collonges The best from looking at previous races from all runners. Neptune has two Class A/1 wins and a 2nd when made a mistake on the last. No one else has raced in a field that’s as challenging as Neptunes races. Just for that it should win this easily. The Listener The Listener is on a three race win streak and won five of eleven races it ran. Just Like Neptune, The Listener has raced in far tougher races than the others going today. Its last run at Cheltenham (win) makes this tough to go against. The distance has only been raced once by Listener but was capable of winning it. This should not be a problem and continue to Cheltenham hanging on a four wins in a row. Hoo La Baloo Have raced well on all its tries. Can handle a tight course as it won it’s debut in October at Market Rasen. Was off to bigger fences at Sandown for the next three and now here. Only of the many great runners from it’s stable and a stable that’s very successful right now. A very small field and but it’s used been there before. Will have to beat out Voy Por Ustedes who have ran well from it’s last three races. Voy’s worst runs came on a flat field – 3rd at Ayr, 3rd at Stratford, and the worst run of career here at Wincanton finishing 6th out of 7. Should be another poor run on a flat course for Voy and Hoo La Baloo to take the field. Bold Fire Two starts two wins. Looking for three straight and I think it can get there if Ortega doesn’t put up a good run. Ortega is the second best here. It’s a race with inexperience and all potential. Must go with the most experienced here and not just running experience but winning them – beware of Ortega. Armaturk Have run better than Mister McGoldrick and Locksmith when raced at the same time. Don’t Be Shy is the least experience and may not have enough to win here. Armaturk have the most success from everyone here and hopefully the booking of today’s rider help this one out. Armaturk’s trainer is in very good form and have plenty of great runners scheduled today. This one will be one of his many winners. Fryodor Worst finish since Sept 2005 is 2nd place. Have won at this Class and the rest does not have the same type of races from their experience. Dancing Mystery is a danger and JP is another one. Dancing Mystery have not won in almost a year and have not raced here since 2001. JP is on Desperate Dan who has a trainer that’s having success lately. If Fyodor’s weight gets to it JP can take advantage. I don’t see the weight of Fyodor getting in the way and should win this closely. Nayyir Last raced in Sept 2005 but have been running in Class A/1 races. The rest of the field have been running in a class less than Nayyir. Trainer have had some wins this year and looks strong here teaming up with Ahern. Appalachian Trail is the one to challenge most here but the small weight advantage will help Nayyir. Biggest question is stamina for Nayyir – But Jockeys control, low weight and previous tough races should compensate and win this.

[cavello]

Re: Saturday Races

Sport	Horse Racing
Selection	MISTER MCGOLDRICK
Date	2006-02-18
Event	3.05 Lingfield
Bookmaker/Price	SportingOdds @ 4.50 (Back)
Reasoning	IOM the ground is the key to the race and Mister McGoldrick just loves heavy going. Over hurdles on this kind of surface he can wory the best. Armaturk is IOM more effective on a sounder surface. Mister McGoldrick would have finished in fromt of Armaturk last March at Newbury(at todays weights) when clouting the last and almost unseating his jockey. He also trashed Armaturk at Wetherby, but Armaturk did beat Mister McGoldrick at Cheltenham in November 2004 abeit on a faster surface then today.. That leaves Don't be Shy who is facing a stiff task for a novice and Locksmith who looks held on previous form which is indicated by the official rating. I would assess Mister McGoldrick to be about a 5/2 shot so this does look overprice for this race.