Cavelloman's Flat Racing Systems Part One

[cavello]

I operated these system last year from May to the end of the season and made over 20% RIO this included a few National Hunt systems but these only produced a few bets.. With 40% winners and 80% placed.. I will put up some more later. With respect to the 3 day system I only backed the winning horses but after reseaching close up placed horses I will include these next season. I used Peter May's race profiling program and database to develop my methods. Please feel free to to suggest ideas and criticize. Because this could help in finding new angles. Profit/loss quoted are at SP and are over 7 seasons. More profit would have been obtained by using SP+ or exchanges. *Peter May's 2-Y-O ratings are excellent and profit was secured last year by just following blindly. They are based naturally on time but the program he uses is based on Neural Networks which in essence replicates human intelligence pattern recognition ability. I consider this to be analagous to a control system with feedback. BHB TOP RATED MAIDEN SYSTEM <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

• MAIDEN RACE ANY DISTANCE

• TOP RATED BY ADJUSTED BHB RATINGS.

• FORECAST FAVOURITE FOR RACE 4/1 OR LESS

• PLACED LAST TIME OUT

• LAST RAN WITHIN 30 DAYS

• BET WITH FIRMS LIKE CENTREBET SP+ OR EXCHANGES.

RESULTS FROM DATABASE

RACE TYPE		BETS	WINS		% ROI
2 Y O MAIDENS		113	56		+11
3 Y O MAIDENS		119	71	+15
ALL AGED MAIDENS		145	57	+2
ODDS ON		192	131	+7
EVEN- 2/1	147		62	+0.8
9/4-4/1	38		16	+51

IMPROVING 3-Y-0 HANDICAPPER

• WON HANDICAP

• RAN 10 OR LESS DAYS AGO

• NOT UP IN CLASS

• FORECAST FAVOURITE AND GOES OFF @7/2 OR LESS

• 3 Y O HANDICAP RACES ONLY.

• BET WITH FIRMS LIKE CENTREBET SP+ OR EXCHANGES TO INCREASE ROI.

RESULTS FROM DATABASE

RACE TYPE		BETS		WINS		% ROI
ALL RACES		101		44		+19
ODDS ON		15		5	+6
EVENS – 2/1	36		15		+9
9/4 TO 7/2	41		14		+36
3 DAY HANDICAP SYSTEM WON OR 2ND LAST TIME OUT IN HANDICAP RAN 3 OR LESS DAYS AGO NOT UP IN CLASS IGNORE 2 Y O RACES. FORECAST AT 5/1 OR LESS NOT UP IN CLASS. BET WITH FIRMS LIKE CENTREBET SP+ OR EXCHANGES TO INCREASE ROI. RESULTS FROM DATABASE RACE TYPE BETS WINS % ROI 3 Y O ONLY WIN 21 11 +50 3 Y O ONLY PLACED(2 ND OR 3RD) 15 5 +6 ALL AGED WIN 51 19 +5 ALL AGE PLACED ( 2 ND OR 3RD) 76 32 +52 ODDS ON 11 7 +9 EVENS –2/1 43 22 +33 9/4-7/2 109 36 +34