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NBA 11th


TazaD

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Won't make the same mistake again today...I'll post about 20 hours early instead! :dude Utah +6 (Maybe more by game time) League: 16-7-1 (Av. loss 5.7) away 5+ dog, no rest off a 15+ ats win as away 4- dog. [utah] 9-1 (Av. loss 4.3) if opp is off ay ats loss. Houston are 5-17 ats at home, and just 2-12 as a fav of 6.5 or less...and it makes sense, because they just don't score enough to blow teams away. The only teams they have beaten at home by more than 6 are; Seattle (THE worst for points allowed) Charlotte (8th worst) Boston (9th worst) Atlanta (4th worst) & Sactown (13th worst)... ...Utah allow just the 24th most points, nearly a full 7 points better than Sacramento! Looks to me like another close, low scoring game, making 6 a lot of points to cover.

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Re: NBA 11th Milwaukee -10 Adding this game because the line is sure to rise...we should have decent middling opertunity by tip-off. We all know that Wallace and Okafor are out for Charlotte, but today they played with out their starting back-court of Knight and Felton...Neither are likely to play tomorrow night @ Milwaukee. The Bucks won the last meeting at home () by 10 points exactly, but Kinight/Felton scored 23 points, but more importantly dished out 21 of the teams 22 assists! T.J. Ford also missed that game for Milwaukee. Jermaine Jackson started in his place and scored just 6 points in 20 minutes. The other thing about that game was that the Bucks had 24 turnovers to just 15. The Bucks' defense has been playing much better lately, allowing just 1 opponent in their last 7 to top 90, and holding the 7 teams to just 86.0 ppg. (And that includes a double OT!) Charlotte have allowed 100+ in 8 of their last 10 games on the road, going 0-10 and losing those games by an av of 14.8. I'm fairly confident that when the majority of bettors realise that Charlotte are 2 more players down this line will rise at least 2-3 points.

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