NBA 25th

[TazaD]

Utah -5 League: 13-2-1 (Av. win 13.8) home 5+ fav, 1 day off a 10+ ats win as home (-3 to +3), if opp is off a 10+ ats win. [utah] Seattle 0-12 ats on the road when they son't score 100. The Sonics played well last game at Phoenix, winning as big 'dogs, but they won't shoot over 53% in this game. Despite that win, Seattle are still poor on the road, and allow 109+ ppg...the low line is an over-reation to one good performance.

[TazaD]

Re: NBA 25th Minnesota @ Memphis over 169.5 League: 10-3 over (+9.0) away dog, no rest off a 15+ ats loss as a home dog, if opp is off any ats loss. [Min] 9-1 over (+14.1!) if opp is off an away ats loss. 6-0 over (+18.8!!) if opp lost ats as an away dog. League: 10-5 over (14-1 over this no...+8.2) home fav, no rest off a 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog, if opp is off a 15+ ats loss. [Mem] The total is just too low here. Minni have scored less than 83 in just 4 of 38 games this season, and Memphis play their worst D with no rest, allowing 92.2 ppg (compared to 86.8 ppg). The Griz have been in a bit of a scoring slump recently, but they've played SA twice and 3 tough road games. They av. a little over 90 ppg at home. I don't for one second expect these teams to come out and explode for 100 each, but 170 points is well within reach. Portland v. Denver over 195.5 League: 18-8-1 over (av. total 188.3...av. score 193.8) home dog, 2 days off a 10- ats win as home 5+ dog. [Port] 9-2 over (10-1 over this no...av. total 198.0...av. score 209.9!) if total is 190+. Portland are definately playing their best ball of the season in this home stretch, winning 4 of their last 5 games, losing 1 in OT, and averaging 100.0 ppg! In these 5 games, they are averaging nearly 4 more shots per game, and this should increase evn more today, as Denver allow the 4th most shots in the NBA (82.4) Denver have topped 100 in 19 of their last 26 games, so I'm happy to take this over at 196 or less.