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NBA Wed 7th


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NO -2 Since 95, League is: 24-17 (Av. win 3.6) home fav pf 4 or less, no rest off a 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog. [NO] ...becomes 7-1 (8-0 SU Av. win 8.0) if their opp is off a 10+ ats loss. Shows that if their opposition is playing badly, then they don't tend to turn it around over-night. League: 9-14 (Av. loss 3.8 ) away dog of 4 or less, no rest off a 10+ ats loss as away 5+ dog. [bost] 4-13 (Av. loss 7.1) if their opp was last away. Boston aren't playing well, and the line is lower than it should be due to NO having to travel. One team will play defense in this game, and it won't be Boston who allow 111 ppg on the road @ 47.5% shooting. NYK @ LAC under 193.5 League: 2-17 under (Av. total 186.9...av. score 176.8 ) home 5+ fav, 1 day off a 10- ats win as a home 5+ fav, if opp is off an upset SU win as a road 5+ dog. [LAC] 0-8 under (Av. total 195.8...av. score 181.4) if the total is 190+ A team playing good D and winning at home seems to be wary of a team that is coming off a big upset road win, so they clamp down on D even more...likely combined with the fact that NYK will struggle to score that easily 2 nights in a row. Scoring @ Seattle who allow 104 ppg @ 48.6% is one thing...doing it @ the Clips who allow 92 ppg at a NBA best 39% is another.

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