NBA Dec 4th

[HIGHonNBA]

My pick for tonight is Atlanta +11.5

[TazaD]

Re: NBA Dec 4th Lakers -5.5 (2 units) League: 37-29-2 (Av. win 9.4) home 5+ favs, 1 day off a 10- ats loss as home 4- dogs. [LAL] 8-2 (Av. win 12.7) if opp won ats but lost SU away. 6-0 (Av. win 15.2) if total is 190+ League: 132-134-3 (Av. loss 9.7) away 5+ dog, 1 day off a 10- ats win as away 5+ dog. [Charl] ...but 2-15 (Av. loss 11.4) if opp lost ats as a home dog! (1-12 (Av. loss 12.0) if total is 190+) (0-11 (Av. loss 13.9) if opp was a 4- dog, and total is 190+) Charlotte are just 1-9 on the road, and 7 of the losses have been by 7 or more. LA won this meeting last season 101-90 as -8.5 favs without Kobe playing...and although they lost last game (due only to Minni's HOT shooting), there were some very good signs for LA with Kobe scoring only 20 of 108 points, and 6 players with 9 or more points (4 with 19+). Sacramento -4 League: 23-41-3 (Av. loss 4.3) away 4- dog off a 10- ats win as away 4- fav. [Min] 6-15 (Av. loss 6.2) if opp lost ats as any fav. (0-1 this season. Det 82-119 Dal) Kings are 8-0 since 2002 (Av. win 22.1!!) at home of a 10+ SU loss! Minni have won their last 2 on the road, but they have been very lucky to do so. @ Cleveland they had just 6 offensive rebounds to 21!!...Cavs just shot a terrible 31% to lose. @ LA it was 6 offensive rebounds to 15, and just 26 points in the paint to 56!!...The difference this time was that Minni shot 55.3% and 64.7% from 3 point range! I doubt if either of those things will happen tonight.