NFL Wk. 9.

[TazaD]

Early again....and I know line wil probably move against my crappy judgement...but here goes... Chic @ NO under 34 (1.92) Pissed I missed the 34.5, but still a good number for the under here, imo. Bit of a low number, but the Bears have scored 7, 10 and 16 (but 10 really) on the road so far. They throw at only 4.8 y/pass, and are quite happy to put the game in the hands of their RB's and defense. NO's defense should be good enough to slow the Bears up enough to leave this one well under 34. NE +3 (2.20!) Debated whether to take the 3 at a stupid price or a ML @ 2.70. I've said all along the Indi are poor, and here it starts. NE seem to need a decent running game to open up their passing attack..they have lost @ Carolina (2nd in run D), San Diego (3rd in run D) and @ Denver (5th in run D). Now they face Indi at home, allowing 4.5 y/rush (26th). Indi who haven't played anyone worth playing yet so far! I really think that NE win this game SU, but getting 2.20 for the +3 is a bit crazy imo, so I'll jump at it now. oh....and I even have trends to support both plays!!.... League: 11-4-1 (Av. WIN 3.8) any home dog, off an ats loss as home 7+ fav. [NE] 8-0 SU (Av. WIN 12.1!!) if total is 40+ (Never back a road fav with a crap defense ;)) League: 3-11 under (av. total 36.3..av. score 30.4) any away fav, total <40, off an upset SU win an away dog of 3 or less. [Chic] 0-9 under (av. total 35.1...av. score 24.2) if total <37! Chicago are 1-6 under so far this year, 4-12 in the last 3 years when playing a team with a losing record, and 5-14 under in all road games in the last 3 years. Like just one more game that is OTB atm....And I hope I haven't missed the boat. :wall

[TazaD]

Re: NFL Wk. 9. SD -6 (2.00) Schottenheimer challenged his team to 'start again' last week, and I think they will be keyed up to get another win before their BYE week. The Jets have been poor so far, scoring only 20 once @ 13.1 ppg...and with Testaverde still ?? things can only get worse! SD run for 4.4 ypc to 3.2....7.2 ypp to 5.6...have 27 TD's to 11....24 sacks to 12 and have allowed just 12 sacks to the Jets 25. SD have beaten much beater teams than the Jets on the road so far, and they would really like to be 5-4 going into their bye. In the last 3 years, SD are 13-3 ats against losing teams, so they get the job done when they are supposed to. Hard to see this one beng any different.