Racing Chat-Thursday 3rd October

[Systemight]

Competitive fare for the National Hunt enthusiasts at both Warwick and Southwell today,where winners will be hard to find.

 

We will do our best though and Alan King's Theonlywayiswessex is selected for the opener at Southwell(14.00).  In a wide open 11 runner handicap Chase i thought the 17/2 was fair given the scope this one has over fences.

The fact Harry Skelton rides at Warwick seems to have put punters off the chances of Dan Skelton's Next Left in the 14.30 here,so we will nip in smartly and nab a bit of that 3/1 offered this morning.Three pound claimer Tristan Durrell is competent enough and this one has a 50% strike rate over fences

.Just over Half an hour later Special Dragon lines up for a tough looking 13 runner handicap Chase,but the 5/1 quote is tempting.Given time to freshen up for this her Chase debut,this improving sort could easily be ahead of her more experienced rivals.I was at Worcester three weeks ago when i saw Shibuya Song bolt up in the finale that day at 33/1.Such was her ease of victory that day,she could easily win the finale here (17.10).At 6/1 she looks worth a punt.

 

I have been a member at Warwick in the past,and there are few finer sights than being on a bold jumping front runner taking on those 5 fences down the far side.Don't be fooled though,those jumps are not as tricky as is often made out and the casualty rate is quite low.

The ones with form in the mares maiden at 14.23 are a pretty uninspiring bunch,so i'm willing to take a chance on 11/4 shot Jayapura with my free bet for finishing second with Alafdhal yesterday.while the Skelton's complete the days business at this venue with Gods Own Getaway -one of three runners from the stable competing. Betfred are not offering Bog on this race,so i have switched to the Betfair Exchange to take the 5.8,which is a bigger price than i was expecting..

Prices/Offers were taken from Betfred at 11.00am

[azzybear]

triple force 8.10