NFL Week 4

[thephysician]

Just started looking but these peak my curiousity. Will update my strength rating later on tonight before going anywhere with them, but: Detroit @ Tampa, -6.5 If Joey Harrington has even half the bad day at the office he had two weeks ago at Chicago, the Buccs will be all over him defensively, while Cadillac looks good to rush for 100 yards+ against a very average rush defence. Pick Tampa. 34 point over/under almost makes me want to go over to, but that relies of Tampa giving up points or really going to town, and not quite sure that's on. Philadelphia @ Kansas City, -2.5 I actually like the money line on the Eagles at 2.1 here, rather than the point spread. Yes McNabb is banged up with a sports hernia. Yes the Chiefs can go ballastic on you, but as the Broncos should, score early against the Cheifs and stuff the run and they can't get the O moving. I expect the Eagles to win here and keep their momentum up. Indianapolis @ Tennessee, -7 How do the Titans score here? The Colts defence is TOUGH, and giving up nothing. This means Manning and co aren't really go all out on offence, and realyl don't need to this week either. Some people seem to think they're keeping it hidden till needed. I don't quite buy that... you need game experience to keep your offence fresh. That said, Under 45 looks a steal again this week to me. Even if Manning goes off, you can get a 6 TD game here and still take home the bookies cash. Those are my 3 most likely plays right now. (2 from 3 last week, 5 from 13 for the season). I'm sure I'll pick up some good tips here anyways or moneyline bets from the comparison of strength I'll do.

[TazaD]

Re: NFL Week 4 Damn, physician...we have to stop disagreeing like this!! I reckon I'll be on the opposite side of 2 of those games....and TB-6.5 looks too good to be true, esp. when it got bet up to 7 and quickly dropped back to 6.5?? Cinci -9.5 This one almost loks too easy aswell, but Cinci figure to put up some very big numbers here. Simple logic says that Cinci have scored 27, 24 (away) and 37 at home. Houston have scored 7 and 7 and don't look like they could stop a high school team. I just don't think this one is even close. No trends or long-winded reasons here, just a good team beating the pants off a crappy one. Washington v. Seattle under 36.5 One of my all time favourite systems in play in this game.... League: 6-35 under (Av 33.4...-7.0) home 3- fav off a BYE. [Wash] (1-21 under (av. 31.6...-9.1) since 1997!!) 0-7 under (av. 26.0...-9.2) if total