NFL Week 13 - Predictions

[harry_rag]

Week 13 already! I wish the games were spread out like last week every week, it makes Sunday's much more manageable!

[PercyP]

Week 12 Results

Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.

ATS YTD record

Picks 60 = W30 D4 L26 – staked 360.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +420.09 points

1. Dolphins to win ATS -10.0 points @ 10/11 – FRIDAY NIGHT – Jets outgunned by Dolphins 34-13 = WON

The Jets offence has been dreadful all season. Dropping Zach Wilson was inevitable. Replacement Tim Boyle a 29 year old journeyman was a back-up for Wilson (so he must be horrendous). Boyle has had three NFL starts which came in 2021 for the Lions; he went 0-3 with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Miami who are ranked first in passing and second in rushing should win this easily, though keeping players safe and healthy will be their main objective. Dolphins won easily.

2. Lions to win ATS -7.50 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT – Packers win straight up 29-22 = LOST

The Lions are ranked fourth in passing yards per game and fifth in rushing yards per game take on a mediocre Packers team. It’s Goff versus Jordan Love. Goff will not play like he did in week 11. Unfortunately he did! Jared Goff lost three fumbles, including one that was returned for a Packers TD in the first quarter. Goff now has six turnovers over his past two games. 

3. Colts to win ATS -2.5 points @ 10/11 – Colts win 27-20 = WON

Whilst the Bucs have been competitive, they are 2-6 in their last eight games. The Colts main weakness is against rushing teams, however the Bucs are dead last in rushing yards per game. Home advantage should enable the Colts to go 6-5. The Colts gave Baker Mayfield, nightmares sacking him six times.

 4. Saints to win on Moneyline @ 10/11 – Falcons beat Saints 24-15 = LOST

Desmond Ridder returns as the starting QB for the Falcons. The second-year quarterback was previously benched because of his inability to avoid turnovers and sacks. Turnovers are the Falcons problem, including Ridder’s six interceptions and seven fumbles. He has been sacked 25 times. It doesn’t help when Saints QB Derek Carr gives away a 92-yard pick-six. The Saints offence was the problem. The Saints made five trips into the red zone and they came away with zero touchdowns

 5. Patriots to win ATS -3.0 points @ 5/6 – Worst game ever, Giants win 10-7 = LOST

 I must be losing it, picking the Patriots to win a game on the road.  However, the Patriots coming off of a bye week will feast on the Giants QB Tommy Devito. He took nine sacks against the Commanders on Sunday. Bill Belichick’s time at New England is coming to an end.