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RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER


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Storm Steps                                                                 5 35 Dun/                             1/40th of a pt ew    28/1

Watchya                                                                       6 45 Kem/                             1/40th of a pt ew    16/1

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I’m glad October is over!

my endless pursuit of winners is over.

WATCHYA

Kempton park

1845

I’m after winners as always but as with my recent picks I’m using the physics more and more. Some nice winners at Newcastle the last two nights along with decent forecast on the first night.

Sydney Bay won  again on second run for new yard and still has a ton in hand.

Aberama gold form popped up last night through Tim Easterby’s  Snash who was completing a Yorkshire four timer over catterick and Newcastle.
It comes up again tonight at kempton as watchya tipped up by black rabbit runs he goes off a low mark he drops in class and on the physics side should go well under traverse law ( free energy)  which he is guaranteed to be receiving and Neil callan booked and first time headgear dispensed with. The only issue about this horse unknown is wether the earplugs will be used tonight I’m guessing as it’s not a big race in a huge field they won’t be needed tonight . I’m backing  him each way as there’s a long way before all the factors are known as I’ve said before. It’s  good to get an early price, but much about how the race cannot be known until five or ten minutes before the off. Weather and track conditions and the field and markets as well as jockey changes all come into play in the final half hour and any withdrawals can and will affect horses behaviour and performance (even before they enter the stalls) That’s especially so at Dundalk where the whole shape of the race can be influenced by the reserves who are all factored into the race by the weights and the draw ( wether they run or not).  Final word on Dundalk check the results to bear this out. Good luck with your betting this November, with the breeders cup the Melbourne  cup and big jumps meetings in Britain and Ireland  it is going to be one hellaver ride.
 

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