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Racing Chat-Thursday 4th May


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To parfait fared the best of those third at 22/1.

 

Typically you see a few you like and then cannot find the card ♠️.

Funabashi 8.35.

Ricochet

Win

Only 4/5 odds.

Having second run for new yard a winner at mombetsu 364 days ago over the five.

Been progressively stepped up in trip recently in preparation for this and on a "win cycle " early month run now preceded by a run over this trip here 20/4.

Short price not the big one I'd hoped for but good winning chance.

Sonada 8.45

COOL FLARE 

OE ACTIVE

HAMBURG HAMMER

combination forecast 

Edited by sporting sam
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OE ACTIVE

Won but no back up.

9.05 funabashi 

Kimon Tsugaru.

Each way 

Ghost buster

Win

Kimon Tsugaru. Out of form latest but another runner on win cycle won here 5/5 last year. Quickly turned out after latest run last month. Ghost buster good second here last run and hopefully will go close again.....

Edited by sporting sam
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Funabashi 1050

Haseno Express

Win.

Admiral prive

Each way

AP is the unexposed runner here in a race where every single runner has met recently. AP is a course winner but not at the trip and may have scope to improve a little and is worth a tickle at triple figure odds....

All have strong claims best of which looks to be Haseno Express....

Edited by sporting sam
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Eight races and two wins is not a good yield and it has paid to keep stakes low.

11.55

Mana Mokupuni

win

Figures

59-8952124272203-4

The form for this runner does not reveal the modus operandi of the yard who have turned this one out in hope of a repeat win from may 11 th last year. Drawn in stall 3 there is a non runner alongside in stall 4 to help.

Has not run over trip since two runs which produced a win and a good second. Drops down for the first time and coincides with run in April last year to give optimum chance of winning here.

Won't pay much at the wrong side of evens but holds a very good shout at 10/11.

Edited by sporting sam
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If you kept the faith a very decent winner there by two lengths a horse without a win in a year.

Mombetsu 1235

Airport liner has a chance here meets the criteria of a course winner this day last year.

Will have to overcome a collosal opponent in bell pit who has only lost twice though.

 

The call is a reverse forecast

Airport liner

Bell pit

Reverse forecast

And

Airport liner 

win.

 

 

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Mombetsu 1235

Airport liner is a massive price and needs to be backed each way 

* Fourth placed at 18/1.

Final analysis.

Hit the bar with a few, but three winners which may have been boosted significantly by slightly closer race reading. Mana Mokupuni, Shine Polaris and Ricochet the three winners of which two were proper 'trend' horses.

No need to attack more than five japanese races on any given day.

Edited by sporting sam
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1.40 Salisbury 

It does appear that with the usual improvement

KALIK

Win.

May take the beating after penny dropped late on in chasing home dapper valley. Kevin Stott retains the ride.

STATES

Each way

Was rather unlucky in running when caught in an equine sandwich and denied a clear run late on. He has stall 1 here  (second last year) and if staying out of the ruck maybe seen in a better light now. David Egan takes over in the saddle.

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Redcar 4pm

Concorde is now 27 lbs higher than for his first win.

B.curtis has got back in the saddle for all but one of his last few rides.

However the bet is not for Concorde to win  (which he should still do easily) but for the winning race distance of any horses.

The defection of maid in London at 9st 5 puts more daylight between the top weight and the field.

Over 4 Lengths @ 13/8

Edited by sporting sam
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