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Premier League winning margin


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I am going to start a thread experimenting with a winning margin system based on my other Premier League correct score system.

I will record the matches here to see if there is any profit to be made with this.

I will be using B365 for the experiment and please be aware that I am still testing this idea so I am only using small stakes of £1.00 per match and I will start with a bank of £0.00.

Todays selections -

Wednesday               
31/01/2018 Chelsea v Bournemouth 7.45 Chelsea 4+                    14/1  £1.00 £14.00 365
31/01/2018 Everton v Leicester         7.45 Score Draw                      10/3 £1.00 £3.34 365
31/01/2018 Newcastle v Burnley       7.45 Newcastle by 1 goal        13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365
31/01/2018 Southampton v Brighton 7.45 Southampton by 3 goals 15/2  £1.00 £7.50 365
31/01/2018 Man City v West Brom    8.00 Man City 4+                    12/5  £1.00 £2.40 365
31/01/2018 Stoke v Watford              8.00 Stoke by 1 goal                 3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
31/01/2018 Tottenham v Man Utd     8.00 Tottenham by 1 goal         3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365

 

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Not a good start here - all bombed -

Wednesday                                                                    Odds Stake Win
Chelsea v Bournemouth 7.45 Chelsea 4+                    14/1  £1.00 £14.00 365 0-3 lost £1.00
Everton v Leicester         7.45 Score Draw                      10/3 £1.00 £3.34 365 2-1 lost £1.00
Newcastle v Burnley       7.45 Newcastle by 1 goal        13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Southampton v Brighton 7.45 Southampton by 3 goals 15/2  £1.00 £7.50 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Man City v West Brom    8.00 Man City 4+                    12/5  £1.00 £2.40 365 3-0 lost £1.00
Stoke v Watford              8.00 Stoke by 1 goal                 3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 0-0 lost £1.00
Tottenham v Man Utd     8.00 Tottenham by 1 goal         3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 2-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 7 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 7

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £7.00 - total lost = £7.00

Bank £0.00

Selections 7

Won 0

Lost 7

Total lost £7.00

New Bank -£7.00

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Todays selections -

Saturday                                                                                                 Odds Stake Win
03/02/2018 Bournemouth v Stoke         3.00 Bournemouth by 1 goal   11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
03/02/2018 Brighton v West Ham         3.00 Brighton by 1 goal            13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365
03/02/2018 Leicester v Swansea          3.00 Leicester by 3 goals         15/2  £1.00 £7.50 365
03/02/2018 Man Utd v Huddersfield      3.00 Man Utd 4+                      11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
03/02/2018 West Brom v Southampton 3.00 Score Draw                     10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
03/02/2018 Arsenal v Everton                5.30 Arsenal 4+                        9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365

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Saturday                                                                           Odds Stake Win
Burnley v Man City            12.30 Man City   4+                 9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365 1-1 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                                              Odds Stake Win
Bournemouth v Stoke         3.00 Bournemouth by 1 goal   11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 2-1 won £2.75
Brighton v West Ham         3.00 Brighton by 1 goal            13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365 3-1 lost £1.00
Leicester v Swansea          3.00 Leicester by 3 goals         15/2  £1.00 £7.50 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Man Utd v Huddersfield      3.00 Man Utd 4+                      11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 2-0 lost £1.00
West Brom v Southampton 3.00 Score Draw                     10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 2-3 lost £1.00
Arsenal v Everton                5.30 Arsenal 4+                        9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365 5-1 won £4.50

Total matches played = 7 - total matches won = 2 - total matches lost = 5

Total won = £7.25 - total lost = £5.00 - total won = £2.25

Bank -£7.00

Selections 14

Won 2

Lost 12

Total won £2.25

New Bank -£4.75

Todays selections -

                                                                                                Odds Stake Win

04/02/2018 C Palace v Newcastle   2.15 C Palace by 1 goal 13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365
04/02/2018 Liverpool v Tottenham   4.30 Liverpool by 1 goal 3/1    £1.00 £3.00 365

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 Sunday                                                                         Odds Stake Win

C Palace v Newcastle   2.15 C Palace by 1 goal 13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Liverpool v Tottenham   4.30 Liverpool by 1 goal 3/1    £1.00 £3.00 365 2-2 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 2 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 2

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £2.00 - total lost  = £2.00

Bank -£4.75

Selections 16

Won 2

Lost 14

Total lost £2.00

New Bank -£6.75

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Saturday                                                                                  Odds Stake Win
10/02/2018 Everton v C Palace    3.00 Everton by 1 goal     3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
10/02/2018 Stoke v Brighton        3.00 Stoke by 1 goal       11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
10/02/2018 Swansea v Burnley   3.00 Swansea by 1 goal  11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
10/02/2018 West Ham v Watford 3.00 West Ham by 1 goal  3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
10/02/2018 Man City v Leicester  5.30 Man City 4+goals      3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365

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Saturday                                                                     Odds Stake Win
Tottenham v Arsenal 12.30    Tottenham by 1 goal    3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 1-0 won £3.00 :loon

Saturday                                                            Odds Stake Win
Everton v C Palace    3.00 Everton by 1 goal     3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 3-1 lost £1.00
Stoke v Brighton        3.00 Stoke by 1 goal       11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Swansea v Burnley   3.00 Swansea by 1 goal  11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 1-0 won £2.75 :loon
West Ham v Watford 3.00 West Ham by 1 goal  3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 2-0 lost £1.00
Man City v Leicester  5.30 Man City 4+goals      3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 5-1 won £3.00 :loon

Total matches played = 6 - total matches won = 3 - total matches lost = 3

Total won = £8.75 - total lost = £3.00 - total won  = £5.75

Bank -£6.75

Selections 22

Won 5

Lost 17

Total won £5.75

New Bank -£1.00

Todays selections -

Sunday                                                                                                 Odds Stake Win
11/02/2018 Huddersfield v Bournemouth 12.00 Score Draw              10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
11/02/2018 Newcastle v Man Utd              2.15 Man Utd by 3 goals  13/2  £1.00 £6.50 365
11/02/2018 Southampton v Liverpool        4.30 Liverpool by 2 goals 15/4  £1.00 £3.75 365

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Sunday                                                                              Odds Stake Win
Huddersfield v Bournemouth 12.00 Score Draw              10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 4-1 lost £1.00
Newcastle v Man Utd              2.15 Man Utd by 3 goals  13/2  £1.00 £6.50 365 1-0 lost £1.00
Southampton v Liverpool        4.30 Liverpool by 2 goals 15/4  £1.00 £3.75 365 0-2 won £3.75

Total matches played = 3 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 2

Total won = £3.75 - total lost = £2.00 - total won  = £1.75

Bank -£1.00

Selections 25

Won 6

Lost 19

Total won £1.75

New Bank £0.75

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  • 2 weeks later...

This weekends selections -

Saturday                                                                                              Odds Stake Win
24/02/2018 Leicester v Stoke             12.30 Leicester by 3 goals         7/1  £1.00 £7.00 365
24/02/2018 Bournemouth v Newcastle 3.00 Bournemouth by 1 goal 11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
24/02/2018 Brighton v Swansea           3.00 Brighton by 1 goal           5/2  £1.00 £2.50 365
24/02/2018 Burnley v Southampton      3.00 Score Draw                     7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365
24/02/2018 Liverpool v West Ham        3.00 Liverpool by 4 goals      10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
24/02/2018 West Brom v Huddersfield  3.00 West Brom by 2 goals    9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365
24/02/2018 Watford v Everton               5.30 Watford by 1 goal         11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365

Sunday                                                                                                Odds Stake Win
25/02/2018 C Palace v Tottenham     12.30 Tottenham by 3 goals    11/2  £1.00 £5.50 365
25/02/2018 Man Utd v Chelsea            2.05 Man Utd by 1 goal         11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
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Saturday                                                                            Odds Stake Win
Leicester v Stoke             12.30 Leicester by 3 goals         7/1  £1.00 £7.00 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Bournemouth v Newcastle 3.00 Bournemouth by 1 goal 11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 2-2 lost £1.00
Brighton v Swansea           3.00 Brighton by 1 goal           5/2  £1.00 £2.50 365 4-1 lost £1.00
Burnley v Southampton      3.00 Score Draw                     7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365 1-1 won £3.50
Liverpool v West Ham        3.00 Liverpool by 4 goals      10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 4-1 lost £1.00
West Brom v Huddersfield  3.00 West Brom by 2 goals    9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365 1-2 lost £1.00
Watford v Everton               5.30 Watford by 1 goal         11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 1-0 won £2.75

Sunday                                                                              Odds Stake Win
C Palace v Tottenham     12.30 Tottenham by 3 goals    11/2  £1.00 £5.50 365 0-1 lost £1.00
Man Utd v Chelsea            2.05 Man Utd by 1 goal         11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 2-1 won £2.75

Total matches played = 9 - total matches won = 3 - total matches lost = 6

Total won = £9.00 - total lost = £6.00 - total won  = £3.00

Bank £0.75

Selections 34

Won 9

Lost 25

Total won £3.00

New Bank £3.75

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This weekends selections -

Saturday                                                                                               Odds Stake Win
03/03/2018 Burnley v Everton            12.30 Score Draw                       7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365
03/03/2018 Leicester v Bournemouth  3.00 Leicester by 2 goals          4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365
03/03/2018 Southampton v Stoke        3.00 Southampton by 3 goals 15/2  £1.00 £7.50 365
03/03/2018 Swansea v West Ham       3.00 Score Draw                       7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365
03/03/2018 Tottenham v Huddersfield 3.00 Tottenham 4+goals           3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
03/03/2018 Watford v West Brom        3.00 Watford by 1 goal            11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
03/03/2018 Liverpool v Newcastle       5.30 Liverpool 4+goals              3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
Sunday                                                                                                 Odds Stake Win
04/03/2018 Brighton v Arsenal            1.30 Arsenal by 2 goals             9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365
04/03/2018 Man City v Chelsea          4.00 Man City by 3 goals           6/1  £1.00 £6.00 365
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Thursday                                                        Odds Stake Win
Arsenal v Man City 7.45 Man City by 2 goals 4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365 0-3 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                                             Odds Stake Win
Burnley v Everton            12.30 Score Draw                       7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365 2-1 lost £1.00
Leicester v Bournemouth  3.00 Leicester by 2 goals          4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365 1-1 lost £1.00
Southampton v Stoke        3.00 Southampton by 3 goals 15/2  £1.00 £7.50 365 0-0 lost £1.00
Swansea v West Ham       3.00 Score Draw                       7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365 4-1 lost £1.00
Tottenham v Huddersfield 3.00 Tottenham 4+goals           3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 2-0 lost £1.00
Watford v West Brom        3.00 Watford by 1 goal            11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 1-0 won £2.75
Liverpool v Newcastle       5.30 Liverpool 4+goals              3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 2-0 lost £1.00
Sunday                                                                                Odds Stake Win
Brighton v Arsenal            1.30 Arsenal by 2 goals             9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365 2-1 lost £1.00
Man City v Chelsea          4.00 Man City by 3 goals           6/1  £1.00 £6.00 365 1-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 10 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 9

Total won = £2.75 - total lost = £9.00 - total lost  = £6.25

Bank £3.75

Selections 44

Won 10

Lost 34

Total lost £6.25

New Bank -£2.50

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This weekends selections -

Saturday                                                                                             Odds Stake Win
10/03/2018 Man Utd v Liverpool          12.30 Score Draw                   3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
10/03/2018 Everton v Brighton              3.00 Everton by 1 goal        11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365
10/03/2018 Huddersfield v Swansea     3.00 Score Draw                   7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365
10/03/2018 Newcastle v Southampton  3.00 Score Draw                 10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
10/03/2018 West Brom v Leicester        3.00 Score Draw                10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
10/03/2018 West Ham v Burnley           3.00 West Ham by 1 goal   13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365
10/03/2018 Chelsea v C Palace            5.30 Chelsea by 3 goals       9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365

Sunday                                                                                               Odds Stake Win
11/03/2018 Arsenal v Watford               1.30 Arsenal by 3 goals        5/1  £1.00 £5.00 365
11/03/2018 Bournemouth v Tottenham 4.00 Tottenham by 3 goals 11/2  £1.00 £5.50 365
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Saturday                                                                          Odds Stake Win
Man Utd v Liverpool          12.30 Score Draw                   3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365 2-1 lost £1.00
Everton v Brighton              3.00 Everton by 1 goal        11/4  £1.00 £2.75 365 2-0 lost £1.00
Huddersfield v Swansea     3.00 Score Draw                   7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365 0-0 lost £1.00
Newcastle v Southampton  3.00 Score Draw                 10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 3-0 lost £1.00
West Brom v Leicester        3.00 Score Draw                10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 1-4 lost £1.00
West Ham v Burnley           3.00 West Ham by 1 goal   13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365 0-3 lost £1.00
Chelsea v C Palace            5.30 Chelsea by 3 goals       9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365 2-1 lost £1.00

Sunday                                                                            Odds Stake Win
Arsenal v Watford               1.30 Arsenal by 3 goals        5/1  £1.00 £5.00 365 3-0 won £5.00 :loon
Bournemouth v Tottenham 4.00 Tottenham by 3 goals 11/2  £1.00 £5.50 365 1-4 won £5.50 :loon

Total matches played = 9 - total matches won = 2 - total matches lost = 7

Total won = £10.50 - total lost = £7.00 - total won  = £3.50

Bank -£2.50

Selections 53

Won 12

Lost 41

Total won £3.50

New Bank £1.00

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Todays selections -

Saturday                                                                                                Odds Stake Win
17/03/2018 Bournemouth v West Brom 3.00 Bournemouth by 2 goals 4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365
17/03/2018 Hudderfield v C Palace       3.00 Score Draw                    10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
17/03/2018 Stoke v Everton                   3.00 Stoke by 1 goal              10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
17/03/2018 Liverpool v Watford             5.30 Liverpool 4+goals           13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365

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Saturday                                                                              Odds Stake Win
Bournemouth v West Brom  3.00 Bournemouth by 2 goals 4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365 2-1 lost £1.00
Huddersfield v C Palace       3.00 Score Draw                    10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 0-2 lost £1.00
Stoke v Everton                    3.00 Stoke by 1 goal              10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 1-2 lost £1.00
Liverpool v Watford              5.30 Liverpool 4+goals           13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365 5-0 won £2.60

Total matches played = 5 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 4

Total won = £2.60 - total lost = £3.00 - total lost  = £0.40

Bank £1.00

Selections 58

Won 13

Lost 45

Total lost £0.40

New Bank £0.60

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Saturday                                                                              Odds Stake Win
Bournemouth v West Brom  3.00 Bournemouth by 2 goals 4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365 2-1 lost £1.00
Huddersfield v C Palace       3.00 Score Draw                    10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 0-2 lost £1.00
Stoke v Everton                    3.00 Stoke by 1 goal              10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365 1-2 lost £1.00
Liverpool v Watford              5.30 Liverpool 4+goals           13/5  £1.00 £2.60 365 5-0 won £2.60

Total matches played = 4 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 3

Total won = £2.60 - total lost = £3.00 - total lost  = £0.40

Bank £1.00

Selections 57

Won 13

Lost 44

Total lost £0.40

New Bank £0.60

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  • 2 weeks later...

This weekends selections -

Saturday               
31/03/2018 C Palace v Liverpool       12.30 Liverpool by 3 goals     5/1 £1.00 £5.00 365
31/03/2018 Brighton v Leicester          3.00 Score Draw                 10/3 £1.00 £3.34 365
31/03/2018 Man Utd v Swansea          3.00 Man Utd 4+goals          4/1 £1.00 £4.00 365
31/03/2018 Newcastle v Huddersfield  3.00 Newcastle by 2 goals 15/4 £1.00 £3.75 365
31/03/2018 Watford v Bournemouth     3.00 Watford by 1 goal        3/1 £1.00 £3.00 365
31/03/2018 West Brom v Burnley         3.00 Score Draw                 7/2  £1.00 £3.50 365
31/03/2018 West Ham v Southampton 3.00 Score Draw               10/3  £1.00 £3.34 365
31/03/2018 Everton v Man City             5.30 Man City by 3 goals    9/2  £1.00 £4.50 365
Sunday               
01/04/2018 Arsenal v Stoke                  1.30 Arsenal 4+goals          4/1  £1.00 £4.00 365
01/04/2018 Chelsea v Tottenham         4.00 Chelsea by 1 goal       3/1  £1.00 £3.00 365
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