All Blacks v Lions 1st Test

[Citizen Kane]

Feeling a bit bored so thought I'd kick off this thread. Personally believe this test is going to be close and dour. One thing that has impressed me on the tour so far has been the Lions defence. Watched it quite closely at the Maoris game and didn't really think the Maoris were going to score at anytime during the match. Ok so McDonald did score but it was a great individual effort as the Lions did have 3/4 players covering who would have quelled the move 9/10 times. Also very concerned with AB's goalkicking cover if god forbid anything happens to Carter (even just a bad night, let alone an injury). If McDonald doesn'ty start I also think that the AB's back three while electrifying on attack is suspect on defence. Even though not 100% confident on this AB sides ability to absorb pressure (both from being unable to score if dominating possession and territory or defending for periods of time) I still expect them to take the first test and improve as series progresses. Expect the NZTab to open around 1.20/4.20 with a margin of 12/13pts. I will be very tempted to take the Lions at anything over 12pts or 6pts at H/T. Don't think I'd take the margin on if between 8 and 11. Cheers CK

[alan partridge]

Re: All Blacks v Lions 1st Test Just had a wee look at paddy powers odds and hes giving 10/11 for all blacks -8 points. Paddy is quality, often 1st for odds and 1st for mistakes. Im gonna have 20 points on that it looks a cert to me.