% OF HOME WIN

[iroquois]

I believe that home wins sometimes have value. This is a value relative style of betting. Based on stats only and the formula of goal difference. I only bet if the home team have more than 50% of probabilities of winning and the value of the equation is equal or more than 10%.

Initial bank=500 units

Type of betting= Flat betting

Unit of stake=10

Games

HOME   AWAY RATING %H ODD VALUE PICK

Augsburg - Frankfurt 12 65% 2,00 30% 1

Eibar - Malaga 4 53% 2,45 30% 1

[methuselah]

Do not understand , particularly the Augsburg match.