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Jump racing sun 27th dec


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255 leop paddy power chase 

Sumos novios  99.31

Minella foru   98.25

Gilgamboa    98.22

Very difficult race this ..28 runners currently and ground is poor but sumos novios has loads going for him in this race ..  likes heavy ground ....won as he liked lto and penalty might not be anywhere near enough to anchor him  .....been gifted a nice racing weight compared to gilgamboa whos anchored with top weight on heavy ground ? ...big no no .....so at 12/1 even in such a big open race its makes plenty of appeal ..minella foru also looks ew material but maybe a bit more exposed than the top rated but could still run well 

Sumos novios  3 pts ew 12/1 paddyp

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Kemp 235 will hill chase 

Ballinvarig 98.87

Viva steve  98.84

Henrys farewell  98.80

Ballinvarig attempts to win this again and I cant see any reason why he cant off virtually the same weight ....10/1 based on that looks overpriced ....dangers aplenty but viva steve looks interesting also off bottom weight ...that will help on the soft ground and he has a decent level of form coming into this and priced at 16/1 looks good value 

Ballinvarig  2 pts ew 10/1 willh

Viva steve  2 pts ew 16/1 lads

 

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