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flat racing weds 14th oct


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15 pts back today ...rather than put back in kitty ill carry it over to the nice sprint at nott tomorrow 

445 nott 

clubland   98.77

sleepy sioux   98.72

perfect muse   98.67 

elusivity     98.67 

 

difficult race ...perfect muse is well fancied and has ew chances ...same can be said of elusivity who hasnt done a lot wrong and has ew chances ....clubland ran a cracker at chester lto and the easeof that coupled with the fast time suggests he could be a serious player here dispite a rise ....sleepy sioux has been a bit poor of late but recent run was a bit more like it and hcapper has been kind and syl de sousa is up .....nice prices on top two so ill take a dive in 

 

clubland    8 pts win 12/1 lads

sleepy sioux 7 pts win  14/1 willh

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8.15 Kempton

Trucanini was a good second over CD on penultimate start before running a very flat race returned to turf last time out, didnt appear any real excuses other than a 2lb rise in the weights. A return to this track could be the key.

Little Prairie is an interesting runner won a lingfield maiden back in May and has since struggled to hit the same heights in handicaps however went well around here over CD 3 starts back a repeat of that effort would put her in the mix. 2lb lower and dropped back in trip from latest 2 runs.

Milady is unexposed and ran a solid race at Chelmsford last time out, the front 3 pulled well clear of the remainder 2lb rise seems ok however the form has taken plenty of knocks but she remains of interest.

Cascading Stars is my selection running well at present and a career best effort last time out when only just failing to stay in front over a mile around here, that was a strong race with the field well strung out behind the front 2. The winner has since won another hot race off a 6lb higher mark unfortunately the form behind these 2 hasnt looked upto much since. The 5lb rise Stars has recieved is not over harsh and a return to 7f is also a plus should go well off bottom weight.

 

2pt win Cascading Stars 11/2 bet365

 

9.15 Kempton

Typical winter classified race with plenty of dead wood in the race. They can occasionally throw up a strange result but normally the key to these is select the horses which are in form and showing something for all they find winning hard one has to win!

Candesta may be the answer to this race kept to the AW these days and made a promising return to the surface last time out at Chelmsford when 3rd off a mark of 56 well drawn in stall 1 to sit prominent again. That was his first run since May so is entitled to come on from that.

 

2pt win Candesta 10/3 skybet

 

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