flat racing fri 3rd april

[richard-westwood]

lots of value on offer at ling championships ....some strong favs but I want a bit of value ... 140 ling ....dont be .... very open race indeed but dont be looks a horse laid out for this ..could have run in lincoln and prob would have had a good chance so 4/1 looks decent 210 ling ....pretend is the big fancy here and will be hard to beat but at 11/2 im with chookie royale who is a real speedster and will try and run these into the ground ....wont be far away at finish 315 ling ......on paper sovereign debt looks the one but there looks some value in captain joy here at 11/2 ....irish raider ...and has posted some decent form that gives him a chance 3 x 4 pt wins ...any winner shows a profit on the day

[robertob]

Re: flat racing fri 3rd april 1.40 Lingfield: All-weather Fillies' And Mares' Championships A very hot renewal with plenty of interesting runners. I feel that in these kind of Conditions races quality is what matters though, and that should mean horses right at the head of the ratings are often favoured. Plenty of money is coming for Lamar. I'm not sure if the drop in trip suits her and she looks short enough in the betting. Khatiba is progressive, so is Don't Be. Expect them to be right in the mix. Overpriced is the French filly Fresles, though. A 4/1 chance, she is a full point bigger than I would have think she should be in the betting. This filly has had a strong run over 6f in Listed company here at Lingfield in November when she came agonisingly close. Since then she won a Listed race over 7f in France on the All-Weather and produced a very fine prep run over slightly shorter earlier this month. She'll be primed and could have a tactical advantage from her good draw today. Fresles @ 4/1 Coral - 5pts win ------------- 2.10 Lingfield: All-weather Sprint Championships The red hot favourite Pretend looks very hard to beat given how easily he beat similar opposition over five furlongs recently. If he can translate the same sort of form to this 6f trip, then he is hard to beat. But it's a new day and maybe a bit more open, if not at least for the minor placings. I particularly feel that Boom The Groom is massively overpriced. You can get 33/1 with 1/4 odds each-way with some firms and that looks a cracking bet. This colt is a course and distance winner, who holds his form very well this winter and finished a fine third behind Pretend over five furlongs the last time. He has excellent place claims at least here and with the race probably run to suit him, he may get even closer this time. Boom The Groom @ 33/1 Bet365 - 2.5pts E/W ------------- 2.40 Lingfield: All-Weather 3 Year Old Mile Championships It's been a very impressive seasonal reappearance by Lexington Times earlier this month and he is sure to go well with the step up to a mile sure to suit. But it's the French filly Growing Glory who makes most appeal on prices. A massive 10/1 chance you wonder how that can be. With a handy 5lb sex allowance, this filly has beaten on worse terms the boys last month on the French All-Weather over 1m. It was a very impressive display as she was interfered twice in the home straight. Forgive her a recent poor showing on turf, and you see a top class All-Weather miler. Growing Glory @ 10/1 Coral - 5pts win