J-League 2015

[JuMeSyn]

Re: J-League 2015 Kawasaki Frontale Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.18 (Unibet) for a 0.70 stake Kawasasaki Frontale + BTTS: Yes @ 4.50 (bet365) for a 0.10 stake Big clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Urawa Reds tomorrow. Usually the matches between both teams are very spectacular since 2012 and this one should be once again. Kawasaki Frontale are one of the most spectacular teams of the J-League when they are on a good day. Their attacking football approach is terrific and players know how to develop plays with their eyes closed. Then, they have good finishers such as Okubo (big big form), Kobayashi (however injured), Sugimoto (injured as well) and Elsinho (great player!. They also have creative players that know how to assist such as Renatinho (also in good form) and team captain Kengo Nakamura. They actually remind me a bit of a mix between Arsenal and Chile from Sampaoli upfront. However, they lack organization and consistency in defense, so they actually concede some goals as well. After some bad results at the start of the season, they bounced back with a very convincing win at home against Albirex Niigata (4-1), which usually is a tricky opponent. Afterwards, they pulled a strong team to win against Shimizu S-Pulse away (2-0). They will come up to this match very motivated and usually know how to score 1/2 goals at home without any trouble against most of the opposition. With the injuries of Kobayashi and Sugimoto, Elsinho should start the match as a RW, with Takeoka joining in as a right-back. Urawa will come up to this match with some lack of motivation even though they are in first place. They drew at home against Beijing Guoan (1-1) in a quite weary match for them. They needed to win, fielded a strong line-up, actually were the better team but the overall performance what very uninspiring. Actually, that's what I can call Urawa this season: uninspiring. They already had 10 official matches and their only good performance was against Shonan Bellmare (great 2nd half). Other than that, losses for the ACL and two 1-0 wins against promoted teams with some divine intervention from 2 magnificent goals on the 80'+ after they played awfully... For tomorrow, the best line-up should show up from Urawa. Koroki is doubtful but hints say that he should recover to play the 2nd half at least. I'm expecting a match with goals where Kawasaki Frontale will have the upper hand as they play at home and players will definitely be less tired than Urawa, which had a much more weary match against Beijing Guoan. Kawasaki also want to qualify for the playoffs to get a silverware and this match is crucial for them to stop Urawa from climbing up in the table. And even though people recognize that Urawa Reds have a very solid defensive line, I didn't think they were actually that good against stronger opponents such as Beijing Guoan, Brisbane Roar and Gamba Osaka. Kawasaki Frontale didn't have their best start but they looked excellent upfront and Over 1.5 Team Goals was a yes in most of the matches, specially home matches. Last season, Over 1.5 Team Goals happened in 10 of 17 matches and so far, happened in both home matches! H2H also benefits Kawasaki here as their offensive potencial usually overlaps Urawa's defensive work. The last 4 matches between them with Kawasaki as home team we have 4 Kawasaki wins and Over 1.5 Team Goals always came in. That's my main bet for tomorrow. And at 2.18 looks with some value. Also a smaller punt on Kawasaki + BTTS: Yes @ 4.50 just in case. Think 2-1 is a very possible result. Wouldn't be surprised of a 3-2 as well.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: J-League 2015 Not yet. Maybe next time. I'm pretty sure I'm reading things well since 2/3 weeks, but not being lucky at all on what I post around here. Next matchday I will surely get one at least :)

[clubgowi]

Re: J-League 2015 Nagoya Grampus-Shimizu S-Pulse I spoke about the offensive potential of Nagoya on opening day ......Gamba Osaka were easily the best J-League team last season and completed the domestic treble despite being in the relegation zone after 14 rounds. Knowing that, it will not surprise you to know that they, with 39 points, were the best team over the second half of the campaign , followed by Kashiwa Reysol with 36 and Kashima Antlers with 33, they were the only three teams to break the 30 point barrier, although special mention goes to Nagoya Grampus with 29, which was far and away the best of the teams who finished in the bottom half of the table and I see them as a big potential improver. Akira Nishino is in his second year in charge there and his ideas were clearly getting across to the players and having an influence in the second half of last season, he was wildly successful at Gamba Osaka for a decade, winning numerous trophies and two coach of the year awards. He took a while to start winning things at Gamba and Nagoya are clearly prepared to give him time and to back his judgement, the signings of Kengo Kawamata from Albirex Niigata and Leandro Domingues from Kashiwa Reysol last summer worked out well, with Kensuke Nagai thriving alongside them with 9 goals and three assists over the last 17 games and the club averaging almost two goals per game. They have now added veteran Slovenian striker Milivoje Novakovic from Shimizu S-Pulse, who's record of scoring 16 goals and contributing 4 assists in 38 league and cup appearances for a team battling relegation was awesome, as was the fact he was available for every single game and only missed 23 minutes of league action, at pushing 35 years of age. Really see a big season for them if they can all gel and hit the ground running. They open against one the promoted teams and you are never quite sure what you will get with them, but I would suggest that given up the bigger handicap on Nagoya, who were champions in 2010 and runners up in 2011, might be the way to go. They scored three that day and have actually averaged 2.0 per game across eight competitive matches, scoring three in half of them. SSP have not kept a clean sheet in six and have conceded at least twice in five of those, they did manage to score twice against Gamba Osaka last week, but to be honest, they owed more to the opposition goalkeeper who made two howlers, than any real offensive prowess in that game. The second goal was reported as thus ....."Then, in the 63rd minute Higashiguchi took a cross comfortably and all seemed well. As the defence cleared out and the attacking team returned to their positions the Gamba keeper dropped the ball to the floor, ready to punt it out. He hadn't checked behind though. where Genki Omae was lurking. The diminutive S-Pulse forward pounced on the free ball and tucked it into the net gratefully. 2-2, leaving Higashiguchi red-faced ! " That was not the first error(s) that Higashiguchi has made recently btw and his form has put me off backing Gamba this round. Anyway , I have not seen an awful lot of them this season, but SSP feel they have played a little better than recent results suggest, however, it seems hard to see how they are going to keep Nagoya out for long and this could easily and quickly develop into a shootout, which is what this "local" game ( SSP are calling this their derby fixture again this season, with the continued absence of Jubilo Iwata from the top flight) usually develops into, with the last seven h2h meetings going "over" at an average of 4.43 goals per game, the visitors have scored at least twice in 6 of 10 visits. Nagoya have score four first half goals in their last two home starts and SSP have conceded at least twice in the second half in their last three away games, so the goals will surely come sooner or later for Grampus. 1.25 Nagoya Grampus -0.75 ball 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket. 1.25 units "over" 3 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket Pro......alternative is the more standard 2.75 goal line at circa 1.90.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: J-League 2015 Gamba Osaka + Over 2.5 @ 2.5 (bet365) for a 0.75 stake Let me get back on track with one bet that I find quite unavoidable not to bet on. Gamba Osaka are the current J-League champions and a very strong outfit. After a slow start, their offensive players are in a big moment of form, specially Usami, Abe and Patric. They outclassed a chinese team (which japanese teams usually have a lot of trouble) by 5-0 in the ACL and are on a row 6 consecutives wins, with 16 goals scored and only 4 conceded. They are reminding me of the form they had since July 2014 until the end of the last season. It is true that Albirex Niigata are a traditionally defensive team, but they have been leaking goals specially while playing as a visitor. The conceded at least once in all of their away matches in 2015, and in 4/5 away matches they conceded at least twice. Even though they are defensive, their defensive organization while playing as a visitor is not that good. And Sunday, they will be facing one of the best offensive teams of the league. I am frankly expecting a very strong Gamba Osaka, well motivated after their last victory and they are that kind of team that when they score once, they want to score more and more. However, they also look a bit more insecure at the back in comparison with last season and both Albirex brazilians Rafael Silva and Leo Silva could do some damage. I would say a goal from Niigata is possible, but I can't see anything more than Gamba scoring two, three, maybe even four goals here. Therefore, Gamba Osaka + Over 2.5 looks like a top bet for me. Let's just hope it does not end 2-0.

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Re: J-League 2015 Kawasaki Frontale- Ventforet Kofu Kawasaki are top scorers in J-League averaging over two goals per game so far and will want to make the most of this start against the team with the worst defensive record, ahead of three games in a row against teams like themselves with title ambitions. Any points dropped to Ventforet at present are seen as points dropped and this is a favoured opponent for Frontale, who have not lost to Kofu in ten home games, averaging 2.2 goals per game and have also scored 13 goals in the last six meetings in the reverse fixture, winning four. Sagan won 3-0 in Kofu last week (see below), the match was over as a contest with the second goal which came after just 25 minutes and Ventforet are dire defensively right now and are offering close to zero at the other end of the pitch. There are no surprises with them, they arrive at 0-0 and will be looking to hold on to it, but it is hard to see any plan B after they concede , as they surely will today. Ventforet were desperate to stop the rot in midweek and used a far stronger line up than most other clubs for their Nabisco Cup game, fielding seven of the 14 who played against Sagan and it looked to have worked as they led 2-0 very early, but conceded twice to allow Albirex, who were without Rafael Silva and you should all know by now how absolutely vital he is to Niigata, who are largely toothless in his absence and the fact that they still scored twice and on the road , only further highlights how bad the situation is for Kofu. 1.5 units Kawasaki Frontale -1 ball 1.99 asian line/Sportmarket.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: J-League 2015 finally! And from what I've heard, I was quite lucky.

[Lisandri]

Re: J-League 2015 Japan » J. League »Wednesday 29 April 2015 [TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617]

[TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Wednesday 29 April 2015[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Albirex Niigata v FC Tokyo (06:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.66[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.35[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.92[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.69 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Kawasaki Frontale v Kashiwa Reysol (06:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.06[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.66[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.51 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Shimizu S-Pulse v Montedio Yamagata (06:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.52[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.58[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.39 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vegalta Sendai v Kashima Antlers (06:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.05[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.97[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.12 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Gamba Osaka v Matsumoto Yamaga FC (08:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.41[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]9.2[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.79 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Shonan Bellmare v Sagan Tosu (08:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.66[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.23 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus (08:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.58[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.65[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.83[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.49 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Ventforet Kofu v Urawa Red Diamonds (11:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]6.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.95[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.65[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.07 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD=align: center][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Yokohama F. Marinos v Sanfrecce Hiroshima (11:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.07 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

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Re: J-League 2015 Sanfrecce Hiroshima- Vegalta Sendai Four straight wins in all competitions for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, through which they have scored ten goals , two or more in each. They are up to fourth in the table and with the top two meeting in Saitama, they have a great opportunity to close in on one, or both with a fourth straight home win over Vegalta, who are without a win in six, including losing their last four. Last weekend I previewed Sanfreece's home match with SSP.....I feel a visit to Hiroshima where the hosts have scored six road goals in the last week, including two at highflying FC Tokyo, who were previously unbeaten and who have scored 11 in the last four h2h meetings is the last thing they need right now. Tactically, Sanfrecce were spot on in the capital, took huge confidence from that and having followed up in midweek, want to now reproduce those performances in front of their home supporters who have been very loyal through a difficult start to the season. They won 2-0 and have since followed up at Yokohama and are strongly favoured to win this. After consecutive J-League titles they came up short last year, claiming to have been exhausted by the schedule, with two demanding Champions League campaigns, no such worries this year and they are very committed to another domestic title. They have shared the goals around this season, but the two main front men, Douglas and Sato both scored in midweek and look to be developing a potent understanding, Sato is a veteran now , but has been one of the most prolific J-L strikers for more than a decade and like most front men, tends to be very streaky and one goal usually follows another. With Vegalta struggling on the road , defensively and in this fixture and with probably the quick turnaround, they look up against it today and with two home games next week, their focus could quickly switch to those if and when they fall behind today. 1.5 units Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.75 goals 1.98 asian line/ Sportmarket.

[JuMeSyn]

Re: J-League 2015 Yokohama F Marinos x Nagoya Grampus Yokohama F Marinos is currently with 4 losses in their last 5 matches. They are in terrible shape are face a lot of trouble when facing teams of the same quality or higher quality. Erick Mombaerts is starting to be criticized among fans due to their defensive-minded approach. Yokohama have excellent attacking options in Rafinha, Ademilson, Ito and Saito but they just aren't able of scoring more and regularly. The fact of the most influential players of the team are still recovering from their injuries, Nakamura and Kurihara is definitely playing a role here. The team seems to be missing their captains and even though it is possible that they could play tomorrow, it is most likely that they will not play. On the other hand, Nagoya are in excellent form. Nishino's (Nagoya manager) is a very offensive minded manager and their teams play attractive football. The main problem is at the back, and Nagoya were known in last season for knowing how to score, but also for always conceding as well. The start of the season saw the same from them, but they have very consistent in defence lately. Forwards Nagai and Kawamata are very fast and skilled players that deliver a massive amount of damage to defensive lines while on their preferred counter-attacking approach. Moreover, Nagoya also have another excellent attacking options in Novakovic and Yano. And imagine if Leandro Domingues was available. I seriously can see them scoring in more than 90% of their official matches due to their offensive minded and effective approach. And actually, in 13 official matches so far, they only missed to score against Kofu away (0-1), and Kofu will play defensive minded approaches against third division teams if needed due to their lack of good options to fight for J-League 1... While we have a team that is in bad shape with a lot of trouble in scoring goals even with all the great players upfront and will probably play without influential players Nakamura and Kurihara, on the side we have a Nagoya Grampus which has corrected their defensive weaknesses and are just as good as they always were offensively with Nishino as manager. Nagoya Grampus counter-attacking approach is also one thing to point out here. Although they still have only won twice in 6 official matches while playing away, their approach works much better while playing away. Last season this was their playing style and they were the best J-League team playing away from home, with 35 points in 17 matches if I'm not mistaken. Although they already have 3 losses and only 1 win, 2 of these losses were expected (Urawa and Gamba) and I'm pretty sure we will see them getting even better results while playing away. Honestly can't see nothing but a draw or a Nagoya Grampus win, and given the current odds there is definite value in backing the 0.0 option on Unibet. Nagoya Grampus 0.0 @ 2.28 (Unibet) for a 0.60 stake

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Re: J-League 2015 Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima are another team we have been keen to stay on the right side of and ahead of their weekend home game with Vegalta Sendai I wrote ..... Four straight wins in all competitions for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, through which they have scored ten goals , two or more in each. They are up to fourth in the table and with the top two meeting in Saitama, they have a great opportunity to close in on one, or both with a fourth straight home win over Vegalta, who are without a win in six, including losing their last four. Last weekend I previewed Sanfreece's home match with SSP.....I feel a visit to Hiroshima where the hosts have scored six road goals in the last week, including two at highflying FC Tokyo, who were previously unbeaten and who have scored 11 in the last four h2h meetings is the last thing they need right now. Tactically, Sanfrecce were spot on in the capital, took huge confidence from that and having followed up in midweek, want to now reproduce those performances in front of their home supporters who have been very loyal through a difficult start to the season. They won 2-0 and have since followed up at Yokohama and are strongly favoured to win this. After consecutive J-League titles they came up short last year, claiming to have been exhausted by the schedule, with two demanding Champions League campaigns, no such worries this year and they are very committed to another domestic title. They have shared the goals around this season, but the two main front men, Douglas and Sato both scored in midweek and look to be developing a potent understanding, Sato is a veteran now , but has been one of the most prolific J-L strikers for more than a decade and like most front men, tends to be very streaky and one goal usually follows another. With Vegalta struggling on the road , defensively and in this fixture and with probably the quick turnaround, they look up against it today and with two home games next week, their focus could quickly switch to those if and when they fall behind today. They eased home 2-0 there and have the chance to move to within a point of first place in the table with a sixth straight win, they have lost just one of seven h2h metings with Frontale, who have conceded six goals in their last two starts, including at four home to Reysol and are turning into flat track bullies, collecting just two points from five starts against top half teams, 12 from 15 versus bottom half sides. The team from just south of the capital are coming off a 2-1 defeat to rivals FC Tokyo in the derby game on Saturday, where they led for 50 minutes , before being reduced to ten men with 30 to go and conceded twice, that is a tough way to lose and a lot of effort to expend for no reward. That match was played on the hottest day of the year by some way and how it played out will have taken a big toll.Now they face another another top team, the third inside seven days and that is a big ask, against an opponent at the very top of their game. Shintaro Kuruyama is suspended for the hosts after his red card , the left back has had a good season, when he plays, Frontale have conceded 8 goals in 694 minutes ( one every 87 mins), without him, six in 116 (one every 19) ! Visitors for me, handicap start is a bonus. Sanfrecce Hiroshima +0.25 ball 2.00 asian line/Sportmarket.

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Re: J-League 2015 Urawa Reds- Shimizu S-Pulse Urawa could seal the first stage title today, but would need a lot to go their way elsewhere and it is not very likely, but offensively, they look an unstoppable force right now, something we spoke about ahead of their 3-3 draw away to Kashiwa Retsol in midweek..... .there is not as much between these two as the league table suggests, certainly not as much as 1.5 + points per game and I am expecting a close game today and hopefully a bit of a shootout. Having said that, Urawa are much improved on last season and a little more pleasing on the eye and adventurous this time round, Reysol have been focused on their Champions League campaign, but can largely forget about that until the end of August. They will surely give J-League their full attention now, the first stage is over for them, even a top three place in the overall championship seems highly unlikely**, so they will have to look towards winning the second series, but need to find some domestic form in the interim. If they give today a real go, as they surely will, it will give Reysol some indication of where they stand in the J-L pecking order and I suspect that is not too far off the top. Reds could be crowned first stage champions as early as Sunday should they win today and could then celebrate in front of their own supporters, they have no need to sit back, a point will not make too much difference either way and surely goals are on the cards this "lunchtime" (sorry, if I try to write in anything other than a European time scale/frame, it will be too confusing). Urawa have scored 16 goals in four starts since being eliminated from the CL and have clearly thrown the shackles off that have been holding them back offensively for so much of the last 15 months. They have also conceded in each of those games, including four times at Vegalta Sendai. Reysol have recorded back to back home 0-0 draws, but both teams came with a negative approach and the fixtures were ahead of vital CL fixtures and in a very crowded schedule, they might feel that they owe their supporters a little excitement and do not have much to lose from today either and in a match which has traditionally produced goals, it is hard to see how today can play out otherwise. The last ten meetings in Chiba have averaged exactly 4.0 goals, Urawa have scored two or more in six of those and Reysol likewise in six of seven . I am not overly worried about team news, today is more about history, approach and with both having more to gain from winning, than losing/drawing, at least in my own warped thinking ! However, the fact that both are missing key defensive players hardly hurts ! That finished 3-3 and I hope and expect Urawa to continue in this free wheeling , free scoring manner, which is totally alien to the, at times, timid approach we saw from them last season. They have scored 19 goals in their last five starts, three of which have produced at least six goals and will be looking to beat up on a suspect Shimizu backline which has conceded a league high 26 goals and is very short of defensive options. On the plus side for the visitors, they are coming off a rare free midweek and from their best result of the season, a 5-2 defeat of highflying Kawasaki Frontale last week. They have also scored in 8 of 9 visits to Saitama and can play their part in an open encounter. "over" 3.25 goals 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket.

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Sagan Tosu- FC Tokyo I guess the international break has come at the right time for Sagan who have conceded a whopping 14 goals in their last three league games, shipping three to Frontale was bad, six to leaders Urawa worse, but five to Velgalta , who had scored just three in their previous four starts was a bit of a low point and you can view the break as a chance to put things right, or as a very long 13 days to reflect and feel sorry for themselves ! They are starting matches quite well and incredibly, are unbeaten before the break all season ( 4-11-0) but losing their way afterwards and they have conceded 24 of 28 goals ( 86%) in the second half, next highest through that period is the 18 conceded by the bottom two clubs, Albirex Niigata and Shimizu S-Pulse and highlights just how poorly they are ending matches. FCT are a better team and are very tough to beat when leading (6-0-0 this season), so difficult to see them dropping this to a team leaking after the break, if they can edge ahead. But those Sagan stats offer hope should they fall behind and FCT have taken points from two of the four games in which they have trailed at the half. The visitors have won on their last two visits here and we backed them to win the last of those back in August and those notes are reproduced at the foot of this email. They are unbeaten in four and will be looking to break into the top three in the overall championship this season, they are a team we discuss a lot and there are a mountain of notes on them in the database and I have also reproduced a preview from earlier this season, their trip to Montedio Yamagata, which is particularly pertinent as I am going to finish these notes with the newly promoted club's trip to Hiroshima. Anyway, they all provide background information and after their last match, a 2-1 win at Matsumoto Yamaga, where they raced into a two goal lead and then had to fight hard to hold on, they will have enjoyed the hard earned break. Coach Massimo Ficcadenti (see below) is very meticulous and will have used the two weeks wisely, his team came back after the World Cup break last summer on fire and were unbeaten in eight in all competions with an incredible 21-1 goal difference. They can edge this.............. FC Tokyo -0.25 ball 2.19 asian line/Sportsmarket.

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J-League: FC Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse FC Tokyo won for us last weekend when I wrote ...... I guess the international break has come at the right time for Sagan who have conceded a whopping 14 goals in their last three league games, shipping three to Frontale was bad, six to leaders Urawa worse, but five to Velgalta , who had scored just three in their previous four starts was a bit of a low point and you can view the break as a chance to put things right, or as a very long 13 days to reflect and feel sorry for themselves ! They are starting matches quite well and incredibly, are unbeaten before the break all season ( 4-11-0) but losing their way afterwards and they have conceded 24 of 28 goals ( 86%) in the second half, next highest through that period is the 18 conceded by the bottom two clubs, Albirex Niigata and Shimizu S-Pulse and highlights just how poorly they are ending matches. FCT are a better team and are very tough to beat when leading (6-0-0 this season), so difficult to see them dropping this to a team leaking after the break, if they can edge ahead. But those Sagan stats offer hope should they fall behind and FCT have taken points from two of the four games in which they have trailed at the half. The visitors have won on their last two visits here and we backed them to win the last of those back in August and those notes are reproduced at the foot of this email. They are unbeaten in four and will be looking to break into the top three in the overall championship this season, they are a team we discuss a lot and there are a mountain of notes on them in the database and I have also reproduced a preview from earlier this season, their trip to Montedio Yamagata, which is particularly pertinent as I am going to finish these notes with the newly promoted club's trip to Hiroshima. Anyway, they all provide background information and after their last match, a 2-1 win at Matsumoto Yamaga, where they raced into a two goal lead and then had to fight hard to hold on, they will have enjoyed the hard earned break. Coach Massimo Ficcadenti (see below) is very meticulous and will have used the two weeks wisely, his team came back after the World Cup break last summer on fire and were unbeaten in eight in all competions with an incredible 21-1 goal difference. They can edge this...... The came from behind to win 2-1 with a pair of second half goals and the match played out perfectly for " in play" betting, with Sagan gain losing their way after the break, more of that later in the email. Tokyo will want to finish the first stage with another three points which will ensure they go into the mini break in the top three in the overall (aggregate) championship. They did the double over Shimizu S-Pulse last season with a 7-1 aggregate, which included a 4-0 win in this fixture and with the visitors struggling big time, they collected just 15 points from the second half of last season and have just 13 from their first 16 games this season, that is circa 29 points over the full season and equates to relegation form and them some and they have a lot of work to do to remain in the top flight. The hosts will say a sad, yet fond farewell to top striker Yoshinori Muto after this game , who is joining FSV Mainz , he has 10 goals in 16 league games this season and had two goals and two assists in the games against SSP last season, he will want to say goodbye with a goal I am sure and I take FCT to record a comprehensive victory. Australian winger Mitchell Duke is suspended for the visitors, he scored the opening goal in the only road game that SSP have won in eight months. FC Tokyo -0.75 ball 1.94 asian line/Sportmarket.

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Vissel Kobe- Gamba Osaka 25/07/2015 Cannot believe that Gamba blew yet another lead, they seem incapable of keeping a clean sheet right now, but as I said in midweek, offensively there is not a lot wrong with them and one day soon it will all click. However, they have now conceded in their last seven starts and it is not easy to see them keeping one against a Vissel Kobe side I am quite keen on and who did us a favour with a win at Vegalta Sendai last weekend, notes from which are reproduced below the "good luck" sign off. However, they have been far happier on the road all season long and they have themselves conceded in seven straight home starts. This is a fixture which usually produces goals, the last ten h2h meetings in Kobe have averaged 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in eight, Kobe scoring 2 or more goals in five and Gamba three or more in four. After a failure to win in midweek, Gamba are 6-2-0 next time out, scoring at least two goals in each, with six games going "over", there is 2.10-2.25 general quote for Gamba to score "over" 1.5 goals. Home coach Nelsinho named an unchanged team last weekend and reaped the benefits after chopping and changing his line up, usually due to circumstances outside of his control, far to much in Stage 1, I expect him to stick with "over" 2.5 goals 1.95 asian line/Sportmarket. [TABLE=border: 0] [TR] [TD=class: smalltext, width: 100%, colspan: 2, align: left] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: smalltext] [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

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Vissel Kobe- Sanfrecce Hiroshima Notes on Vissel's 2-1 home defeat to Gamba are in the preview above. They conceded for the eighth straight home game and it is close to impossible to see them keeping a clean sheet versus a Sanfrecce Hiroshima offense which is on fire right now, ahead of their last away start, a 2-1 win at Stage 1 champions Urawa, I wrote ..... "I like the odds about Sanfrecce Hiroshima today, if you take a quick look at the format, it is easy to make a case for them being the more motivated of the two given that they still have to qualify for post season play and have made no secret of the fact that they have eyes on a title this season .....After consecutive J-League titles they came up short last year, claiming to have been exhausted by the schedule, with two demanding Champions League campaigns, no such worries this year and they are very committed to another domestic title. They have shared the goals around this season, but the two main front men, Douglas and Sato both scored in midweek and look to be developing a potent understanding, Sato is a veteran now , but has been one of the most prolific J-L strikers for more than a decade and like most front men, tends to be very streaky and one goal usually follows another. The front pair claimed 13 goals in stage 1 and incredibly, already have three between them in the two games since the restart , I only say "incredibly" as Sanfrecce nothched six in midweek without a contribution from Sato, he was taken off after little more than 50 minutes with today in mind and Douglas shortly afterwards and they should be fit and raring to go today.The pair will be boosted by the news that Urawa's vastly experienced central defender Daisuke Nasu is suspended, he has missed just one game this season in which Reds conceded three goals ( just 0.83 goals per game in the other 18 starts) and they have won just once in the five games he has sat out in the last three seasons. Last three h2h matches have been drawn and one goal today should be enough to secure at least a share of the points for the visitors and Urawa are less well equipped than usual to stop them scoring it." They followed that up with another three points on Saturday and could largely switch off after the second goal, their 26th in just eight outings, at least two in each and with Kobe happier on the road, missing suspended left back Takahito Soma ( two defeats in 13 when he plays, 5 in 8 in his absence) and with a poor h2h record, I favour the visitors to claim the three points which will ensure they stay top of the overall championship for another week, having taken first place at the weekend. Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.25 ball 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket.