Flat Racing 18th December

[chris34]

2.00 Southwell Weak affair with plenty of these needing to step up big time. Carlanda is interesting returning to this surface after a very poor return to action last time out at Wolves over much further. Has run well over CD off marks 4lb higher and could go well returned here. Generous Dream may be the safest option having gone really well last time out over CD. A repeat of that will be very hard to beat off the same mark. Yard going very strongly at present. 2pt win Generous Dream 4/1 pp 3.30 Southwell Jacobs Son should benefit for the return to this surface and drop in trip, yet to win off a mark this high but this yard has a good record getting more out of its runners especially around here. Layline only failed by a short head to Royal Marskell last week and should be able to turn the tables here with a 6lb pull and if getting a better run, Layline remains dangerously handicapped at present. 2pt win Layline 3/1 skybet 7.45 Kempton Cracking handicap with several of these in good form however Varsovian is hard to get away from. Draw not kindest but overcame that last time out and his run style helps to overcome that aswell. Going the right way rapidly at present over 6f, step up to 7f shouldn’t prove any problems and he has been winning with something to spare but very cleverly which means his handicap mark has been protected latest 3lb rise looks very lenient especially with the 3^rd and 4^th giving the form a gentle boost. 2pt win Varsovian 4/1 skybet

[richard-westwood]

Re: Flat Racing 18th December 3.00 south divertimenti 50 lucky mark 49 incomparable 48 very very tricky race this ......some horses have the form to win but have been out of sorts lately .....others have questions over surface etc .......overall the percentage bet has to be divertimenti ........claimer got a good tune out the horse lto and a reproduction of that is all that is needed today to go close ......ew to be safe .....prices around 7/1 looks decent value divertimenti 2pts ew...7/1 paddyp