richard-westwood Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 725 kemp plucky dip 52 mishaal 49 spring fling 49 plucky dip should really win this .......has been running extremely well lately and this is the easiest task he has faced ....was winning at 6f last time so trip looks ideal ......his to lose .....wont have things his own way though with mishaal and spring fling capable improvers and if there is a chink in the favs armour then they will exploit it .....ill have a small saver on mishaal just to cover but hopefully fav will prevail plucky dip 3pts win 2/1 bet365 1 pt saver mishaal 8/1 lads Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris34 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Re: flat racing thurs 27th nov 4.55 Kempton Chelwood Gate has tumbled in the weights but needs to show a lot more before getting involved. Byrd In Hand appears to have gone off the boil recently, Zed Candy Girl also looks a little high in the handicap for now. Tevez is often used as a gamble horse, not shown much this year and best watched unless money comes. Spririt Gondree usually runs hia race, not always the easiest to win with and never won off a mark this high although Kirby has a good record with him. Cadmium has won her last 2 starts and clearly not exposed yet, however last win over CD does not look a strong race at all with those behind giving the form plenty of appalling knocks. Latest rise of 4lb is not harsh but this looks a stronger race on paper. Flamborough Breeze might be the one to take a chance on, yard having a fair spell with a winner in last 7 days from 2 runners. She showed improved form last time out over CD in refitted blinkers. They are left off today and although worn them before she is yet to win in headgear so no reason to have major concerns. She looks well handicapped 4lb below last winning mark now and Morris a good booking. 2pt win Flamborough Breeze 3/1 bet365 6.55 Kempton Jezza won last time out on soft ground, up 6lb for that and yet to win off a mark this high. Strawberry Martini won a maiden latest start over 1m4f, up dramatically in trip but could have more to offer yet. Charlie Wells is fairly consistent however continues to creep up the weights without winning which becomes a concern also steps up significantly in trip. Ermyn Lodge isn’t the most consistent these days, however ran a good race last time out. Wouldn’t be the obvious sort to follow that up now. Shadarpour must have a chance having finished a short head second at lingfield over this trip in January, 2lb higher today but has since won twice over hurdles, possibly reached his level last time out may benefit with a switch back to the flat. Java Rose has won her last 2 starts over hurdles after a good run here over CD in September off a mark of 73. Runs off the same mark today and latest win over hurdles is somewhat impressive and only 2lb above last winning mark on flat could be hard to beat if building on return to flat. 2pt win Java Rose 11/2 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertob Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Re: flat racing thurs 27th nov 18.25 Kempton: Nursery (Class 2) - Muradif: Top rated, progressive & good form since winning a Nursery off 9lb lower over CD. Followed up with strong 2nd, and fair performances last two. Should appreciate drop in trip & cheek-pieces may help to focus better. - Vegas Rebel: Very progressive in recent week. Won at Brighton, beaten by narrow margins last two, including seven days ago over CD. Quickly turned out again and can race off same mark. Obvious chance. - Colour Party: Easy maiden winner over 7f at Wolverhampton fortnight ago following up on fine runner-up in hot Newmarket maiden. Lightly raced, Handicap debut. Fair mark and more to come. - Them And Us: Lightly raced winner on racecourse debut, not entirely disgraced in hot Doncaster Nursery. Chance if takes to All-Weather. - Zaza Zest: Improved for step up in trip and slower Southwell surface when landing poor maiden a fortnight ago. Much more required here and not exactly an exciting AW pedigree. - Cascading Stars: Runner-up last three starts over 7-8f. Seems in grip of handicapper and good deal of improvement required against much tougher opposition. - Almoqatel: Debut for new yard, won CD claimer in September. Very hard to fancy on Handicap form. Verdict: This is a really interesting Nursery which can go either way. The only won to oppose easily are the two lowest rated individuals. They should find this here way too tough. Favourite Colour Party looks a nicely progressive sort. She was a fine 2nd in a hot Newmarket maiden and broke the tag with an impressive perfomance at Wolverhampton. The merit of that particular form is questionable, but her opening mark is fair and she is open to any kind of improvement. Her current price looks fair but nothing else though. Muradif is sure to appreciate the drop in trip. He ran with credit the last two but found the trip to far. He is a CD winner but on balance he doesn't appear to be well handicapped. Vegas Rebel's close second in a hot class 3 Nursery at Newbury is probably the stand out piece of form in this field. He was agonisingly defeated by a tight margin subsequently at Kempton again, but going off the same mark here tonight, he must rate a very good chance to be right there when it matters. He looks overpriced at 11/2. Them And Us could be an interesting runner if he takes to the All-Weather. A winner on debut and not disgraced in a hot race subsequently, he may be open to more improvement and he is getting backed off the boards at the moment. Zaza Zest is another one who may have still more to offer, even though the merit of her recent Southwell win is questionable and the switch back to polytrack not sure to suit. Vegas Rebel @ 11/2 VC - 5pts win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bully3061 Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Re: flat racing thurs 27th nov 655 Kempton Kings request is still overpriced with the likes of SJ 16/1 looks a fair ew shout. Trainer won this last yr. The yard also come to hand around now on the aw. They have a chi stat in hcps on polly in nov since 2007 to prove that there runners out run their price. The horse won in a similar race at lingfield cozily and we are only a few lb higher today. Looks a bit of value to be involed even off top weight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Re: flat racing thurs 27th nov 725 kemp plucky dip 52 mishaal 49 spring fling 49 plucky dip should really win this .......has been running extremely well lately and this is the easiest task he has faced ....was winning at 6f last time so trip looks ideal ......his to lose .....wont have things his own way though with mishaal and spring fling capable improvers and if there is a chink in the favs armour then they will exploit it .....ill have a small saver on mishaal just to cover but hopefully fav will prevail plucky dip 3pts win 2/1 bet365 1 pt saver mishaal 8/1 lads well disappointing fav ....but mishaal wins .....top 3 finished 1st 2nd and 3rd ...nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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