Football forecasting system 2014

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My new football system is a major change on my previous methodology. I came up with that’s after researching both the historical model results and how many other tipping services work. The tips will be grouped into 4 segments with different stakes (in points) for each Heavy Favourites – 5pts (odds c1.3) Under/Over – 2pts High Value -2 to 3pts Outsiders – 1pt (odds 3-6) I will aim to have an equal number of bets in the middle 2 segments and less in the first and last one. The selections will be based on how the model(s) view to be the most value bets of the day/weekend. This method should stop me having too many selections on here and stop me adding tips at the last minute, which moderators were not too keen on J. Anyway here are the first set of picks for New Years Day [TABLE=width: 263]

[TR] [TD]Favourites[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Away[/TD] [TD]Bet type[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Arsenal[/TD] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]5pts[/TD] [TD]1.29[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 329] [TR] [TD]High Value[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Away[/TD] [TD]Bet type[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Man United[/TD] [TD]Tottenham[/TD] [TD]H(+0)[/TD] [TD]3pts[/TD] [TD]1.33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD]H(+0)[/TD] [TD]3pts[/TD] [TD]1.385[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leyton Orient[/TD] [TD]Bristol City[/TD] [TD]H(+0)[/TD] [TD]3pts[/TD] [TD]1.53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Stoke[/TD] [TD]Everton[/TD] [TD]BTTS[/TD] [TD]2pts[/TD] [TD]1.91[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Northampton[/TD] [TD]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD]BTTS[/TD] [TD]2pts[/TD] [TD]1.91 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 315] [TR] [TD]Over/Under[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Away[/TD] [TD]Bet type[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Birmingham[/TD] [TD]Barnsley[/TD] [TD]O2.5[/TD] [TD]2pts[/TD] [TD]2.01[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD]O2.5[/TD] [TD]2pts[/TD] [TD]2.03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]QPR[/TD] [TD]Doncaster[/TD] [TD]O2.5[/TD] [TD]2pts[/TD] [TD]1.95[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fulham[/TD] [TD]West Ham[/TD] [TD]U2.5[/TD] [TD]2pts[/TD] [TD]2.19[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 320] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]Outsider[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 64] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 64] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 64] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65]Home[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]Away[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]Bet type[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]Stake[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]Odds[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl65]Tranmere[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]Wolves[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]H(+0.5)[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]1pts[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]3.73[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Happy new year all and Good luck with the betting.

[dalkent]

Re: Football forecasting system 2014 Not the best of starts but suffered a bit from cancelled games. [TABLE=width: 312]

[TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD]No Bets[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]P/L[/TD] [TD]ROI[/TD] [TD]S/R[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Favourites[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]1.45[/TD] [TD]29.0%[/TD] [TD]100.0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Value[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]-1.18[/TD] [TD]-14.8%[/TD] [TD]33.3%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Over/Under[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]-4.10[/TD] [TD]-51.2%[/TD] [TD]25.0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Outsider[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]0.00[/TD] [TD]0.0%[/TD] [TD]0.0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]-3.83[/TD] [TD]-17.4%[/TD] [TD]33.3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]