Jump Racing 29th December

[Lodge]

1.35 - Kelso - Rocking Blues @ 7/2 Paddypower I have this as abit of a match up between Rocking Blues and Little Glenshee and my preference is for the former. He showed some reasonable over hurdles last season and was in the process of making a promising chase debut in November when falling at the last. He was chasing home the useful Coverholder who is now rated 140, and was battling it out for 2nd with a horse who has ran well since, despite falling late on, the 3rd place horse has since won by 7L, so the form looks solid to me. Last time out he was slightly disappointing over the minimum trip at Newcsatle, he pulled abit hard and therefore didn’t quite find as much as his backers would have hoped but again, he was beaten by a horse in good form who nearly went in nto by 9L. He’s been dropped a couple of lbs for that effort and i find it interesting that Jason Maguire is booked to ride him for the first time. He won a bumper over C&D and if he settles better i can see him going very close. As i mentioned Little Glenshee looks the danger, and on a line of form through Coverholder he has a very similar level of form, however i’d rather oppose him giving 10lb to my selection at the same prices.

[joeblitz]

Re: Jump Racing 29th December 2.35 Leopardstown Upsie 5/6 Bet365 BOG Upsie is unbeaten and has not stopped improving and against these mares I expect her to win again provided McCoy does not give her too much to do. 10 Points win Upsie 5/6 Bet365 BOG 1.30 Leopardstown Rockdown 2/1 Bet365 BOG Has won on heavy and has a lay off to overcome but the stable is flying and he has the most potential for improvement. 10 Points win Rockdown 2/1 Bet365 BOG 2.00 Leopardstown Hurricane Fly 11/8 Paddy Power BOG Has done it all and the others have to improve to beat him. Our Conor is only 4 still and may need more time 10 Points win Hurricane Fly 11/8 Paddy Power BOG 3.05 Leopardstown Bright New Dawn 4/1 Stan James BOG Morning Assembley has done nothing wrong and battles well but going left handed might be a problem. I was very impressed by Bright New Dawn lto at Punchestown where he jumped well and kept finding. 10 Points win Bright New Dawn 4/1 Stan James BOG 3.35 Leopardstown Value At Risk 2/1 Bet365 BOG Very impressive at Fairyhouse and has Elliotts to beat here but the manner of his victory the last day suggests he will. 10 Points win Value At Risk 2/1 Bet365 BOG 3.50 Limerick Ballagh 7/4 Boylesports BOG 5th to Rathvinden at Cork he can improve to win this for Swan whose horses are in form and who never leaves this festival without a winner. 10 Points win Ballagh 7/4 Boylesports BOG