iroquois Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Another betting experience. This time i only pick bets based on the specific h2h. If the h2h is consistent not only in all games but in the last ones to, i consider the bet. for example: game: malaga vs at bilbao specific h2h: 58%-25%-17% last three h2h games: malaga 2 wins; draw 1; at bilbao 0 so i find a consistent recent h2h form for this game let´s see the odds. bet365 odds for malaga=2.55 value=(0.58*2.55)=1.48; we have found value! so i decide pick 1 for this game. The picks for today [TABLE] [TR] [TD=class: xl67, width: 164]Match[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 68]Selection[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 64]Odds[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 60]Stake[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68]malaga-at. Bilbao[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl69]2,55[/TD] [TD=class: xl69]10,00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68]west brom-aston villa[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]x[/TD] [TD=class: xl69]3,40[/TD] [TD=class: xl69]10,00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl68]roma-cagliari[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]over 2.5[/TD] [TD=class: xl69]1,80[/TD] [TD=class: xl69]10,00[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iroquois Posted November 25, 2013 Author Share Posted November 25, 2013 Re: H2H VALUE A auspicious beginning! next bets have very good odds and one of them is very strange! Remember, value is %*odd. If result is bigger than 1.00 we have found value. In my simple perspective off course. In this system the % refers to the specific h2h only. A very basic factor, but a important one! Sometimes the simplicity of the analyses is better than the adiction of so many factors. [TABLE] [TR] [TD=class: xl66, width: 192, colspan: 3]Game[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 128, colspan: 2]Specific h2h[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 128, colspan: 2]Last specific 3 h2h[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 64]Pick[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 64]Odd[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 64]Value[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 192, colspan: 3]colchester-milton keynes[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]4/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]0/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]3/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1.64[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 192, colspan: 3]shefield utd-walsall[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]4/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]0/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]3/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2.60[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2.08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 192, colspan: 3]chesterfield-northampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]4/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]0/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]3/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1.53[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1.22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 192, colspan: 3]nuneaton-alfreton[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]4/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2.25[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 192, colspan: 3]airbus-rhyl[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]4/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]6.50[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]5.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 192, colspan: 3]bala town-aberystwyth[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]4/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1/5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]0/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]3/3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65]1.68[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE] [TR] [TD=class: xl65, width: 164]Match[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 68]Selection[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]Odds[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]Stake[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 54]Result W/L[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]Leg profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]malaga-at bilbao[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2,55[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]l [/TD] [TD=class: xl66]-10,00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]west brown-aston villa[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]x[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]3,40[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]W[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]24,00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]roma-cagliari[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]over 2.5[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1,80[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]L[/TD] [TD=class: xl66]-10,00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]colchester-milton keynes[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2,05[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]shefield utd-walsall[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2,60[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]chesterfield-northampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]1,53[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]nuneaton-alfreton[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2,25[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]airbus-rhyl[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]6,50[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl67]bala town-aberystwyth[/TD] [TD=class: xl67]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]2,10[/TD] [TD=class: xl68]10,00[/TD] [TD=class: xl67] [/TD] [TD=class: xl66] [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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