Caulfield Betting 27/07/2013

[DeanK]

[h=1]Caulfield Betting: Octavia to go one better in the Daniel McMillan Handicap[/h]

CAULFIELD RACE 5 @ 2:37pm AEST: The Daniel McMillan Handicap is a 1200m race for fillies and mares where the 4.6 favourite with

Bet365 is OCTAVIA. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: There doesn’t look huge speed on paper here. OCTAVIA probably leads from with GOSSIP GIRL drawn out wide or the out graded UNIQUE STORM. JIGGLE IT settles not far away from a wall of horses who will try and settle midfield with cover. Looks a race where on-pacers might be advantaged barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: OCTAVIA really has her hoof on the till and even though she is stepping up to open age for the first time in her career, she does look well placed to win her first race since her career best win in the Kevin Hayes over this track and distance. She resumed a month ago at Moonee Valley and was on the wrong end of a photo finish with potential Group class filly She Can Skate who was having the 3^rd run of her preparation. She jumped well as she always does and put herself on the speed and looked the winner with 200m to go before just peaking on her run slightly to go down by the barest of margins. Unfortunately for her backers it was the same result next start when she again went out hard and was just collared late. The run was huge as on-pacers weren’t suited throughout the day. As mentioned she steps up to open age class today but to offset that she drops to 51kgs after Kayla Nisbett’s 3kg claim. She should be able to control the speed from the front and looks very hard to beat. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-octavia-to-go-one-better-in-the-daniel-mcmillan-handicap

[DeanK]

Re: Caulfield Betting 27/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Launay to resume a winner in the The Sportingbet Bletchingly Stakes[/h]

CAULFIELD RACE 6 @ 3:12pm AEST: The Sportingbet Bletchingly Stakes is a 1200m Group 3 race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 4.0 favourite with is PAGO ROCK. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Looks good speed on paper with 3 genuine leaders engaged. Either TACKLEBERRY, MR MAKE BELIEVE or ELITE ELLE will lead from SEA LORD, PAGO ROCK and LAUNAY. CAPTAIN FANCYPANTS and ZAMORAR next with SECOND EFFORT behind them and the rest of the runners settling back in a race where all horses will get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: LAUNAY comes into this race first up after 4 of his best career runs. After winning the very last race of the Flemington Carnival in November, he spelled and resumed in the Hereba Stakes where he carried the top weight of 58.5kgs and was just over shadowed late by Jolie Blonde who carried 4.5kgs less. He then stepped to 1400m and won well with 59.5kgs at Flemington in a Listed affair before a game 4^th in the Vic Handicap at Group 3 level. His first up record is extremely consistent running 2^nd in similar races 4 of his last 5 runs. He’ll get the perfect run from the barrier, is suited to WFA conditions and goes well for Steve Arnold. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-launay-to-resume-a-winner-in-the-the-sportingbet-bletchingly-stakes-