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DeanK

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  1. Re: Moonee Valley Betting 03/08/2013 [h=1]Moonee Valley Betting: Froggy Newitt to steer up and comer Vizharka home in the Boscastle Handicap[/h] MOONEE VALLEY RACE 6 @ 3:10pm AEST: The Boscastle Handicap is a 1600m race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 3.80 favourite with Bet365 is ANOTHER PRELATE. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: The speed looks ok. SPACECRAFT drawn wide will almost certainly look for the lead, he may have company however with VIZHARKA and ALPHA PROXIMA right on his tail. A bit of a gap to NOBLE PARK, LUCKYIMBAREFOOT and ANOTHER PRELATE with the remainder of the field settling midfield or beyond in a race where all runners should get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: VIZHARKA was terrific last start at Flemington sitting on the pace which wasn’t the place to be throughout the day and fighting doggedly before being run over the top of by CLANGA’s GLORY who enjoyed a much softer run. He meets CLANGAS GLORY 2.5kgs better on that 1.3L defeat and more importantly meets him at Moonee Valley which is a track that suits VIZHARKA’S on-pace style where it might not be conducive to CLANGAS GLORY who gets back in the run. VIZHARKA should be able to camp just off SPACECRAFT who rises sharply in weight and ALPHA PROXIMA who is a big question mark at the distance and with Craig Newitt on board its easy to see him hitting the lead just before the home turn and fending off rivals to win. http://www.betzone.com.au/moonee-valley-betting-froggy-newitt-to-steer-up-and-comer-vizharka-home-in-the-boscastle-handicap
  2. [h=1]Moonee Valley Betting: The Cleaner to run his rivals ragged in the The 1PRINT.COM.AU Handicap[/h] MOONEE VALLEY RACE 3 @ 1:15pm AEST: The 1PRINT.COM.AU Handicap is a 2040m handicap where the 3.2 favourite with Sportsbet is THE CLEANER. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: All events that THE CLEANER contest are run at a good tempo, however he does look the sole leader here and may be able to dictate. ST MARK settles second with possibly DAYITA and STREET ECLIPSE behind him. The rest of the field settle midfield or beyond in a race where the on-pacers looks suited. RACE ANALYSIS: THE CLEANER looks to have found an extremely winnable race here after a brave run last start on a rain affected surface at Flemington. He strode to the front as he always does and kicked clear at the top of the straight before inevitably being ran down by horses carrying up to 9kgs less than him. He’ll be fitter for that tough run, he drops to 57kgs after Brodie Loy’s 3kg claim and he looks to get a very easy time of it in the lead. http://www.betzone.com.au/moonee-valley-betting-the-cleaner-to-run-his-rivals-ragged-in-the-the-1print-com-au-handicap
  3. Re: Caulfield Betting 27/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Cox Plate winning trainer Colin Little to unleash smart filly Text'n Hurley at the Heath[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 3 @ 1.25pm AEST: The Richard Hogg Handicap is a 1400m race for fillies where the 4.00 favourite with Bet365 is TEXT’N HURLEY HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: The speed looks quite good with up to 5 potential leaders. They are MRS HADLEE, KOLONGA, ARE THERE ANY, DANESTREOM, and DANAPRAISE. There will be a bit of a gap to the next few which could be KUKLA and LUPERINI the remainder of the runners settle midfield or beyond in a race where all should get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: Interesting fillies race. TEXT’N HURLEY jumps straight from a Bendigo maiden to the city but she looks well and truly up to the challenge. After an impressive debut, she was sent out to the paddock for a spell and then resumed at Bendigo where she found the 1100m a shade short, taking a while to wind up before closing well late. She then stepped up to the 1400m where after drawing wide, she got back to near last, was held up in the straight and then once clear exploded away from rivals to record a devastating 4.3L victory. Today, unlike her first two starts this preparation, she draws a good gate and has in form apprentice Ben Knobel who has partnered her in all 3 starts doing the riding. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-cox-plate-winning-trainer-colin-little-to-unleash-smart-filly-text-n-hurley-at-the-heath
  4. Re: Caulfield Betting 27/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: 2 bet race in the Cadell Food Service Handicap with Committed and Ajeeb the way to go[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 7 @ 3:47pm AEST: The Cadell Food Service Handicap is a 1400m race for 3 year olds where the 4.6 favourite with Centrebet is AJEEB. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Looks good speed on paper, AJEEB is a fast going horse and will lead, the question is how hard will he have to work from the outside gate to find the front. PILLAR OF CREATION and ONPICALO settle just behind him with ROAD TRIPPIN and COMMITTED enjoying good runs not too far from the speed from their good barriers. The rest of the field settle midfield or beyond in a race where all horses should get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: COMMITTED is getting extremely close to a win after an injury lay off that forced him to miss the spring and autumn carnivals. He resumed in good fashion down the Flemington straight where he was well backed to win, failed to do so, but lost no admirers finishing just 0.5L from the flying Hai Lil. Next start when he could have been forgiven for producing a flat run 2nd up he ran another really nice race, running 2nd behind the in-form Pillar Of Creation who he meets 2kgs better here on that run. He also looks like getting the perfect run in transit from the gate and should be in the finish. AJEEB is a super talented and tough horse. He gets out and makes his own luck in front and fights it out til the end. He was terrific first up giving the older horses weight and enduring a tough wide run but still prevailing. He comes back to his own age here and drops 4kgs to 56kgs. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-2-bet-race-in-the-cadell-food-service-handicap-with-committed-and-ajeeb-the-way-to-go
  5. Re: Caulfield Betting 27/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Launay to resume a winner in the The Sportingbet Bletchingly Stakes[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 6 @ 3:12pm AEST: The Sportingbet Bletchingly Stakes is a 1200m Group 3 race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 4.0 favourite with is PAGO ROCK. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Looks good speed on paper with 3 genuine leaders engaged. Either TACKLEBERRY, MR MAKE BELIEVE or ELITE ELLE will lead from SEA LORD, PAGO ROCK and LAUNAY. CAPTAIN FANCYPANTS and ZAMORAR next with SECOND EFFORT behind them and the rest of the runners settling back in a race where all horses will get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: LAUNAY comes into this race first up after 4 of his best career runs. After winning the very last race of the Flemington Carnival in November, he spelled and resumed in the Hereba Stakes where he carried the top weight of 58.5kgs and was just over shadowed late by Jolie Blonde who carried 4.5kgs less. He then stepped to 1400m and won well with 59.5kgs at Flemington in a Listed affair before a game 4th in the Vic Handicap at Group 3 level. His first up record is extremely consistent running 2nd in similar races 4 of his last 5 runs. He’ll get the perfect run from the barrier, is suited to WFA conditions and goes well for Steve Arnold. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-launay-to-resume-a-winner-in-the-the-sportingbet-bletchingly-stakes-
  6. [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Octavia to go one better in the Daniel McMillan Handicap[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 5 @ 2:37pm AEST: The Daniel McMillan Handicap is a 1200m race for fillies and mares where the 4.6 favourite with Bet365 is OCTAVIA. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: There doesn’t look huge speed on paper here. OCTAVIA probably leads from with GOSSIP GIRL drawn out wide or the out graded UNIQUE STORM. JIGGLE IT settles not far away from a wall of horses who will try and settle midfield with cover. Looks a race where on-pacers might be advantaged barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: OCTAVIA really has her hoof on the till and even though she is stepping up to open age for the first time in her career, she does look well placed to win her first race since her career best win in the Kevin Hayes over this track and distance. She resumed a month ago at Moonee Valley and was on the wrong end of a photo finish with potential Group class filly She Can Skate who was having the 3rd run of her preparation. She jumped well as she always does and put herself on the speed and looked the winner with 200m to go before just peaking on her run slightly to go down by the barest of margins. Unfortunately for her backers it was the same result next start when she again went out hard and was just collared late. The run was huge as on-pacers weren’t suited throughout the day. As mentioned she steps up to open age class today but to offset that she drops to 51kgs after Kayla Nisbett’s 3kg claim. She should be able to control the speed from the front and looks very hard to beat. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-octavia-to-go-one-better-in-the-daniel-mcmillan-handicap
  7. Re: Flemington Betting 20/07/2013 [h=1]Flemington Betting: Champion jockey Glen Boss to get back in the winners stalls on Road Trippin'[/h] FLEMINGTON RACE 5 @ 2:27pm AEST: The Hiraji Handicap is a 1600m race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 4.0 with Bet365 is ROAD TRIPPIN. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Not huge speed on paper. SPACECRAFT will lead from VIZHARKA. ROAD TRIPPIN and ROSE OF TEXAS should settle just behind them with a wall of horses looking to settle midfield with cover. Looks a race where the on-pacers might be advantaged barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: ROAD TRIPPIN was outstanding winning a BM82 race off an 11 week freshen with just 1 trial in between. He was given the perfect ride by Steve Arnold, 1 off the rail just off what was a ferocious tempo, the leaders punctured quickly in the straight and he was on the scene to sprint to the lead and then away from Infinite Energy who chased in vain. He drops 3kgs on that run, draws perfectly in barrier 5, and gains the services of champion jockey Glen Boss. CLANGAS GLORY is ready to win again. He got too far back two starts ago behind The Cleaner then well and truly turned the tables on The Cleaner in the Winter Championship and went within a whisker of winning the race but was on the wrong end of a photo finish. He stays on the minimum weight, loves Flemington and loves 1600m. http://www.betzone.com.au/flemington-betting-champion-jockey-glen-boss-to-get-back-in-the-winners-stalls-on-road-trippin--20130722
  8. Re: Flemington Betting 20/07/2013 FLEMINGTON RACE 7 @ 3:40pm AEST: The Aspen Handicap is a 1000m race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 3.7 favourite with Centrebet is AREGEE MCLAREN. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Looks mad speed on paper. From the inside, CANALI, JAYCONI, DAY PROCEDURE, SMOKEN CASH, WEEKEND SPECIAL and BORESAY all like to lead on settle right on the pace. MELBA and BROKEN won’t be far away with QUEEN DELIGHT, AREGEE MCLAREN and HENWOOD next in line. Looks a race where being ridden off the speed might be advantageous. RACE ANALYSIS: Looks a nice race for South Australian sprinter AREGEE MCLAREN to build on his already impressive record. He resumed 3 weeks ago at Morphettville over 1000m, giving his rivals a start as he does before rounding them up down the middle of the straight to win quite easily and put his hand up for a rise in class. He stays at the 1000m here at Flemington, stays on the minimum weight of 54kgs, gains the services of Glen Boss and finds a race that has mad speed in it which will suit his run on pattern. He does boast a placing behind Rescue Mission and Esprit De Bullet who have been more than competitive a stakes grade races. http://www.betzone.com.au/flemington-betting-david-jolly-to-raid-the-victorian-prize-money-with-his-talented-sprinter-aregee-mclaren-20130722
  9. [h=1]Flemington Betting: The bold front running Tasmanian to clean up his rivals in the Gala Supreme Handicap[/h] FLEMINGTON RACE 6 @ 3:02pm AEST: The Gala Supreme Handicap is a 2000m race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 5.0 favourite with Bet365 is THE CLEANER. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Any race with THE CLEANER involved is usually run at a brisk tempo. He will lead from probably STREETS OF SEATTLE and TAHN ALOT. ST MARK, ZUMA ROCK and PICTURE EDITOR won’t be too far away with the remainder of the field settling midfield or beyond in a race where all runners will get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: THE CLEANER is now up to what is his pet distance range after having two runs at the mile. The first of which was a terrific lead all the way win then the second was in the Winter Championship where Craig Newitt overcooked the speed in front and he punctured badly in the straight to finish along way back. Up to 2000m he’ll be able to get out in front at a slightly softer tempo he gets Jason Maskiel back aboard to do the riding, he is a four time winner on the fellow Tasmanian and knows the horse back to front. http://www.betzone.com.au/flemington-betting-the-bold-front-running-tasmanian-to-clean-up-his-rivals-in-the-gala-supreme-handicap-20130718
  10. Re: Caulfield Betting 13/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Michelle Payne to continue her terrific form on Spring Cheer in the Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 4 @ 1:45pm AEST: The Ascend Sales Trophies Handicap is a 2000m race for 3 year olds where the 4.4 favourite with Bet365 is SPACE. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: The speed looks ok. MENDIVIL, UNDERESTIMATION and USE THE LOT push towards the lead. BATMAN, ANGEL SUEZ, ITS FRED and OPTICAL ILLUSION settle just behind them with the remainder of the field settling midfield or beyond in a race where all runners should get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: SPRING CHEER was absolutely outstanding behind a potential group horse in Star Rolling 3 weeks ago. She settled back in a race that was on-pace dominated and was the only horse from back in the field to make ground, closing in fast sectionals to finish second in a run that said back me next start. She’ll get back again in the field but the speed up front should be sufficient and she is one of the only runners in this field to have terrific stats at the 2000m. NISOS beat SPRING CHEER home in his last start (SPRING CHEER’s 2nd last start) in what was an eye catching performance not dissimilar to SPRING CHEERS last run. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-michelle-payne-to-continue-her-terrific-form-on-spring-cheer-in-the-ascend-sales-trophies-handicap-20130715
  11. Re: Caulfield Betting 13/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Star Jockey Luke Nolen to prove the difference on Serene Star in the ecoresignagesystems Handicap[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 3 @ 1.10pm AEST: The ecoresignagesystems Handicap is an 1100m race for fillies and mares where the 2.60 favourite with Bet365 is SERENE STAR. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Speeds looks reasonable. TWO HILLS, CAPTIVATING LADY, COUNTED and SLEWSAY tackle the lead. SHINY AND NEW and QUEEN DELIGHT shouldn’t be too far away while the remainder of the field settles midfield or beyond in a race where all runners will get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: SERENE STAR looks to have found the perfect race here even though she has to carry the full 60kgs. She’s been racing really well without luck in better races than this with her get back and run on race pattern seeing her find trouble in a few of her recent starts. She draws better today in barrier 4, gains the services of a senior rider in Luke Nolen and is a whopping 14 ratings points ahead of her nearest rival in this race. She has form around Mrs Onasis who will start near favourite in the Listed John Monash Stakes later in the day so she should be taking care of this field. She won with 60kgs first up so the weight shouldn’t be enough to stop her getting back in the winners list. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-star-jockey-luke-nolen-to-prove-the-difference-on-serene-star-in-the-ecoresignagesystems-handicap-20130715
  12. Re: Caulfield Betting 13/07/2013 [h=1]Caulfield Betting: Classy 3 year old Octavia to go one better 2nd up in the Yarra Valley Farms Plate[/h] CAULFIELD RACE 2 @ 12:35pm AEST: The Yarra Valley Farms Plate is a 3 year old fillies race over 1200m where the 4.20 favourite with Bet365 is OCTAVIA. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: For a 1200m race there doesn’t appear huge speed on paper. OCTAVIA leads from NELLA FANTASIA, VALID CONTRACT, LEGCUT and possibly YULEBU. KUKLA may slide forward but the rest of the runners settle midfield or beyond in a race where the on-pacers look suited. RACE ANALYSIS: OCTAVIA resumed a fortnight ago at Moonee Valley and was on the wrong end of a photo finish with potential Group class filly She Can Skate who was having the 3rd run of her preparation. She jumped well as she always does and put herself on the speed and looked the winner with 200m to go before just peaking on her run slightly to go down by the barest of margins. She’ll be fitter here, the Caulfield 1200m suits, she stays down in the weights after Kayla Nisbett’s claim and looks set for a soft run on the speed. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-classy-3-year-old-octavia-to-go-one-better-2nd-up-in-the-yarra-valley-farms-plate-20130715
  13. Caulfield Betting: The speedy Onasis to continue her love affair with the Caulfield 1100m in the Sir John Monash CAULFIELD RACE 6 @ 2:58pm AEST: The Polytrack Sir John Monash Stakes is an 1100m Listed Race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 3.50 favourite with Sportsbet is HAPPY GALAXY. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Looks high speed here with 4 horses capable of leading. They are PAGO ROCK, MRS ONASIS, HAPPY GALAXY and ELITE ELLE. ZEDI KNIGHT won’t be too far away with ZAMORAR and BIG BUDDIE just behind him, the remainder of the runners settle midfield or beyond in a race where all horses will get their chance barring bad luck or track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: MRS ONASIS’s fresh record and her brilliant 1100m stats are too hard to ignore in this race. She resumes from a 13 week break after a successful campaign where she picked up her first Group 1, The Oakleigh Plate over this distance and at this track. She didn’t get the best of luck in her next two starts before having a break. She draws a perfect barrier here, is 2 from 2 this track and distance, she’s 7 from 12 at the 1100m and the 13 week break is exactly the time she had off going into the Oakleigh Plate. http://www.betzone.com.au/caulfield-betting-the-speedy-onasis-to-continue-her-love-affair-with-the-caulfield-1100m-in-the-sir-john-monash-20130715
  14. Re: Flemington Betting 06/07/2013 [h=1]Flemington Betting: De Fine Lago finally gets to his right distance range and will be hard to beat in the Banjo Paterson Series Final[/h] FLEMINGTON RACE 7 @ 3:35pm AEST: The Banjo Paterson Series Final is a 2600m race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 2.80 favourite with Bet365 is COOLDINI. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: The speed looks ok here. RICHOMAN and FINAL FOLLY fight for the lead, then there is a group of horses all drawn wide that race on or just off the speed, they are SAHARA SUN, POLICE GAZETTE, STAND TO GAIN and HINDUS GIRL. The remainder of the field settle midfield or beyond in a race where all runners will get their chance barring bad luck and track bias. RACE ANALYSIS: Looks a pretty thin race here. DE FINE LAGO is just about back to the form that saw him place in a Brisbane and Hobart Cup. Every run this campaign has been terrific and he is now stepping up to a distance where he should excel. He wasn’t really expected to win short of 2400-2600m, but he broke a long winning drought last weekend when he outstayed his rivals in a tough run 2000m race. Stepping up to the 2600m is ideal and this is not a strong field so if he backs up ok, he is the one to beat at a good price of $5. COOLDINI is flying, he has won his past 3 by big margins and stays all day. He rises 2.5kgs in weight here but will still be awfully hard to hold out in the straight. http://www.betzone.com.au/flemington-betting-de-fine-lago-finally-gets-to-his-right-distance-range-and-will-be-hard-to-beat-in-the-banjo-paterson-series-f
  15. Re: Flemington Betting 06/07/2013 [h=1]Flemington Betting: South Australian sprinter Riziz looks too good in the All Victorian Sprint Series Final[/h] FLEMINGTON RACE 5 @ 2.22pm AEST: The All Victorian Sprint Series Final is a 1200m race for 3 year olds and upwards where the 3.0 favourite with Bet365 is RIZIZ. HOW THE RACE WILL BE RUN: Not much speed here for a 1200m race. MR MAKE BELIEVE and SEA LORD go forward with possibly MR GRISWOLD and then it’s hard to find anything else that will apply any pressure. On paper this does looks a race where the on-pacers will be advantaged. RACE ANALYSIS: South Australian galloper RIZIZ is absolutely flying and well and truly looks the one to beat here. After winning first up at Oakbank, he stepped up to Group level and was gallant without much luck on both occasions. He then ventured south to tackle the Golden Topaz at Swan Hill and absolutely destroyed a handy field of sprinters. DEE BEE NINE who finished over 5 lengths away in that race has since gone on to win, franking the form. He gets to the straight today where he boasts a victory over promising mare Lady Melksham is last years Creswick Stakes. Paul Gatt takes the ride and will look to continue his terrific association with the horse having won 3 of 4 starts on him. http://www.betzone.com.au/flemington-betting-south-australian-sprinter-riziz-looks-too-good-in-the-all-victorian-sprint-series-final--20130708
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