Probability that this scenario happens

[Chris2b]

Hi All, Team A has 20 games in a row whitout draw. Odds for draw = 3.50 What is the probability that this scenario happens ? thank you very much help ;)

[zbrochu]

Re: Probability that this scenario happens There has not been raining for 21 days, what is probability of rain today? It all depends on the method you use. You can have your own model for predicting rain, or you can use neural network, artificial inteligence or you can just guess. If you are asking what bookmakers think is the probability of draw, with given odds: 1.70-3.50-5.7 then correct answer is : 26.8% PS: I do not think that fact that Team A has 20 games in a row without a draw has any influence on probability of a draw in this game.