Flat Racing - Wednesday 26th June

[robertob]

15.50 Salisbury: Mabait @ 12/1 Ladbrokes - 2pts win I'm a bit excited about this chance as I feel Mabait could be very, very well handicapped tomorrow, coming down a long way in the mark and showing an impressive return to form at Newbury in a competitive Handicap recently. He travelled like a dream for a very long time, and the jockey looked to have loads of horse beneath but then when it mattered he couldn't find a gap and was short of room over 2f out. Mabait showed then something that you don't see that often or only from horses who are in really fine form or have something in hand, as he switched to the left, found quickly back his balance and quickened in a matter of strides - just to find himself short of room around the 1f marker again. Race over obviously then, but it was a hugely impressive performance in my mind and this goes along with his current handicap mark which hasn't been as low since 2009! Of course his last win dates back a couple of years too, but he ran in top class races and had to shoulder big weights. He steps up to 1m tomorrow again, which is perfectly fine as well as he gets his beloved fast ground. Slight worry is the jockey booking with Laura Pike not being an overly strong apprentice but she rides okay actually and her 5lb claim is well worth. I would think if Mabait gets a clear run the little girl doesn't need to do much anyway except of avoiding a fall. 21.20 Kempton: Take A Note @ 10/1 Bet365 - 2pts win Take A Note ran with loads of credit on his seasonal reappearance at Brighton earlier this month. He was outpaced halfway through in rear, switched over 3f out to the inside where he found himself short of room a bit later and he had to delay his challenge and had to switch to the outside again over 1f out. Once balanced again he stayed on well to finish 3rd. He steps up in trip to 1m which looks very interesting. The way he got outpaced lto but also stayed on in the closing stages at Brighton where the uphill finish is tough suggests he'll relish the new trip. He has every chance to stay this trip on pedigree as well and might improve from his first outing this year. He clearly goes well on the All-Weather and could still have more to offer off his current mark now as a 4yo who didn't have too many starts yet and with the new trip to suit.

[joeblitz]

Re: Flat Racing - Wednesday 26th June

7.30 Naas Moth 4/6 Paddy Power

Difficult cards everywhere but Moth stands out as a certainty dropped to listed class having been 3rd and 4th in the Guineas and Oaks (where she started favourite). Running against maidens, maiden winners and handicappers it should win this easily barring accidents. In fact you would be inclined to give up the game all together if she gets beaten! I would expect her sp to be around 2/5 or less.

10 points win Moth 4/6 Paddy Power