Flat Racing Monday 3rd June

[joeblitz]

4.05 Naas Stubbs 11/10 Paddy Power 3rd fto to a well regarded Bolger newcomer just giving best close home. Improved latest when drawing right away in an ordinary 5f Navan maiden. Seems to be going the right way and looks the one to beat. Bolger has a great record in this race and fields Club Wexford here. 2nd lto in a Group 3 in the Curragh but readily held by O' Brien's Coach House. Hannon is always respected in Ireland but the jockey booking puts me off. Hughes or Moore would inspire more confidence. Stubbs 8/10.

[StuSimmy]

Re: Flat Racing Monday 3rd June

19:45 Carlisle

A case could be made for several of the runners in this open looking handicap over the minimum trip and the one I like most is Kevin Ryan's five year old

Hopes 'N Dreams

. This mare had her first eight runs over in Ireland for trainer John F Gleeson before moving to Tony Coyle where he decided to race her in the UK for the first time on her debut for his yard. This seemed to do the trick as she ran out a 2 length winner in a handicap off a mark of 55 over 6 furlongs at Nottingham before following up in a selling handicap at Hamilton over 6 furlongs where she romped up by 7 lengths. She was then acquired by her current stable Kevin Ryan after that race. She has only managed just the one win from 13 runs for her current yard and that came on her second appearance for Kevin Ryan when she won at Hamilton again in a handicap off a mark of 70. She was very impressive that day running out a three and 3/4 length winner. She was raised 12lbs for that win which was fairly hefty and although she hasn't won since then in eleven races, she has placed three times off marks of 78 (twice) and 79 so she could be dangerously handicapped here today off a mark of 75 considering she is still rated 79 on the all weather. She drops down in grade as well having been competing in class 3 races in her last 3 runs with her latest effort being the best of those at Ripon in a fairly competitive handicap off a mark of 77. She was on a mark of 81 just three races ago and the handicapper has possibly being a bit lenient dropping her down 6lbs within a few races. She is also dropped down to five furlongs today, a trip which she has only tackled three times from 23 runs in which she has placed twice. There's no doubt her optimum trip is 6 furlongs with all three of her wins coming over that distance but I reckon she is worth chancing over the minimum trip here today. The stable is in much better form now with quite a few winners on the board this past week which should boost her chances of running a good race.

1pt E/W Hopes 'N Dreams @ 10/1

(

Bet365

- BOG, 1/5

odds

, 1,2,3)