bully3061 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Swings and roundabouts. Going very well despite the dip in form. Keep the faith with what you are doing. I would just worry about running to many systems and hitting the loosing run. Sure someone on here could point you in the right direction of a site/calculator that works out worse case scenario. Did one for myself a year or so ago now. Forget where but it was a real eye opener. Good luck and :hope for tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 16, 2013 Share Posted March 16, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Hope you haven't lost heart over the Cheltenham results. The proof is there for all to see, you're massively in profit in such a short space of time and will soon make up any losses. This beats any system that I've seen, including my own! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 1.30 - Che - Rolling Star 6pts 7/2 - Nicky Henderson @ Cheltenham over hurdles (35-204, 17%, +52.55), Barry Geraghty @ Cheltenham over hurdles (26-120, 22%, +26.64), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-519, 29%, +72.61) Lost -6 2.05 - Che - Punjabi 4pts 28/1 - Nicky Henderson @ Cheltenham over hurdles (35-204, 17%, +52.55), Barry Geraghty @ Cheltenham over hurdles (26-120, 22%, +26.64), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-519, 29%, +72.61), Barry Geraghty in handicap hurdles (42-226, 19%, +67.21) Lost -10 2.40 - Che - Utopie Des Bordes 3pts 8/1 - Nicky Henderson @ Cheltenham over hurdles (35-204, 17%, +52.55), Barry Geraghty @ Cheltenham over hurdles (26-120, 22%, +26.64), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-519, 29%, +72.61) Lost -13 4.40 - Che - Ma Filleule 3pts 9/1 - Nicky Henderson @ Cheltenham over hurdles (35-204, 17%, +52.55), Nicky Henderson/Jeremiah McGrath over hurdles (11-57, 19%, +42.03) Lost -16 5.15 - Che - Rody 3pts 7/1 - Tom George/Paddy Brennan in handicap chases (67-294, 23%, +27.64) Lost -19 Running Stats: Bets : 100 Wins : 26 Staked : 220pts Returned : 260.90pts Profit/Loss : +40.90 Strike Rate : 26% A disappointing week to say the least but I will not let it get me down and I must keep faith with the system that is still in profit despite 4 heavy days of loss on the trot. Today's selections to follow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 2.15 - Kem - Foxcub 1pt 50/1 - Tom Symonds/Ben Poste over hurdles (5-19, 26%, +62.41) 2.50 - Kem - Poungach 4pts 11/10 - Daryl Jacob in novice chases (62-217, 29%, +52.18) 3.05 - Ffo - Overnight Fame 2pts 10/3 - Tom O'Brien in handicap chases (96-598, 16%, +44.30) 3.15 - Utt - Kaylif Amaris 3pts 2/1 - Nigel Twiston-Davies @ Uttoxeter over hurdles (18-78, 23%, +36.90) 3.25 - Kem - Shernando 4pts 11/8 - Nicky Henderson @ Kempton over hurdles (30-118, 25%, +31.62), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-524, 29%, +67.61) 3.40 - Ffo - Enter Milan 2pts 7/1 - John Flint @ Ffos Las over hurdles (5-30, 17%, +63.38) 3.50 - Utt - Master Overseer 1pt 10/1 - David Pipe @ Uttoxeter in chases (10-39, 26%, +37.52) 4.00 - Kem - Rajamand 1pt 8/1 - Andrew Glassonbury in novice chases (11-55, 20%, +34.43) 4.25 - Utt - Vardas Supreme 1pt 5/1 - Samantha Drake in handicap chases (6-27, 22%, +65.50) 4.35 - Kem - Open Hearted 3pts 4/1 - Nicky Henderson @ Kempton over hurdles (30-118, 25%, +31.62), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-524, 29%, +67.61), Barry Geraghty in handicap hurdles (42-228, 18%, +65.21) 4.50 - Ffo - Winston Churchill 1pt 4/1 - James Best in handicap chases (21-132, 16%, +28.96) 5.25 - Ffo - Rouquine Sauvage 1pt - Anthony Honeyball/Rachel Geen in bumpers (16-72, 22%, +65.00) NR 5.40 - Kem - The Skyfarmer 2pts 4/1 - Philip Hobbs/Richard Johnson in bumpers (25-106, 24%, +31.37) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 16, 2013 Author Share Posted March 16, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 2.15 - Kem - Foxcub 1pt 50/1 - Tom Symonds/Ben Poste over hurdles (5-19, 26%, +62.41) lost -1 2.50 - Kem - Poungach 4pts 11/10 - Daryl Jacob in novice chases (62-217, 29%, +52.18) won @ 11/8 +4.5 3.05 - Ffo - Overnight Fame 2pts 10/3 - Tom O'Brien in handicap chases (96-598, 16%, +44.30) lost +2.5 3.15 - Utt - Kaylif Amaris 3pts 2/1 - Nigel Twiston-Davies @ Uttoxeter over hurdles (18-78, 23%, +36.90) won @ 9/4 +9.25 3.25 - Kem - Shernando 4pts 11/8 - Nicky Henderson @ Kempton over hurdles (30-118, 25%, +31.62), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-524, 29%, +67.61) placed +5.25 3.40 - Ffo - Enter Milan 2pts 7/1 - John Flint @ Ffos Las over hurdles (5-30, 17%, +63.38) Lost +3.25 3.50 - Utt - Master Overseer 1pt 10/1 - David Pipe @ Uttoxeter in chases (10-39, 26%, +37.52) Lost +2.25 4.00 - Kem - Rajamand 1pt 8/1 - Andrew Glassonbury in novice chases (11-55, 20%, +34.43) Lost +1.25 4.25 - Utt - Vardas Supreme 1pt 5/1 - Samantha Drake in handicap chases (6-27, 22%, +65.50) Lost +0.25 4.35 - Kem - Open Hearted 3pts 4/1 - Nicky Henderson @ Kempton over hurdles (30-118, 25%, +31.62), Nicky Henderson/Barry Geraghty over hurdles (153-524, 29%, +67.61), Barry Geraghty in handicap hurdles (42-228, 18%, +65.21) Won +12.25 4.50 - Ffo - Winston Churchill 1pt 4/1 - James Best in handicap chases (21-132, 16%, +28.96) Lost +11.25 5.25 - Ffo - Rouquine Sauvage 1pt - Anthony Honeyball/Rachel Geen in bumpers (16-72, 22%, +65.00) NR +11.25 5.40 - Kem - The Skyfarmer 2pts 4/1 - Philip Hobbs/Richard Johnson in bumpers (25-106, 24%, +31.37) placed +9.25 Running Stats: Bets : 112 Wins : 29 Staked : 245pts Returned : 295.15pts Profit/Loss : +50.15 Strike Rate : 26% Happy to be back in the profit but disappointed with Shernando and also made the wrong selection in the Midlands National as David Pipe's other runner won. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karijini Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Well done Binchy on the return to winning form. You weren't the only one to not land much during the festival, believe me :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Today's Selections 3.00 - Car - Kealigolane 2pts 9/4 - James Reveley @ Carlisle in chases (8-46, 17%, +38.53) 4.00 - Car - Tipsy Dara 2pts 13/2 - N W Alexander/Lucy Alexander in chases (11-70, 16%, +42.75) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 3.00 - Car - Kealigolane 2pts 9/4 - James Reveley @ Carlisle in chases (8-46, 17%, +38.53) Fell -2 4.00 - Car - Tipsy Dara 2pts 13/2 - N W Alexander/Lucy Alexander in chases (11-70, 16%, +42.75) PU -4 Running Stats: Bets : 114 Wins : 29 Staked : 249pts Returned : 295.15pts Profit/Loss : +46.15 Strike Rate : 25% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Tomorrows Selections 2.10 - Sou - Hodgson 1pt 12/1 - Peter Bowen @ Southwell in chases (9-28, 32%, +53.25) 2.40 - Sou - Reasonable Force 11/2 - Keith Reveley/James Reveley in chases (48-257, 19%, +70.16) 3.10 - Sou - Shays River 1pt 15/8 (betfair) - Paul Moloney @ Southwell over hurdles (10-56, 18%, +26.99) 3.40 - Sou - Arrayan 1pt 15/2 (betfair) - Paul Moloney @ Southwell over hurdles (10-56, 18%, +26.99) 4.10 - Sou - Feisty Lass 4pts 13/8 - Charlie Mann/Gavin Sheehan over hurdles (12-43, 28%, +40.00), Gavin Sheehan in handicap hurdles (15-86, 17%, +34.50) 4.40 - Sou - King of Wing 1pt 7/1 - Paul Moloney @ Southwell over hurdles (10-56, 18%, +26.99) 5.10 - Sou - Ready Token 2pts 3/1 (betfair) - Charlie Longsdon in maiden bumpers (5-17, 29%, +29.10), Charlie Longsdon/Kielan Woods in bumpers (16-48, 33%, +66.58) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 2.10 - Sou - Hodgson 1pt 12/1 - Peter Bowen @ Southwell in chases (9-28, 32%, +53.25) Placed -1 2.40 - Sou - Reasonable Force 11/2 - Keith Reveley/James Reveley in chases (48-257, 19%, +70.16) Lost -2 3.10 - Sou - Shays River 1pt 15/8 (>Betfair) - Paul Moloney @ Southwell over hurdles (10-56, 18%, +26.99) Lost -3 3.40 - Sou - Arrayan 1pt 15/2 (>Betfair) - Paul Moloney @ Southwell over hurdles (10-56, 18%, +26.99) Placed -4 4.10 - Sou - Feisty Lass 4pts 13/8 - Charlie Mann/Gavin Sheehan over hurdles (12-43, 28%, +40.00), Gavin Sheehan in handicap hurdles (15-86, 17%, +34.50) Lost -8 4.40 - Sou - King of Wing 1pt 7/1 - Paul Moloney @ Southwell over hurdles (10-56, 18%, +26.99) Lost -9 5.10 - Sou - Ready Token 2pts 3/1 (>Betfair) - Charlie Longsdon in maiden bumpers (5-17, 29%, +29.10), Charlie Longsdon/Kielan Woods in bumpers (16-48, 33%, +66.58) Won -3 Running Stats: Bets : 121 Wins : 30 Staked : 260pts Returned : 303.15pts Profit/Loss : +43.15 Strike Rate : 25% Again a bit gutting as I chose Hodgson in the first race over the winner, as Peter Bowen had a better strike rate than the Keith Reveley/James Reveley partnership, looked justified when Hodgson was backed in from 12's to 4's but not to be! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) I am currently compiling the stats for the flat season and will be paper testing the system for a few weeks to see whether it is worth starting a thread on here with it. Also, as I believe I have previously mentioned, I am also running an AW system on the same principal which I am using myself but I have not put up on here. Would anyone be interested in me posting the selections on here and, if yes, should I start a new thread for the separate aspects? Thanks for any replies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 18, 2013 Author Share Posted March 18, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 3.00 - Exe - Jump City 3pts 1/1 (betfair) - Daryl Jacob in novice chases (63-218, 29%, +53.55) 3.30 - Exe - Ballymurry 2pts 9/2 - Noel Fehily in novice chases (42-168, 25%, +24.56), Noel Fehily in handicap chases (74-436, 17%, +70.53) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 I think you keep them all here, it'll make life easier :ok Sent from my GT-P3110 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) I agree with JA...keep them all here and just change your thread title to "Binchy's Gold-Mine" :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Yes, just post them all here Binchy. Good stuff by the way. No need to get downhearted with meetings like Cheltenham. In my opinion these big money meetings with loads of class horses are best avoided from a tipping point of view - absolute minefields! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Cheers for the responsed lads, away from my laptop at the moment so I will start posting the AW Selections for tomorrow, and i'll give you the running stats for the month so far later tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattyrobinson Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) Sounds good. Maybe keep details of the separate systems though, it'll be interesting to see whether the A/W works out better or worse given the number of gambles that go on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) 3.00 - Exe - Jump City 3pts 1/1 (>Betfair) - Daryl Jacob in novice chases (63-218, 29%, +53.55) Won +3 3.30 - Exe - Ballymurry 2pts 9/2 - Noel Fehily in novice chases (42-168, 25%, +24.56), Noel Fehily in handicap chases (74-436, 17%, +70.53) Lost +1 Running Stats: Bets : 123 Wins : 31 Staked : 265pts Returned : 309.15pts Profit/Loss : +44.15 Strike Rate : 25% Yes I will keep a note of the different stats and keep them seperate, the stats since the 22nd Feb are as follows for the AW system : AW Stats Selections Bets - 145 Wins - 33 Pts Staked - 354 Pts Returned - 383.82 Profit/Loss - +29.82 Strike Rate - 23% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) AW Selections 7.15 - Kem - Revert 1pt 23/1 (betfair) - Adam Kirby @ Kempton on horses aged 4+ (74-435, 17%, +61.90) 7.45 - Kem - Midnight Bahia 1pt 8/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton on horses aged 4+ (74-435, 17%, +61.90) 8.45 - Kem - Lady Macduff 1pt 9/1 - Joe Fanning over 7-8f on horses aged 4+ (53-249, 21%, +180.39), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-701, 16%, +96.60) 9.15 - Kem - Miss Chardonay 1pt 14/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton on horses aged 4+ (74-435, 17%, +61.90) Jumps Selections 2.10 - Hay - Highrate 1pt 8/1 - Sue Smith @ Haydock in chases (10-62, 16%, +28.16) 2.40 - Hay - Seymour Eric 1pt 3/1 - Martin Keighley/Ian Popham over hurdles (8-49, 16%, +27.83) 4.20 - Hay - Mr Moonshine 2pts 4/1 - Sue Smith @ Haydock in chases (10-62, 16%, +28.16) 4.35 - War - Midnight Belle 2pts 15/8 - Tom Symonds/Ben Poste over hurdles (5-20, 25%, +61.41) 4.50 - Hay - Annacotty 4pts 11/4 (betfair) - Martin Keighley/Ian Popham over hurdles (8-49, 16%, +27.83) 5.05 - War - Speedy Bruere 2pts 5/4 - David Bridgwater in handicap chases (28-126, 22%, +30.81) 5.20 - Hay - Royal Regatta 1pt 7/1 (betfair) - Philip Hobbs/Richard Johnson in bumpers (25-107, 23%, +30.37) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure AW Selections 7.15 - Kem - Revert 1pt 23/1 (>Betfair) - Adam Kirby @ Kempton on horses aged 4+ (74-435, 17%, +61.90) Lost -1 7.45 - Kem - Midnight Bahia 1pt 8/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton on horses aged 4+ (74-435, 17%, +61.90) Lost -2 8.45 - Kem - Lady Macduff 1pt 9/1 - Joe Fanning over 7-8f on horses aged 4+ (53-249, 21%, +180.39), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-701, 16%, +96.60) Lost -3 9.15 - Kem - Miss Chardonay 1pt 14/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton on horses aged 4+ (74-435, 17%, +61.90) Lost -4 Running Stats: Bets : 4 Wins : 0 Staked : 5pts Returned : 0pts Profit/Loss : -5 Strike Rate : 0% Jumps Selections 2.10 - Hay - Highrate 1pt 8/1 - Sue Smith @ Haydock in chases (10-62, 16%, +28.16) Lost -1 2.40 - Hay - Seymour Eric 1pt 3/1 - Martin Keighley/Ian Popham over hurdles (8-49, 16%, +27.83) Lost -2 4.20 - Hay - Mr Moonshine 2pts 4/1 - Sue Smith @ Haydock in chases (10-62, 16%, +28.16) Lost -4 4.35 - War - Midnight Belle 2pts 15/8 - Tom Symonds/Ben Poste over hurdles (5-20, 25%, +61.41) Won -0.25 4.50 - Hay - Annacotty 4pts 11/4 (>Betfair) - Martin Keighley/Ian Popham over hurdles (8-49, 16%, +27.83) Won +10.75 5.05 - War - Speedy Bruere 2pts 5/4 - David Bridgwater in handicap chases (28-126, 22%, +30.81) Lost +8.75 5.20 - Hay - Royal Regatta 1pt 7/1 (>Betfair) - Philip Hobbs/Richard Johnson in bumpers (25-107, 23%, +30.37) Won +15.75 Running Stats: Bets : 130 Wins : 34 Staked : 278pts Returned : 337.90pts Profit/Loss : +59.90 Strike Rate : 26% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 21, 2013 Author Share Posted March 21, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) AW Selections : 2.30 - Wol - Angelo Poliziano 3pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 4+ (62-339, 18%, +129.32), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-702, 16%, +95.60) 3.05 - Wol - Invigilator 5pts 11/2 - Derek Shaw/Joe Fanning on horses aged 4+ (12-65, 18%, +25.25), Joe Fanning @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 4+ (62-339, 18%, +129.32), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-702, 16%, +95.60) 4.10 - Wol - Alhaban 4pts 2/1 (betfair) - Ronald Harris in selling races with horses aged 4+ (24-125, 19%, +89.57) 4.45 - Wol - Rawaafed 3pts 10/3 - Keith Dalgleish @ Wolverhampton with horses aged 4+ (24-113, 21%, +34.97), Keith Dalgeish in handicaps with horses aged 4+ (23-130, 18%, +28.88) 5.15 - Wol - Spider House 1pt 8/1 (betfair) - Graham Gibbons @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 3 (28-178, 16%, +26.83) 5.40 - Wol - Willian Van Gogh 1pt 11/4 - Michael Easterby/Graham Gibbons on horses aged 4+ (21-97, 22%, +50.13) 6.30 - Kem - Lady Who 2pts 13/2 (betfair) - Jim Crowley @ Kempton on horses aged 3 (52-293, 18%, +83.81), Jim Crowley on 3yo horses over 7-8f (43-253, 17%, +52.58) 8.30 - Kem - Carry On Sydney 5pts 11/4 - Richard Hannon @ Kempton with 3yo horses (50-295, 17%, +82.74) 9.00 - Kem - Mr Chocolate Drop 1pt 14/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton with horses aged 4+ (74-439, 17%, +57.90) Jumps Selections 2.40 - Che - Come On Annie 2pts 9/4 - Bernard Llewellyn/Mark Quinlan over hurdles (11-46, 24%, +80.38) 4.20 - Che - Seigeneur Des Bois 2pts 5/4 - Tom George/Paddy Brennan in chases (67-297, 23%, +24.64) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE % MAN Posted March 21, 2013 Share Posted March 21, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure (Jumps) AW Selections : 2.30 - Wol - Angelo Poliziano 3pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 4+ (62-339, 18%, +129.32), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-702, 16%, +95.60) 3.05 - Wol - Invigilator 5pts 11/2 - Derek Shaw/Joe Fanning on horses aged 4+ (12-65, 18%, +25.25), Joe Fanning @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 4+ (62-339, 18%, +129.32), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-702, 16%, +95.60) 4.10 - Wol - Alhaban 4pts 2/1 (betfair) - Ronald Harris in selling races with horses aged 4+ (24-125, 19%, +89.57) 4.45 - Wol - Rawaafed 3pts 10/3 - Keith Dalgleish @ Wolverhampton with horses aged 4+ (24-113, 21%, +34.97), Keith Dalgeish in handicaps with horses aged 4+ (23-130, 18%, +28.88) 5.15 - Wol - Spider House 1pt 8/1 (betfair) - Graham Gibbons @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 3 (28-178, 16%, +26.83) 5.40 - Wol - Willian Van Gogh 1pt 11/4 - Michael Easterby/Graham Gibbons on horses aged 4+ (21-97, 22%, +50.13) 6.30 - Kem - Lady Who 2pts 13/2 (betfair) - Jim Crowley @ Kempton on horses aged 3 (52-293, 18%, +83.81), Jim Crowley on 3yo horses over 7-8f (43-253, 17%, +52.58) 8.30 - Kem - Carry On Sydney 5pts 11/4 - Richard Hannon @ Kempton with 3yo horses (50-295, 17%, +82.74) 9.00 - Kem - Mr Chocolate Drop 1pt 14/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton with horses aged 4+ (74-439, 17%, +57.90) Jumps Selections 2.40 - Che - Come On Annie 2pts 9/4 - Bernard Llewellyn/Mark Quinlan over hurdles (11-46, 24%, +80.38) 4.20 - Che - Seigeneur Des Bois 2pts 5/4 - Tom George/Paddy Brennan in chases (67-297, 23%, +24.64) AN excellent thread and like others state dont let CHELTENHAM put you down as many trainers may just aim their horses for that meeting and in some cases the stats may not be that great and from year to year things can change and like Nicholls this time around was very poor and even HENDERSON except for 1 or 2 many would consider KNOCKING BETS The good thing is you are using posative stats for all your SELECTIONS which is in your FAVOUR but in some instances when it comes to TRAINER STATS and how the do when it comes to COURSES this can be misleading even if they are by far the best at that course. I love stats and have viewed these myself and although they are TOP AT THAT COURSE AND SHOW DECENT PROFITS overall but those courses could have a lot more meetings than others and when you view the stats from that point of view the WINNERS may well be a lot BETTER depending on what part of the season the meeting fall in and some will have BEEN EXCELLENT and others a WASTE OF TIME even though he or she as the best for the course. You will have times when lossing runs will come along or periods of negative returns but thats racing and if you can get it right more times than not at the right prices profits will surely come YOUR WAY GREAT THREAD T%M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure Unfortunately there will be no selections today as my internet was down all last night and this morning, haven't had chance to look at yesterdays results as I am now at work. Apologies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure 2.30 - Wol - Angelo Poliziano 3pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 4+ (62-339, 18%, +129.32), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-702, 16%, +95.60) Won +24 3.05 - Wol - Invigilator 5pts 11/2 - Derek Shaw/Joe Fanning on horses aged 4+ (12-65, 18%, +25.25), Joe Fanning @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 4+ (62-339, 18%, +129.32), Joe Fanning in handicaps on horses aged 4+ (113-702, 16%, +95.60) Lost +19 4.10 - Wol - Alhaban 4pts 2/1 (>Betfair) - Ronald Harris in selling races with horses aged 4+ (24-125, 19%, +89.57) Lost +15 4.45 - Wol - Rawaafed 3pts 10/3 - Keith Dalgleish @ Wolverhampton with horses aged 4+ (24-113, 21%, +34.97), Keith Dalgeish in handicaps with horses aged 4+ (23-130, 18%, +28.88) NR +15 5.15 - Wol - Spider House 1pt 8/1 (>Betfair) - Graham Gibbons @ Wolverhampton on horses aged 3 (28-178, 16%, +26.83) Lost +14 5.40 - Wol - Willian Van Gogh 1pt 11/4 - Michael Easterby/Graham Gibbons on horses aged 4+ (21-97, 22%, +50.13) Won +16.75 6.30 - Kem - Lady Who 2pts 13/2 (>Betfair) - Jim Crowley @ Kempton on horses aged 3 (52-293, 18%, +83.81), Jim Crowley on 3yo horses over 7-8f (43-253, 17%, +52.58) NR +16.75 8.30 - Kem - Carry On Sydney 5pts 11/4 - Richard Hannon @ Kempton with 3yo horses (50-295, 17%, +82.74) Placed +11.75 9.00 - Kem - Mr Chocolate Drop 1pt 14/1 - Adam Kirby @ Kempton with horses aged 4+ (74-439, 17%, +57.90) Lost +10.75 Running Stats: Bets : 11 Wins : 2 Staked : 25pts Returned : 30.75pts Profit/Loss : +5.75 Strike Rate : 18% Jumps Selections 2.40 - Che - Come On Annie 2pts 9/4 - Bernard Llewellyn/Mark Quinlan over hurdles (11-46, 24%, +80.38) Placed -2 4.20 - Che - Seigeneur Des Bois 2pts 5/4 - Tom George/Paddy Brennan in chases (67-297, 23%, +24.64) Lost -4 Running Stats: Bets : 132 Wins : 34 Staked : 282pts Returned : 337.90pts Profit/Loss : +55.90 Strike Rate : 26% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure Todays Selections 1.25 - Sou - Royal Skies 3pts 4/5 - Mark Johnston @ Southwell with 3yo's (43-144, 30%, +32.20) 2.35 - Sou - Thorpe Bay 3pts 7/2 - Michael Appleby @ Southwell with 4+yo's (16-68, 22%, +29.01) 3.10 - Sou - The Lock Master 1pt 12/1 - Michael Appleby @ Southwell with 4+yo's (16-68, 22%, +29.01) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE % MAN Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure Unlucky in the 2nd race but maybe in the last the % were in favour of the winner 12/5 wins 41% s/r at the couse and more than likely why it was Fav. Just an observation T%M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure 1.25 - Sou - Royal Skies 3pts 4/5 - Mark Johnston @ Southwell with 3yo's (43-144, 30%, +32.20) Lost -3 2.35 - Sou - Thorpe Bay 3pts 7/2 - Michael Appleby @ Southwell with 4+yo's (16-68, 22%, +29.01) Placed -6 3.10 - Sou - The Lock Master 1pt 12/1 - Michael Appleby @ Southwell with 4+yo's (16-68, 22%, +29.01) Lost -7 Running Stats: Bets : 14 Wins : 2 Staked : 32pts Returned : 30.75pts Profit/Loss : -1.25 Strike Rate : 14% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure AW Selections 2.10 - Lin - Hedy 1pt 11/4 - Martin Harley over 5-6f on 2yo's (9-46, 20%, +67.08) 2.40 - Lin - Balatina 3pts evs - Hayley Turner over 5-6f on 3yo's (22-123, 18%, +24.90) 3.10 - Lin - Sommersturm 2pts 3/1 - Adam Kirby over 13f+ on 4yo+ (20-90, 22%, +71.72) 3.40 - Lin - Fennel Bay 2pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield on 4yo+ (34-186, 18%, +55.14), Joe Fanning in handicaps on 4yo+ (114-705, 16%, +97.60) 4.10 - Lin - Free Spin 4pts 7/4 - Graham Gibbons over 5-6f on 4yo+ (33-203, 16%, +65.48), Graham Gibbons/David Barron with 4yo+ (13-47, 28%, +53.56) 4.40 - Lin - Querido 3pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield on 4yo+ (34-186, 18%, +55.14), Joe Fanning in handicaps on 4yo+ (114-705, 16%, +97.60), Joe Fanning over 7-8f on 4yo+ (53-251, 21%, +178.39) 5.10 - Lin - Prophet in a Dream 3pts 12/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield on 4yo+ (34-186, 18%, +55.14), Joe Fanning in handicaps on 4yo+ (114-705, 16%, +97.60), Joe Fanning over 7-8f on 4yo+ (53-251, 21%, +178.39) Jumps Selections 2.55 - Win - Little Jimmy 3pts 11/10 - Felix De Giles in Novice Chases (21-91, 23%, +27.03) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure Results : AW Selections 2.10 - Lin - Hedy 1pt 11/4 - Martin Harley over 5-6f on 2yo's (9-46, 20%, +67.08) Placed -1 2.40 - Lin - Balatina 3pts evs - Hayley Turner over 5-6f on 3yo's (22-123, 18%, +24.90) Lost -4 3.10 - Lin - Sommersturm 2pts 3/1 - Adam Kirby over 13f+ on 4yo+ (20-90, 22%, +71.72) Lost -6 3.40 - Lin - Fennel Bay 2pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield on 4yo+ (34-186, 18%, +55.14), Joe Fanning in handicaps on 4yo+ (114-705, 16%, +97.60) Lost -8 4.10 - Lin - Free >SPIN 4pts 7/4 - Graham Gibbons over 5-6f on 4yo+ (33-203, 16%, +65.48), Graham Gibbons/David Barron with 4yo+ (13-47, 28%, +53.56) Lost -12 4.40 - Lin - Querido 3pts 8/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield on 4yo+ (34-186, 18%, +55.14), Joe Fanning in handicaps on 4yo+ (114-705, 16%, +97.60), Joe Fanning over 7-8f on 4yo+ (53-251, 21%, +178.39) Placed -15 5.10 - Lin - Prophet in a Dream 3pts 12/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield on 4yo+ (34-186, 18%, +55.14), Joe Fanning in handicaps on 4yo+ (114-705, 16%, +97.60), Joe Fanning over 7-8f on 4yo+ (53-251, 21%, +178.39) Lost -18 Running Stats: Bets : 21 Wins : 2 Staked : 50pts Returned : 30.75pts Profit/Loss : -19.25 Strike Rate : 10% Jumps Selections 2.55 - Win - Little Jimmy 3pts 11/10 - Felix De Giles in Novice Chases (21-91, 23%, +27.03) Lost -3 Running Stats: Bets : 133 Wins : 34 Staked : 285pts Returned : 337.90pts Profit/Loss : +52.90 Strike Rate : 26% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Binchy Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Binchy's Stats Adventure AW Selections : 2.10 - Lin - Abaath 2pts 13/2 (betfair) - Ronald Harris in Sellers with 4yo+ (24-127, 19%, +87.57), Ronald Harris/Gary Phillips on 4yo+ (4-19, 21%, +38.50) 2.40 - Lin - Mudaawem 1pt 3/1 - Joe Fanning @ Lingfield with 3yo's (39-179, 22%, +35.70) 4.10 - Lin - Mysterial 6pts 5/8 (betfair) - Richard Hannon over 5-6f on 3yo's (20-92, 22%, +46.00), Richard Hannon/Richard Hughes on 3yo's (33-144, 23%, +30.65) 5.10 - Lin - Minority Interest 1pt 28/1 - Kieran O'Neill over 9-10f on 4yo+ (9-45, 20%, +43.41) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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