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NBA: Nov 15th ~ 21st 2012


Samba_SamPa

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  • 4 weeks later...

Re: NBA: Nov 15th ~ 21st 2012 I don't know why this wasn't posted: Atlanta +7 @1.91 William Hill (3u.) Josh Smith Over 16.5 Points (3u.) The Hawks are 10-2 SU in their last 12, building up on a hot streak lately, with wins @Memphis, and against the Clippers, for example. Miami is 8-4SU L12, but only 4-8 ATS in those. Atlanta is only half a game behind Miami in the division, so this might be a crucial matchup. After Lebron and Wade getting minor injuries on the last game, I expect them to play, but they may struggle. For Atlanta, only Korver is out, which will be a notable loss for them as he opens the court nicely and this is something Miami struggles with. The backcourts will be paired today with Teague over Cole, but Wade and Lebron dominating also. The problem for Miami might be the paint, with Horford and Smith over any of the Miami s big men. I think Atlanta will be on the game for long, but Lebron and Wade will finally come through and get the W home. That said, I expect Miami to win but not to cover the handicap, winning by 3-5 points.Being consistent with the previous write-up, going with Smith as I think him and Horford will be well over their defensive pairs. He has had 24,23,16,25,17,17 points in his last games, only missing the line on one of those. Although he started the season very low, he is getting back and today should be another day in the office for him, going for around 20 points.

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