Flat Racing - Thursday 18th October

[Bathtime For Rupert]

2.00 Wolverhampton - 1pt win Berberana @ 11/1 (Bet365) There appears to be a good amount of pace likely in this race and although Jeremy Gask's runner may well join the leaders she's a filly who wants a good test at this 5f trip I fancy and that's why her recent run at Goodwood can be forgiven. She wasn't totally disgraced but I don't think she'd act best downhill and also most of those in front of her raced on a different part of the track. She's well-handicapped and is 1-2 on the all-weather, for all the win came on the fibresand at Southwell. Her other run on the artificial surface came after a break so that can be excused also. Prior to the run at Goodwood she was only beaten 3/4l at Sandown after some solid staying-on efforts in half-decent races. Her mark has dropped down nicely to a very workable 68 and Jeremy Gask had had a 1st, 2nd and 3rd within his last five runners. Not badly drawn in stall 6 and if getting a decent ride from a relatively unknown jockey (to me) then I can see her going very well.

[Verisimilitude]

Re: Flat Racing - Thursday 18th October

Sasheen 3.30 Wolverhampton. 0.5 points each way. Jamie Spencer the ideal booking, as with a poor draw and needing to be held up, he should be able to sit in behind off a decent pace. The trip and surface aren't problems and a mark of 53 suggests she can go close if running to her true ability. Big price in respect of what 'could' happen if the race pans out well enough. 20/1 Bet365 (bog)