NCAAF: Week Seven Picks

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College Football 2012-2013 Overall 17W -17L -0.70 units (50.00%) Finally caught up to .500....5-4 week last week Oklahoma -3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Wisconsin +1.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

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Re: NCAAF: Week Seven Picks Western Kentucky -2.5 @ 2.01 pinnacle Western Kentucky will look to their running backs Andrew and Allen to once again do the job for them as they have averaged 213 rushing yards per game to go with the 201 passing yards per game. Troy allows 189 rushing yards per game, so they should have some success on the ground while they also allow 207 passing yards per game. Troy averages 325 passing yards and 173 rushing yards per game but are up against a decent WK defence that has allowed 175 passing yards and 115 rushing yards per game. WK have beaten Kentucky and Southern Mississippi this year and though they lost 35-0 to the top ranked Alabama side, they alloweed just 225 passing yards and 103 rushing yards in that game. WK had 338 rushing yards in the 41-18 win over Troy last year Tulsa -17.5 @ 2.10 pinnacle Tulsa averaged 212 passing yards and 246 rushing yards per game while UTEP allows 2327 passing yards and 203 rushing yards per game and like the home side to get these yards and more as they have scored 45+ points in 4 of their last 5 games. They have beaten Fresno State, UAB and Marshall in their last three games and this should be a step down for them. UTEP has struggled on offence with just 203 passing yards and 126 rushing yards per game and may have some problems with the run game as Tulsa allows 115 rushing yards per game while allowing 262 passing yards per game. UTEP are coming off a 17-0 loss to SMU as they had just 178 passing yards and 107 rushing yards in that game. Tulsa look better on both sides of the ball and like them to win this one well Record: 30-41 (-10.10)

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Re: NCAAF: Week Seven Picks

Western Kentucky -2.5 @ 2.01 :D Tulsa -17.5 @ 2.10 :D

Central Michigan - Navy over 61.5 @ 2.02 pinnacle Central Michigan averages 259 passing yards and 137 rushing yards as they have scored 32, 24 and 35 points in their last three games. They face a Navy defence that allows 197 passing yards and 193 rushing yards per game, and allowed 144 passing yards and 363 rushing yards in the 28-21 road win over Air Force. Navy averages 115 passing yards and 230 rushing yards per game, and they do like to run the ball. Against Air Force last week, they had 285 rushing yards and like them to do the same again here. CMU has allowed 31+ points in each of their last four games as the defence has given up 224 passing yards and 234 rushing yards. Neither defence is good and can see this game being a high scoring one Record: 32-41 (-7.99)

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Re: NCAAF: Week Seven Picks

Central Michigan - Navy over 61.5 @ 2.02 :eyes

Pittsburgh -2.5 @ 2.55 bet365 Believe that Pittsburgh's offence is the steadier of the two, as QB Sunseri and RB Graham have done well for the team to average 303 passing yards and 155 rushing yards per game. Louisville's defence allows an average of 203 passing yards and 118 rushing yards per game so they will like their chances of slowing them down, but with just 5 sacks on the year, they do not get enough pressure on the QB. On defence, Pittsburgh allows 185 passing yards and 135 rushing yards per game, while Louisville averages 230 passing yards and 169 passing yards per game. But Louisville's QB Bridgewater has slowed down since his good start to the season, and even coming off a bye, think that this Pittsburgh secondary will get to him. Not much between the two defences, but like Pittsburgh's QB ahead of Louisville's, and given that they have won their last 4 meetings with the away team, then the Panthers to edge this Iowa State +3.5 @ 2.24 pinnacle Iowa State averages 207 passing yards and 157 rushing yards per game, and will need to air the ball here as Kansas State allows an average of 255 passing yards per game but just 110 rushing yards per game. If they can do that, and get some first downs, then they can give their defence a rest as KSU will be running the ball all day. They average 177 passing yards and 262 rushing yards per game, while Iowa State does reasonably well on defence, allowing 222 passing yards and 116 rushing yards per game, at 16 points per game. They have allowed just 2 rushing TDs all season with 11 sacks and 12 turnovers, and believe that they can keep this close. Kansas State has an even bigger game next week against West Virginia so they may have one eye on that game, and may be happy just to do enough to win this. Rutgers -13.5 @ 2.60 bet365 Rutgers averages 224 passing yards and 149 rushing yards on offence and like them to do well on this Syracuse defence that allows 209 passing yards and 146 rushing yards per game, as they allowed 319 passing yards to Pittsburgh last week, and with Nova throwing 9 TDs and just 2 INTs so far, like him to do well here. Also RB Jamison leads the conference in yardage so he gives them another option on offence. Rutgers defence is very good, as they have allowed just 236 passing yards and 61 rushing yards per game, and against Connecticut they allowed 191 passing yards and 53 rushing yards in the 19-3 win over them, while Syracuse have averaged 310 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game. Against Pittsburgh, they had just 185 passing yards and 120 rushing yards in the 14-13 win over them, with thir second TD coming from a 52 yard fumble recovery. This Rutgers defence is even better and like them to shut down this offence Fresno State +4.5 @ 2.34 pinnacle Boise State averages 226 passing yards and 152 rushing yards per game and will have some difficulty against this Fresno State defence that allows 188 passing yards and 150 rushing yards per game. Fresno State have been able to pressure the opposing QB as well as create turnovers, and with this Boise State side in rebuilding mode, then like this Fresno State defence to do well. On offence, Fresno State average 316 passing yards and 158 rushing yards per game as QB Carr and RB Rouse have done well in gaining yards for their side. They face another good defensive side, as Boise State have allowed 155 passing yards and 182 rushing yards per game, but Rouse has the opportunity here to run on this defence. They have quite a bit of experience on both sides of the ball, so like this Fresno State to make up for their several blowout defeats to Boise State and keep this close, and maybe even win it Alabama -27.5 @ 2.55 bet365 Missouri have lost two games to two of the better sides 41-20 to Geogia and 31-10 to South Carolina and now meet the best of them all. They have their QB Franklin under in injury cloud while the backup QB did not do much last week while their centre is out for this game. Hard to see them getting by this Alabama defence that has allowed just 126 passing yards and 66 rushing yards per game. Missouri's offence averages 217 passing yards and 140 rushing yards but will be hard pressed to get near these figures. Alabama have 15 sacks on the QB and 9 fumble recoveries so they will get to the QB here. On offence, they average 213 passing yards and 188 rushing yards, and though this Missouri defence is pretty good, as they allow 219 passing yards and 108 rushing yards, Alabama should be able to begin their drives in good field position, and with more time with the ball, they will tire this defence out Notre Dame -13.5 @ 2.60 bet365 Notre Dame in very good form having won all five games, as they average 211 passing yards and 180 rushing yards on offence, while Stanford have allowed 299 passing yards and 77 rushing yards per game. Like ND to throw on this secondary as their QB Golson had 186 passing yards while they ran for 376 yards in the 41-3 win over Miami (Florida) while Stanford allowed 491 passing yards and 126 rushing yards in the 44-38 win over Arizona last week. Stanford has averaged 230 passing yards and 155 rushing yards but faces a very good ND defence that has allowed 183 passing yards and 108 rushing yards, and just 3 points to Michigan State, 6 points to Michigan and 3 points to Miami. Though they had 617 total yards against Arizona, can't see Stanford getting anywhere near that against a very good Notre Dame side. Concern for Stanford is that this is a sandwich game after playing Arizona, and now ND, then have California next week in an important PAC 12 game, and they may not be as focused for this game Texas Tech @ 2.60 pinnacle Texas Tech average 341 passing yards and 168 rushing yards per game and like them to throw on this West Virginia secondary that allows 336 passing yards as well as 124 rushing yards per game. Soege was intercepted three times last week in the 41-20 loss to Oklahoma but he is up against a less tougher defence here. On defence, TT allows 117 passing yards and 93 rushing yards per game, as they allowed just 259 passing yards and 131 rushing yards in the loss to Oklahoma. Even though this is the best offence they will face, as WVU averages 407 passing yards and 167 rushing yards per game, believe that they will make enough stops here. Should be a shootout, but like TT to edge this Arkansas -23.5 @ 2.70 bet365 Arkansas averages 303 passing yards and 108 rushing yards per game but should be rejuvenated after passing for 242 yards and rushing for 120 yards in the 24-7 road win over Auburn. Like them to do well against this Kentucky defence that allows an average of 209 passing yards and 188 rushing yards per game, and there are reports that they are missing quite a few of their defence, and those that will be playing, will be very young and inexperienced. Arkansas' defence allows 338 passing yards and 141 rushing yards per game, but were much better against Auburn, allowing just 281 passing yards and 40 rushing yards. Kentucky's offence averages 216 passing yards and 14 rushing yards per game but they are without both their starting and backup QBs for this game. If Arkansas repeats their game from last week, then Kentucky will struggle to score. Record: 32-42 (-8.99)

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Re: NCAAF: Week Seven Picks

Pittsburgh -2.5 @ 2.55 :eyes Iowa State +3.5 @ 2.24 :eyes Allowed a FG with less than 5 minutes to go to lose by 6 Rutgers -13.5 @ 2.60 :eyes Allowed a TD with less than 5 minutes to go to win by 8

Record: 32-45 (-11.99) Fresno State +4.5 @ 2.34 Alabama -27.5 @ 2.55 Notre Dame -13.5 @ 2.60 Texas Tech @ 2.60 Arkansas -23.5 @ 2.70 Vanderbilt - Florida under 32.5 @ 2.83 bet365 Very wet and windy conditions expected for this game, and this should be a slugfest. Vanderbilt's offence has not done much with the ball, averaging 213 passing yards and 154 rushing yards and face a very good Florida defence that has allowed 180 passing yards and 104 rushing yards per game. On the other hand, Florida will run the ball as they average 215 rushing yards as well as 159 pasing yards per game. Vanderbilt's defence does well to stop the pass as they allow 162 passing yards per game, but do allow 179 rushing yards per game. With the ball likely to be wet and slippery, then doubt much passing will happen, and expect Vandervilt to load the box to limit Florida's running gaming. Florida have a big game next week against South Caroliina so they may be caught looking ahead here Washington +7.5 @ 2.75 bet365 Washington averages 184 passing yards and 137 rushing yards per game so they are not exactly scoring many points and may struggle to get points on this good USC defence that allows 225 passing yards and 113 rushing yards per game. On defence, Washington does well defending the pass, allowing 174 passing yards per game but the rush defence is average, allowing 178 rushing yards per game. USC is very well balanced on offence, averaging 266 passing yards and 158 rushing yards per game. Based on these stats, then USC should win comforatbly but Washington have yet to lose at their temporary home, and did beat Stanford 17-13 there, while USC lost 21-14 at Stanford. A hostile reception awaits them there, and like Washington to keep this close Ohio State -24.5 @ 2.75 bet365 Ohio State's offence averages 183 passing yards and 249 rushing yards per game and like them to score on this Indiana defence that allows 246 passing yards and 195 rushing yards per game. They have allowed 41, 44 and 31 points in their last three games and this is the best offence they will have faced. Ohio State scored 63 points on Nebraska last week and can see them hitting 50+ here. Ohio State's defence does give up points, as they allow 265 passing yards and 122 rushing yards per game, and though Indiana averages 305 passing yards and 166 rushing yards per game, this is the best defence they will have faced. Ohio State has allowed 16 points or less in 4 of their 6 games and like them to do well once again here South Carolina -2.5 @ 2.70 bet365 Two very good defences that do not give much away, but South Carolina does better on offence, as it has much more balance, while the LSU QB does struggle, and against this very good SC pass rush, can see them getting plenty of pressure on him. LSU will look to run the ball more often then, but once again, this SC defence is very good at stopping the run, and would not be surprised if they do not load the box to stop the run

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Re: NCAAF: Week Seven Picks

Fresno State +4.5 @ 2.34 :eyes Too many turnovers Alabama -27.5 @ 2.55 :D Notre Dame -13.5 @ 2.60 :@ QB was shocking Texas Tech @ 2.60 :D Arkansas -23.5 @ 2.70 :D Vanderbilt - Florida under 32.5 @ 2.83 :eyes Washington +7.5 @ 2.75 :eyes Another poor performance from a QB. They lose by 10 points but he fumbles when they are ready to go in. Ohio State -24.5 @ 2.75 :eyes This defence was rubbish South Carolina -2.5 @ 2.70 :eyes Did not do enough on offence

Record: 35-51 (-13.14)

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Re: NCAAF: Week Seven Picks .