NBA Sunday

[TazaD]

Miami v. San Antonio under 192.5 Last meeting this season in SA was 93-84. 13 of the last 14 meetings have gone 'under'....the last 8 meetings in Miami have gone under at an av. of 162.6!!! Miami have been scoring big lately, but SA have shut down high scoring offenses all season, going 4-12 under when facing teams who av. 99+ ppg. Minnesota -4.5 League: 14-5 (16-3 this no...Av. win 11.1) any home fav, 1 day off 15+ ats loss as away 4- dog. [Min] (3-0 season) 9-1 (10-0 this no!..Av. win 11.7) if total 190+ League: 16-21 (Av. loss 8.4) any away dog, 1 day off 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog. [Chic] 3-7 (Av. loss 7.6) if opp last lost ats as dog. Big value on Minni here who are being under-rated against a poor traveling Bulls team. They will have a new coach in charge after Saunders was sacked. We were on Minni on their 1 ats win in the last 10 games, this looks like a good spot for number 2. Denver @ New Jersey under 196.5 Last meeting in Denver was 90-88. Although Kidd and Carter were not in the Nets team, Jefferson was, and shot 26 points on 10/18 shooting. The teams shot a combined 47.5% (above average), the Nets hit 5/7 3's, and there were 33 fast break points. While Denver games av. 6.4 more on the road than home, NJ games av. 11 less at home! This season Denver are 1-9 under after scoring 105+ points, so expect a let down tonight. Carter will almost certainly be suspended for being ejected last game and that will definately hurt the Nets scoring.

[TazaD]

Re: NBA Sunday Cleveland -6 League: 5-17 (1-21 SU!...Av. loss 17.5!!) away 5+ dog, 2 days off 10- ats loss as away 10+ dog. [LAL] 1-8 (Av. loss 23.3!!!) if opp off any ats loss. Kobe is talking about returning today, and hence the low line. Even if he does, it will be for limited minutes, and the return of a starter will often hurt the team balance anyway. (Esp. in this case as Odom and Atkins have been playing much better with Bryant out of the team.). Like Cleveland to roll here and make up for a very disappointing game v. Denver.